Tesla vs. Rivian: Which Growth Stock Is a Better Buy?

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Rivian achieved a major milestone in 2025 by delivering its first full year of positive gross profit.

  • Tesla's core automotive business is struggling, with full-year vehicle deliveries falling about 9%.

  • Tesla boasts a surging energy storage business and an impressive software business.

  • These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires ›

Electric vehicle stocks have tested investors' patience recently. With high interest rates and cautious consumers, selling cars isn't as easy as it was a few years ago. This reality has hit both Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and Rivian Automotive (NASDAQ: RIVN) hard.

But despite these headwinds, investors are still assigning premium valuations to both growth stocks. With that said, these are two very differently sized companies, making a head-to-head comparison interesting. Rivian currently commands a market capitalization of about $20 billion, while Tesla's market cap hovers around a staggering $1.5 trillion as of this writing.

Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »

With both stocks priced for significant future success, which one is the better buy today?

The Rivian logo next to the Tesla logo.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Rivian: A weak fourth quarter and big guidance

To Rivian's credit, the younger electric-vehicle (EV) maker just crossed a monumental hurdle.

In 2025, the company delivered its first full year of positive gross profit. And in Q4 alone, Rivian generated $120 million in gross profit, translating to a 9% gross margin.

But Q4 results took a hit as the company felt the whiplash from a huge third-quarter, when sales benefited from an enormous pull-forward in demand ahead of an expiring tax credit.

Rivian's fourth-quarter total revenue came in at $1.29 billion, down from $1.73 billion in the year-ago period. More concerning, the company's automotive revenue plummeted 45% year over year in the fourth quarter.

While Rivian's software and services segment was a bright spot, growing 109% year over year to $447 million, the core business of selling vehicles was under immense pressure during the quarter.

With that said, this was primarily because the company had a surge in sales in Q3 ahead of the expiration of certain federal electric vehicle credits on Sept. 30. Capturing this dynamic, Rivian's third-quarter revenue soared 78% year over year.

Probably a better indication of Rivian's underlying demand trends, when adjusted for the noise of recent quarter-to-quarter extremes, is the company's guidance. Management guided for total 2026 deliveries to be between 62,000 and 67,000. The midpoint of this guidance range translates to about 53% year-over-year growth.

Tesla: A sprawling, diversified ecosystem

Meanwhile, Tesla's automotive business is struggling. Yes, it could similarly blame a pull-forward in third-quarter demand for a weak fourth quarter, but Tesla also struggled on a full-year basis.

The company delivered 418,227 vehicles in the fourth quarter of 2025 -- a 16% year-over-year decline. For the full year, total deliveries fell roughly 9% to 1.63 million.

But unlike Rivian, Tesla has a sprawling, highly profitable ecosystem to fall back on while it waits for the automotive market to recover.

Consider the company's energy generation and storage segment. Tesla deployed a record 14.2 gigawatt-hours of energy storage in the fourth quarter -- an 29% year-over-year jump.

And then there's the company's software momentum, which is much more significant than Rivian's. Tesla ended the year with 1.1 million active Full Self-Driving (Supervised) subscriptions, a 38% year-over-year increase.

As Tesla's installed vehicle base grows, its popular Full Self-Driving (Supervised) subscription will likely become a lucrative revenue stream for the company. And this software is the foundation for its autonomous ride-sharing service, Robotaxi, which is still in its early innings -- and this could morph into a major business for Tesla, too.

Finally, despite weakness in its automotive business, the company is still generating tons of cash. The company produced $6.2 billion in free cash flow in 2025, finishing the year with over $44 billion in cash and investments.

Is Tesla or Rivian stock a better buy?

Both stocks arguably feature stretched valuations today.

At a roughly $1.5 trillion market capitalization and just $3.8 billion in net income, investors are already pricing in a massive acceleration in Tesla's software and fleet-based profits, as well as a recovery in its automotive sales.

Still, if I have to put capital to work in one of these two EV makers, I'd rather pay a premium for a company with a long history of execution, a massive balance sheet, and a diversified business model.

Rivian is executing well on profitability, but its net losses are still substantial ($3.6 billion in 2025), and the younger EV company is more dependent on automotive sales than Tesla, which is leaning into an energy business that is soaring and Robotaxi, which could become a meaningful profit driver over the long haul.

Of course, Tesla is an extremely high-risk stock given its extraordinarily high valuation. But its more established, diversified business makes me think it will be the better performer over the long haul.

Don’t miss this second chance at a potentially lucrative opportunity

Ever feel like you missed the boat in buying the most successful stocks? Then you’ll want to hear this.

On rare occasions, our expert team of analysts issues a “Double Down” stock recommendation for companies that they think are about to pop. If you’re worried you’ve already missed your chance to invest, now is the best time to buy before it’s too late. And the numbers speak for themselves:

  • Nvidia: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2009, you’d have $479,243!*
  • Apple: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2008, you’d have $49,667!*
  • Netflix: if you invested $1,000 when we doubled down in 2004, you’d have $522,791!*

Right now, we’re issuing “Double Down” alerts for three incredible companies, available when you join Stock Advisor, and there may not be another chance like this anytime soon.

See the 3 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of March 11, 2026.

Daniel Sparks' clients have positions in Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tesla. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
MicroStrategy Shares are Performing Better than Bitcoin In 2026, But How?MicroStrategy stock is up nearly 3% at press time, trading above $137 as markets opened on March 9. Strategy just announced another 17,994 BTC purchase for $1.28 billion.The stock trades 57% lower ove
Author  Beincrypto
Mar 10, Tue
MicroStrategy stock is up nearly 3% at press time, trading above $137 as markets opened on March 9. Strategy just announced another 17,994 BTC purchase for $1.28 billion.The stock trades 57% lower ove
placeholder
Microsoft seeks court action to protect $5B Anthropic investmentMicrosoft asked a US court to block the Pentagon’s ban on Anthropic temporarily.
Author  Cryptopolitan
Yesterday 01: 51
Microsoft asked a US court to block the Pentagon’s ban on Anthropic temporarily.
placeholder
Ethereum Layer-2 Optimism Reportedly Cuts Over 20% of TeamOptimism is conducting significant layoffs, with more than 20% of its team reportedly impacted, according to internal sources familiar with the situation.Multiple sources told BeInCrypto that the cuts
Author  Beincrypto
1 hour ago
Optimism is conducting significant layoffs, with more than 20% of its team reportedly impacted, according to internal sources familiar with the situation.Multiple sources told BeInCrypto that the cuts
placeholder
Oil Price Could Drop 30% Even With Iran’s Hormuz StandoffCrude oil prices are trading near $92 at press time. Still well above pre-conflict levels but down 31% from the $119 cycle high hit on March 8. This analysis tracks Brent crude futures because they mo
Author  Beincrypto
1 hour ago
Crude oil prices are trading near $92 at press time. Still well above pre-conflict levels but down 31% from the $119 cycle high hit on March 8. This analysis tracks Brent crude futures because they mo
placeholder
Ripple Launches $750 Million Share Buyback: Does It Matter For XRP?According to multiple reports, Ripple has launched a $750 million share buyback program, offering to repurchase equity from early investors at a valuation of about $50 billion. The move gives long-tim
Author  Beincrypto
1 hour ago
According to multiple reports, Ripple has launched a $750 million share buyback program, offering to repurchase equity from early investors at a valuation of about $50 billion. The move gives long-tim
goTop
quote