EUR/USD steadies near two-week highs favoured by a weaker US Dollar

Source Fxstreet
  • The Euro holds gains near two-week highs above 1.1600, supported by a weaker USD.
  • German inflation figures confirm that price pressures moderated in October.
  • US private employment data added reasons for the Fed to cut interest rates further in December.

EUR/USD shows marginal gains on Wednesday, trading at 1.1685 at the time of writing, not far from the two-week highs above 1.1600 reached on Tuesday, after a downbeat US employment report. German inflation data provided some support to the Euro (EUR), although market moves remain subdued, with investors awaiting the US Congress to pass the bill that would restore government funding.

Germany's Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), released earlier on Wednesday, confirmed the preliminary estimations, revealing that consumer inflation remains steady in October at levels broadly in line with the European Central Bank's (ECB) target for price stability. Wholesale Price Index MoM ticked up last month, according to data by Destatis. All in all, endorsing the central bank's monetary policy stance.

Figures released by ADP on Tuesday showed a net loss in private employment of 11,250 jobs in the four weeks ending October 25, highlighting the deterioration of the US labour market and adding pressure on the Federal Reserve (Fed) to lower borrowing costs further at its December meeting.

In Wednesday's economic calendar, ECB Vice President Luis De Guindos and board member Isabel Schnabel will provide some distraction during the European session, while in the US, a slew of Fed speakers might comment on the latest news on employment and give further insight into the bank's rate path.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.01% 0.13% 0.29% -0.02% -0.12% 0.00% -0.05%
EUR 0.01% 0.14% 0.30% -0.01% -0.11% 0.01% -0.04%
GBP -0.13% -0.14% 0.18% -0.15% -0.25% -0.13% -0.18%
JPY -0.29% -0.30% -0.18% -0.32% -0.42% -0.31% -0.35%
CAD 0.02% 0.00% 0.15% 0.32% -0.10% 0.01% -0.03%
AUD 0.12% 0.11% 0.25% 0.42% 0.10% 0.12% 0.07%
NZD -0.00% -0.01% 0.13% 0.31% -0.01% -0.12% -0.05%
CHF 0.05% 0.04% 0.18% 0.35% 0.03% -0.07% 0.05%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Daily digest market movers: The US Dollar weakens as Fed easing hopes grow

  • The US Dollar is showing a mild bearish tone this week, with investors assuming that official US data will force Fed policymakers to prioritize the labour market over inflation, which confirms the need for a further interest rate cut in December. The US Dollar is extending its pullback from last week's highs, and the Euro (EUR) is drawing support from that.
  • German inflation data released on Wednesday confirmed that the HICP grew at a 0.3% pace in October and at 2.3% in the last 12 months, slightly below the 2.4% yearly inflation seen in September.
  • Likewise, the German Consumer Price Index accelerated to 0.3% in October from 0.2% in September, although the yearly rate eased to 2.3% from the previous month's 2.4% reading.
  • Wholesale Price Index, on the other hand, grew 0.3% in October in Germany, from 0.2% in September, beating expectations of a 0.1% growth. Year-on-year, the index eased to 1.1% from 1.2% in the previous month.
  • The US ADP Employment Change 4-week average revealed that businesses shed an average of 11,250 jobs per week up to October 25, providing further reasons for Fed doves to cut interest rates further.
  • In Europe, the German ZEW Survey disappointed market expectations on Tuesday. The sentiment about the German economic outlook declined to 38.5 in November from 39.3 in October, against expectations of an improvement to 40. The Current Situation has improved to -78.7 from -80, yet short of the market expectations of a -77.5 reading.

Technical Analysis: EUR/USD approaches trendline resistance at 1.1615

EUR/USD Chart
EUR/USD 4-Hour Chart

EUR/USD has been appreciating continuously during the last five days. Technical indicators on the 4-hour chart are pointing higher, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the area of 60 and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) printing green histogram bars, although bulls are likely to be challenged above 1.1600.

Price action is nearing the top of the descending channel from early October highs, now around 1.1615, which will meet the price near a previous support, in the area of 1.1620-1.1625 (October 28 low). The pair should break those levels to cancel the broader bearish trend and shift the focus towards the October 28 and 29 highs near the area of 1.1670.

