Euronze HICP Preview: A deviation from expectations could trigger short-term swings in the Euro – ING

Today, Eurostat will release preliminary February HCIP inflation data for the Euro area. Economists at ING analyze Euro’s (EUR) outlook ahead of the report.

EUR/USD to face another month of domination by the Dollar leg

Today, flash inflation estimates for the Eurozone area are published, and the consensus is for a slowdown to 2.5% in the headline rate and to 2.9% in the core rate. 

A deviation from expectations could trigger short-term swings in Eurozone rates and the Euro, but should not really have a big impact on the narrative that Christine Lagarde and the Governing Council look set to reiterate next week. 

The ECB remains on the hunt for more conclusive evidence of disinflation, and EUR/USD looks likely to face another month of domination by the Dollar leg rather than experiencing fresh Eurozone-led dynamics.