I'd Buy Amazon Stock While It Sits 12% Below Its Record

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Amazon's stock has slid around 12% from its record close of $284.02 on Aug. 3.

  • AWS revenue growth has accelerated for four straight quarters, hitting 37% in the second quarter.

  • Heavy spending on artificial intelligence has sent Amazon's trailing-12-month free cash flow below zero.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Amazon ›

Shares of Amazon (NASDAQ:AMZN) set an all-time closing high of $284.02 on Aug. 3. They got there fast, jumping about 21% over the two trading days after the company posted its second-quarter results.

Since then, the stock has given back most of that jump. At roughly $249 as I write, shares sit about 12% below their record. And the stock's rise of about 8% so far in 2026 now lags the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX:^GSPC), up about 13%.

Missed AI’s "Act 1"? Act 2 Could Be 15x Bigger. Most investors think they missed the AI boat because they didn't buy Nvidia in 2005. But according to our analysts, we’re only at the end of "Act 1"—the R&D phase. "Act 2" is the global rollout. Continue »

But Amazon hasn't reported another quarter since that peak. The latest numbers investors have are the same ones that sent the stock to its record in the first place.

I think this makes the drop an opportunity.

Amazon logo over an orange-tinted Prime delivery truck and fulfillment center

Image source: The Motley Fool.

What's changed since August?

The biggest new development is a lawsuit. On Aug. 31, the Federal Trade Commission and 22 state attorneys general sued Amazon over its ad auctions. The complaint alleges that Amazon described them as second-price auctions (where the winner pays just above the next-highest bid) but charged Sponsored Products advertisers their own winning bid around 80% of the time by 2024.

Amazon disputes the claims and estimates that its method saved advertisers more than $8 billion from 2021 to 2025.

The lawsuit matters because advertising is growing faster than Amazon overall. Advertising revenue climbed 26% year over year in the second quarter to around $19.8 billion, against 20% growth in total sales. But cases like this can take years to play out, and the complaint doesn't change what the company posted in July.

AWS growth keeps accelerating

The biggest reason I like Amazon stock is its cloud computing unit, Amazon Web Services (AWS). Showing how much momentum the business has gained, AWS revenue rose 37% year over year in the second quarter to $42.2 billion. That growth rate has climbed every quarter for a year, from 17.5% in the second quarter of 2025 to 20%, then 24%, then 28%, and now 37%. And AWS operating income rose around 64% year over year to $16.6 billion, so the unit's profits grew even faster than its sales.

Notably, the largest jump in the series was in the latest quarter. This suggests the demand for AWS might still be rising.

Much of this demand is already under contract. Amazon's backlog (commitments in customer contracts not yet recognized as revenue, mainly tied to AWS) hit around $496 billion as of June 30, up from about $195 billion a year before.

Anthropic, the company behind the Claude artificial intelligence (AI) models, is one reason. In April, it committed to spend more than $100 billion with AWS over the next 10 years.

Is the spending a reason to wait?

Of course, adding all this capacity costs a lot. In the trailing 12 months, Amazon spent around $169 billion on property and equipment (net of proceeds from sales and incentives), up from about $103 billion a year earlier. Amazon attributes this rise mostly to investments in AI. The spending drove free cash flow to an outflow of around $7.6 billion in that period, versus an inflow of about $18.2 billion a year before.

Granted, negative free cash flow can look scary for a business long known for generating cash. But the spending is going to the segment growing fastest, and a big part of the demand for it is already signed.

The profits keep climbing, too. Amazon's operating income rose 43% year over year in the second quarter to $27.5 billion. And for the third quarter, management forecast operating income of $22.5 billion to $26.5 billion, up from $17.4 billion a year before (a quarter that included about $4.3 billion in special charges).

And the stock's cheaper than it was in August. At around $249, shares trade at about 24 times expected 2027 earnings. With that same earnings estimate, the record price came to about 27 times earnings. Put another way, investors can now pay less for the same second-quarter results that sent the stock to its record.

What would change my mind is AWS itself. If its growth fell back toward the 20% range while spending kept rising, I'd find it harder to justify the cost of the build-out.

For now, I think Amazon stock is worth buying at this price -- maybe gradually, because the spending could keep weighing on cash flow for a while.

Should you buy stock in Amazon right now?

Before you buy stock in Amazon, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Amazon wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $383,680!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,382,954!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 937% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of September 27, 2026.

Daniel Sparks and his clients do not have positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changedRate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.
placeholder
Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anywayMicron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 23, Wed
Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.
placeholder
US input costs rose at the fastest pace in four years — the September flash PMI beat is an inflation story, not a growth storyUS September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
Author  Suzie
Sep 24, Thu
US September flash PMIs came in far above expectations, with the composite at 58.4, a five-year high. But the detail that moved markets was input cost inflation at its fastest since October 2022, driven by fuel, transport and supply shortages. Brent is back above $100 and the 10-year Treasury yield has hit its highest since 2007.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: Gold Drops Below $4,300, Will It Continue to Fall? As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
Author  TradingKey
Sep 24, Thu
As of the European session on September 24, gold prices (XAUUSD) extended their correction, dipping below $4,300 intraday to hit a low of $4,262.45. After previously rebounding close to $
placeholder
WTI (USOIL) Is down 2.03% on Sep 25: Here Is WhyWTI (USOIL) is down 2.03% at Sep 24 22:20(UTC+0), now at $92.517, with a 7-day down of 3.63%.What is driving WTI (USOIL)’s stock price down today?The drop in WTI crude oil prices was primarily driven by
Author  TradingKey
Sep 25, Fri
WTI (USOIL) is down 2.03% at Sep 24 22:20(UTC+0), now at $92.517, with a 7-day down of 3.63%.What is driving WTI (USOIL)’s stock price down today?The drop in WTI crude oil prices was primarily driven by
goTop
quote