Prediction: This Pipeline Stock's Payout Will Grow Faster Than Chevron's [or Exxon's] Over the Next 5 Years

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Sunoco LP is on the list of unheralded midstream dividend growers.

  • It has the potential to deliver payout growth that outpaces integrated oil stocks over the next several years.

  • Sunoco is already on a nice run of consecutive quarterly dividend increases.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Sunoco ›

For committed, patient long-term income investors, some of the best opportunities, in terms of both yield and payout growth, can be found in the energy patch.

The sector's status as a payout haven encompasses a broad range of names, from pipeline stocks to some of the world's largest oil companies. Many market participants opt for familiarity and reliability, which helps explain why ExxonMobil and Chevron are hits with dividend investors. The two largest U.S. domestic oil companies have dividend increase streaks of 43 and 39 years, respectively.

Missed Nvidia in 2009? This Rare Signal Is Flashing Again. In 2009, a "Double Down" signal flashed for a little-known chipmaker called Nvidia. For the first time in years, that same "Total Conviction" signal is flashing for a company 1/100th the size of Nvidia. Continue »

A pipeline running through a grassy area.

Sunoco LP is an overlooked midstream name with big dividend growth potential. Image source: Getty Images.

To be sure, those are impressive runs, but barring any surprises, those companies are likely to continue raising their payouts at low-single-digit percentages. Income-hungry investors seeking rapid dividend growth should look to the midstream segment, home to Sunoco LP (NYSE: SUN). Indeed, this pipeline company has sunny dividend potential.

This SUN can shine for dividend investors

First, a housekeeping item. Sunoco LP is not the same as SunocoCorp LLC (NYSE: SUNC). However, the latter "owns a direct limited partner interest in Sunoco LP." Interestingly, Sunoco LP's general partner is owned by Energy Transfer, one of the most beloved large-cap names in the midstream income space.

Maybe it's a stretch, but DNA is relevant because Sunoco LP is following the Energy Transfer playbook, becoming a serial dividend grower and quarterly at that. Sunoco LP's most recent dividend increase of 1.25% marked the seventh straight quarter in which the pipeline operator hiked the payout.

That keeps it on pace to meet its stated objective of a "multi-year distribution growth rate of at least 5%." So if that rate is met or exceeded, I'm not going out on a limb by saying that Sunoco LP's dividend should grow at a higher percentage over the next five years than the payouts of ExxonMobil and Chevron.

Sunoco LP currently yields 5.3%, which is above the yields typically seen in integrated oil equities. However, that yield isn't a cause for alarm. The midstream company's net leverage ratio of 3.98x is where executives want it to be, and the operator is considered a disciplined capital allocator, implying a commitment to debt management and dividend growth.

This dividend could surprise

All right, so it's clear that Sunoco LP is targeting distribution growth of at least 5% annually, which is likely to surpass what ExxonMobil and Chevron deliver. However, Sunoco (though it's not guaranteed) may exceed its stated payout growth rate.

Earlier this month, Sunoco LP announced the $600 million all-cash acquisition of Offen Petroleum. No, a $600 million deal isn't earth-shattering news, particularly in the energy sector, but the details matter. The acquisition isn't financially straining Sunoco LP. Still, it did tell investors that the purchase will be accretive right off the bat, while clearly stating that the deal "will increase cash flow for distribution growth."

So it's possible that as Offen is brought into the Sunoco LP fold (the transaction closes in the fourth quarter), the acquisition could pave the way for dividend growth north of 5% starting next year. Even if that doesn't happen, dependable 5% raises are pretty good, too.

Should you buy stock in Sunoco right now?

Before you buy stock in Sunoco, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Sunoco wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $430,571!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,399,268!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 986% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 214% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of August 29, 2026.

Todd Shriber has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chevron. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Trump Just Mentioned Micron Stock, But Its Down 5% This WeekPresident Donald Trump praised Micron on Truth Social Thursday afternoon. He called it one of the “hottest” companies in the world. Micron Technology (MU) stock fell anyway.The post cheered a $10 bill
Author  Beincrypto
Yesterday 02: 58
President Donald Trump praised Micron on Truth Social Thursday afternoon. He called it one of the “hottest” companies in the world. Micron Technology (MU) stock fell anyway.The post cheered a $10 bill
placeholder
Silver Price Faces Make-or-Break Week Ahead of Jackson Hole Fed SpeechThe silver price trades near $69.38 after two failed attempts to break $70. Friday’s weekly close will decide the next direction.July inflation data arrives Wednesday, while Kevin Warsh delivers his f
Author  Beincrypto
Yesterday 02: 00
The silver price trades near $69.38 after two failed attempts to break $70. Friday’s weekly close will decide the next direction.July inflation data arrives Wednesday, while Kevin Warsh delivers his f
placeholder
Elon Musk and Morgan Stanley’s SpaceX Predictions Are 7 Years ApartElon Musk says SpaceX could reach about $3.5 trillion in annual revenue by 2033. Morgan Stanley’s model does not get there until 2040.His estimate beats the bank by seven years and lands slightly high
Author  Beincrypto
Yesterday 02: 00
Elon Musk says SpaceX could reach about $3.5 trillion in annual revenue by 2033. Morgan Stanley’s model does not get there until 2040.His estimate beats the bank by seven years and lands slightly high
placeholder
Ahead of Fed Meeting, Former Governor Miran Says Rate Hike Would Be ‘Weird'Ahead of the Fed’s September meeting, Stephen Miran, a former Federal Reserve governor, said a rate hike right now would be a mistake. He argued that recent inflation data are distorted, not genuinely
Author  Beincrypto
Yesterday 01: 58
Ahead of the Fed’s September meeting, Stephen Miran, a former Federal Reserve governor, said a rate hike right now would be a mistake. He argued that recent inflation data are distorted, not genuinely
placeholder
Schiff Calls MSTR Death Spiral, While Saylor Rides Bulls, MSTR Hits $137Peter Schiff renewed his “death spiral” warning on Strategy (MSTR), even as the stock jumped to $137.40 during a broader Bitcoin (BTC) rally. Michael Saylor answered with an AI-generated video of hims
Author  Beincrypto
Yesterday 01: 57
Peter Schiff renewed his “death spiral” warning on Strategy (MSTR), even as the stock jumped to $137.40 during a broader Bitcoin (BTC) rally. Michael Saylor answered with an AI-generated video of hims
goTop
quote