HYPE Price is Looking At a 37% Decline As Capital Flows Tip To Negative

Source Beincrypto

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is trading at $39, down 2.79% on the day after failing to hold gains above $42. The chart shows a double top formation on the 2-day timeframe, and capital flow data is now tipping to negative for the first time since early March.

The $42 level carries the largest short liquidation cluster in the 30-day map. A move above it is now looking increasingly unlikely.

Short Liquidations Ahead In HYPE’s Path

HYPE liquidation map shows cumulative short liquidation leverage of $13.24 million concentrated at the $42 price level. This cluster acts as a ceiling rather than a catalyst. 

For the price to move above $42 and trigger a genuine short squeeze, buyers would need to overpower $13.24 million in stacked short leverage. With CMF at zero and declining, the demand simply is not present to accomplish that. 

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HYPE Liquidation Map. HYPE Liquidation Map. Source: Coinglass

Capital Is Leaving HYPE

The CMF on the HYPE chart peaked near 0.20 during March 15–19 as the price pushed toward $42. Since then, it has declined without interruption, reaching exactly 0.00 on March 26.

A CMF reading at zero means buying and selling volumes are perfectly balanced on a dollar-weighted basis. Any further decline pushes the indicator below the zero line, which would signal that capital outflows are dominating inflows. That transition — from positive to negative — is the precise inflection point that historically precedes sustained price drops rather than consolidations.

HYPE CMFHYPE CMF. Source: TradingView

CMF spent most of early March building from 0.05 toward 0.20, providing the fuel for HYPE’s rally to $42. That tailwind has now fully unwound.

HYPE Price Prediction: Double Top Projects a Drop to $21

HYPE price is forming a clear double top pattern. The first peak formed near $38 in early February. HYPE then formed a second peak near $43 in mid-March before falling again. The annotated measured move on the chart applies the same 37.49% decline from the current breakdown zone, projecting a target of $21.

HYPE currently trades at $39. A 2-day close below $35 would confirm the double top breakdown and activate the $21 target. Below $35, the visible support levels on the chart are $32, then $28, then $26, then $23, with $21 as the measured move destination.

HYPE Price Analysis. HYPE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

The bullish invalidation requires a daily close above $42. That level is both the double top neckline resistance and the apex of the short liquidation cluster. A confirmed close above $42 would break the pattern, squeeze $13.24 million in shorts, and open the path toward $44 and beyond.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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