Downside attempts are being contained above the 1.1575 session lows for now. Further down, EUR/USD might find support at the 1.1530-1.1540 area (near November 7, 10 lows) ahead of the 1.1500 psychological level and the key support at the November 5 low around 1.1470.

Economic Indicator

Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (YoY)

The Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP), released by the German statistics office Destatis on a monthly basis, is an index of inflation based on a statistical methodology that has been harmonized across all European Union (EU) member states to facilitate comparisons. The YoY reading compares prices in the reference month to a year earlier. Generally, a high reading is bullish for the Euro (EUR), while a low reading is bearish.

Read more.

Last release: Wed Nov 12, 2025 07:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 2.3%

Consensus: 2.3%

Previous: 2.3%

Source: Federal Statistics Office of Germany


Economic Indicator

Wholesale Price Index (YoY)

The wholesale price Index released by the Statistisches Bundesamt Deutschland shows value of sales made by wholesalers in Germany. A growing number in wholesales indicates increases in retail trade and consumption, that is seen as positive or bullish for the EUR, while a declining number indicates the weakened retail sectors, consumption, and the economy in Germany, that is seen as negative or bearish for the currency.

Read more.

Last release: Wed Nov 12, 2025 07:00

Frequency: Monthly

Actual: 1.1%

Consensus: -

Previous: 1.2%

Source: Federal Statistics Office of Germany

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Must Clear This Critical Cost Basis Level For Continued Upside, Analyst SaysIn a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor Crazzyblockk highlighted key Bitcoin (BTC) cost basis zones that the leading cryptocurrency must clear – or avoid breaking below – to
Author  NewsBTC
Apr 23, Wed
In a recent CryptoQuant Quicktake post, contributor Crazzyblockk highlighted key Bitcoin (BTC) cost basis zones that the leading cryptocurrency must clear – or avoid breaking below – to
placeholder
Australian Consumer Confidence Hits 3-Year High on RBA Rate CutsAustralian consumer sentiment soared to its highest level in over three years in August, buoyed by recent Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cuts and easing cost-of-living pressures, according to a Westpac-Melbourne Institute survey released Tuesday.
Author  Mitrade
Aug 19, Tue
Australian consumer sentiment soared to its highest level in over three years in August, buoyed by recent Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) rate cuts and easing cost-of-living pressures, according to a Westpac-Melbourne Institute survey released Tuesday.
placeholder
OpenAI Introduces Lowest-Cost ChatGPT Subscription in India with UPI Payment OptionOn Tuesday, OpenAI introduced ChatGPT Go, its most affordable AI subscription tier, targeting the price-sensitive Indian market. Nick Turley, OpenAI’s Vice President and Head of ChatGPT, announced the launch via an X post, highlighting that users can pay through India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI).
Author  Mitrade
Aug 19, Tue
On Tuesday, OpenAI introduced ChatGPT Go, its most affordable AI subscription tier, targeting the price-sensitive Indian market. Nick Turley, OpenAI’s Vice President and Head of ChatGPT, announced the launch via an X post, highlighting that users can pay through India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI).
placeholder
Barclays Boosts S&P 500 Outlook Amid Strong AI-Driven EarningsBarclays has increased its earnings and price projections for the S&P 500 through 2025 and 2026, attributing the upgrade to stronger-than-anticipated corporate results in the first half of the year and a robust earnings landscape despite trade tensions and labor challenges.
Author  Mitrade
Sept 10, Wed
Barclays has increased its earnings and price projections for the S&P 500 through 2025 and 2026, attributing the upgrade to stronger-than-anticipated corporate results in the first half of the year and a robust earnings landscape despite trade tensions and labor challenges.
placeholder
Asian Stocks Climb on US AI Optimism; Japan’s Nikkei Reaches New Record HighMost Asian stock markets climbed on Thursday, with China leading gains fueled by renewed optimism around U.S. artificial intelligence developments.
Author  Mitrade
Sept 11, Thu
Most Asian stock markets climbed on Thursday, with China leading gains fueled by renewed optimism around U.S. artificial intelligence developments.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote