1 Top Growth Stock Turned $10,000 Into $423,000 -- It's Still a Buy Now

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Carvana has moved from the brink of bankruptcy to record financials.

  • The used car retailer expects 2026 to drive significant increases in retail units and adjusted EBITDA.

  • Carvana's market share is still a paltry 1.6% of the industry, leaving massive opportunity.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Carvana ›

Roller coasters can be a lot of fun, but investors generally prefer that their stocks don't trade on a similar up-and-down track.

Over the past few years, however, a roller coaster is exactly what Carvana's (NYSE: CVNA) stock has been. In late 2022, Carvana was on the brink of bankruptcy thanks to massive debt, poor timing on purchasing large inventory, significant cash burn, and worsening macroeconomic conditions.

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Carvana went into complete survival mode and has emerged years later, setting record after record for its financials. Here's why recent gains could be just the starting line.

CVNA Chart
CVNA data by YCharts.

Record performance

You've likely heard of Carvana, perhaps even seen one of its eye-catching car vending machines. If not, the company is primarily a used car retailer attempting to drive value through better selection via its national inventory and distribution, faster delivery times, and lower costs. Glancing at Carvana's fourth-quarter results, investors likely wouldn't guess the company almost closed its doors only a few years ago.

A Carvana car vending machine.

Image source: Carvana.

Last year, Carvana produced record full-year retail units sold of 596,641, good enough for a 43% gain over the prior year. That increase in retail units drove its top-line full-year revenue 49% higher to a record $20.3 billion, compared to the prior year. Carvana's bottom line wasn't far behind, with full-year net income increasing more than $1 billion compared to the prior year, up to $1.9 billion, yet another record.

In the distant past, Carvana was no stranger to posting massive growth figures, with consecutive quarters boasting triple-digit growth in retail units, compared to the prior year. That said, growth early for Carvana was extraordinarily expensive, and when times got tough, the company had to focus on reversing losses. Years later, as a much healthier company emerged, it planned to again accelerate its increasingly profitable growth.

Not too late

Last year, Carvana made significant progress in units sold, industry-leading margins, and expanded its reconditioning and digital auction capabilities. This year, Carvana plans to continue improving those areas while intensifying its focus on driving profitable growth at scale: It expects significant growth in both retail units sold and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA).

One simple reason investors still have plenty of time to buy Carvana, despite its massive gains over the past three years, is its potential market share growth. The used car industry is highly fragmented, with the U.S. market share leader accounting for only 2.3%. In a Carvana presentation, management noted that the aggregate market share of the top 100 used auto retailers is about 11.1% of the total market.

Graph showing Carvana market share growing to 1.6% in 2025.

Image source: Carvana's Q4 letter to shareholders.

Looking at the graph above, you can see how far Carvana's business has grown recently, with its market share still representing a paltry percentage of the market. As the industry consolidates and Carvana capitalizes on its online strengths and extensive network, it should continue gaining market share and accelerating its top- and bottom-line growth.

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Daniel Miller has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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