Berkshire is unlikely to match its amazing track record of performance in the future.
However, the company could still outpace the S&P 500 over time.
If Berkshire figures out ways to deploy its cash and makes smart moves, it could still beat the market.
Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRKA)(NYSE: BRKB) has an unmatched history of beating the market over time. From the time Warren Buffett took over as CEO in 1964 through the end of 2025, Berkshire delivered a total return for investors of approximately 6,100,000%. That's not a typo, and it compares with a return of about 45,000% from the S&P 500.
Warren Buffett himself cautioned investors a few years ago that the long-term returns going forward won't be anything close to what they've been throughout the company's history. In a nutshell, it's easier to produce 20% annualized returns when you have a billion dollars to deploy than when you have a trillion dollars.
Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now, when you join Stock Advisor. See the stocks »
Image source: The Motley Fool.
However, many investors are skeptical about the ability of Berkshire Hathaway to beat the market at all over the next decade and beyond. And to be fair, there are some legitimate concerns. For one thing, some of Berkshire's subsidiaries -- such as GEICO -- have been underperforming their peers in recent years. Also, Berkshire has about $382 billion in cash on its balance sheet, which is about 35% of its total market capitalization. Sure, this cash stockpile earns some income by being invested in Treasuries, but it certainly drags down the company's overall return profile.
With all of that in mind, I believe there's still a clear path to Berkshire producing market-beating returns over the next 10-20 years. And here are four things that could put it on the path to getting there.
As mentioned, Berkshire's insurance business (especially GEICO) has been a bit disappointing in recent years. Profitability isn't where it should be, and the company is a big laggard in technology, which is a big reason Progressive (NYSE: PGR) recently leapfrogged it for the number two spot in the auto insurance market share.
If new CEO Greg Abel can find ways to put a substantial portion of the company's cash to work in attractive investment opportunities, it would go a long way to Berkshire producing market-beating returns.
Warren Buffett paused buybacks in his last year or so as CEO, but I'd love to see Greg Abel use them opportunistically, with the same rule Buffett had to follow -- buying back at a significant discount to intrinsic value.
Many of the tech-focused investments in Berkshire's portfolio have been made by people other than Warren Buffett, and this has been a limiting factor.
For example, Berkshire bought shares of Amazon (NASDAQ: AMZN) in 2019 and gained approximately 180% through the end of 2025. But this was a small investment by Berkshire's standards. Now that Abel and investment manager Ted Weschler are going to be making larger investments, we could certainly see significant investments in newer growth opportunities start to appear in the portfolio.
Before you buy stock in Berkshire Hathaway, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Berkshire Hathaway wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $409,970!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,174,241!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 889% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 192% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of February 25, 2026.
Matt Frankel, CFP has positions in Amazon and Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, and Progressive. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.