This Software Company Is Betting $25 Billion That Its Stock Is Severely Undervalued Right Now

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Slowing revenue growth and AI fears have cut this stock's earnings multiple over the last few years.

  • An AI-fueled revenue acceleration may be just around the corner.

  • Margin expansion should push earnings significantly higher over the next four years.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Salesforce ›

The AI-fueled "SaaSpocalypse" has indiscriminately sent software-as-a-service (SaaS) stock prices lower over the last few months. While it's true that new generative artificial intelligence (AI) tools could pose a significant threat to many enterprise software companies, the highest-quality companies with wide moats could find AI more of a friend than a foe. As a result, the current sell-off in their stocks could be a massive buying opportunity.

Salesforce (NYSE: CRM) management certainly thinks so. The board authorized a $50 billion share repurchase program at the start of the year. In early March, the company issued $25 billion in debt to accelerate that repurchase, and it immediately executed on about 80% of that amount. Here's why management is betting big on the stock.

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A large pile of $100 bills.

Image source: Getty Images.

The AI-fueled turnaround is coming

Salesforce has seen its revenue growth slow over the last few years, but there are signs of a reacceleration on the horizon. Net new annual order value (AOV) growth increased in the second half of fiscal 2026, which ended in January, relative to the second half of 2025. As Salesforce fulfills those contracts, it should see an increase in actual revenue growth. Management expects investors to see the acceleration in the second half of 2027, sooner than previously anticipated.

That result is driven by its efforts in artificial intelligence. Salesforce has embedded new AI capabilities across its entire software suite, and it's in the process of upselling customers packages that offer access to its Agentforce agentic AI capabilities. Agentforce sales increased 169% year over year to $800 million last quarter. When combined with its Data 360 and Informatica cloud businesses (which are packaged with Agentforce), total annual recurring revenue tied to its AI efforts stood at $2.9 billion as of the end of the year.

Management also sees potential for AI to expand its addressable market. Since agentic capabilities increase the return on investment a business gets from buying Salesforce software, more companies may be willing to buy more licenses. Additionally, management expects enterprise adoption of AI to increase token usage, giving it the opportunity to sell additional credits or unlimited access. What's more, it should be able to keep those prices stable even as the cost per token declines.

Management also updated its long-term guidance for fiscal 2030. It now sees revenue climbing to $63 billion, up from $41.5 billion in fiscal 2026. That implies annualized revenue growth of 11% over the next four years. What's more, management still expects to produce an adjusted operating margin around 40%, up from 34.1% over the past year. The result is average operating income growth of around 15.5% over the next four years based on management's outlook.

Shares currently trade for just 14 times earnings expectations. The company's enterprise value is just over 10 times analysts' EBITDA (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) expectations for the next year. It's no wonder management is eager to buy back shares at this price.

Should you buy stock in Salesforce right now?

Before you buy stock in Salesforce, consider this:

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Adam Levy has positions in Salesforce. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Salesforce. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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