US Dollar’s gains to extend a little more in the next few weeks – Scotiabank

USD’s jobs rebound extends on Powell caution, economists at Scotiabank report.

DXY’s rebound is overstating the improvement in yield differentials in USD’s favour to some extent

The USD rallied hard on the back of Friday’s US jobs data as US yields popped sharply higher and the currency has built on those gains on Monday following Fed Chairman Powell’s ‘60 Minutes’ interview which further doused market expectations for a March rate cut.

Fed repricing plus USD-positive seasonal trends (through Q1) plus building technical momentum (with the DXY testing the 50% retracement of its Q4 slide) point to gains extending a little more in the next few weeks, although the rebound in the DXY is overstating the improvement in yield differentials in the USD’s favour to some extent at the moment.