Dow Jones futures slip slightly ahead of holiday-shortened session
- Dow Jones futures lose after the S&P 500 ended Tuesday at a new record high.
- Technology stocks once again led the advance, with Nvidia up 3%, Broadcom gaining 2.3%, and Amazon rising 1.6%.
- Traders expect the Fed to deliver two rate cuts in 2026 despite stronger-than-expected US economic data.
Dow Jones futures decline 0.11% to trade near 48,700 during the European session on Wednesday, while S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 futures also decline, edging lower 0.10% and 0.09% to below 7,000 and 25,800, respectively. The New York Stock Exchange will close early for Christmas Eve and remain closed on Thursday for Christmas Day.
US Index futures edged lower after the S&P 500 closed at a fresh record of 6,909.79 on Tuesday, extending its winning streak to four consecutive sessions. Technology stocks led gains again, with Nvidia rising 3%, Broadcom up 2.3%, and Amazon gaining 1.6%.
Traders continued to price in two Federal Reserve (Fed) rate cuts in 2026 despite stronger-than-expected economic data. Preliminary US annualized GDP grew 4.3% in the July–September period, beating expectations of 3.3% and the prior quarter’s 3.8% expansion. Meanwhile, the core PCE Price Index rose 2.9% quarter-over-quarter, in line with forecasts.
White House Adviser Kevin Hassett said on Tuesday that the Fed is not cutting interest rates quickly enough, even though the US economy grew at a much faster-than-expected pace in the third quarter, according to a CNBC report. Moreover, Fed Member of the Board of Governors Stephen Miran said on Monday that failing to ease policy would raise recession risks, adding that the need to dissent for 50 basis points diminishes over time as rates are reduced.
Dow Jones FAQs
The Dow Jones Industrial Average, one of the oldest stock market indices in the world, is compiled of the 30 most traded stocks in the US. The index is price-weighted rather than weighted by capitalization. It is calculated by summing the prices of the constituent stocks and dividing them by a factor, currently 0.152. The index was founded by Charles Dow, who also founded the Wall Street Journal. In later years it has been criticized for not being broadly representative enough because it only tracks 30 conglomerates, unlike broader indices such as the S&P 500.
Many different factors drive the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA). The aggregate performance of the component companies revealed in quarterly company earnings reports is the main one. US and global macroeconomic data also contributes as it impacts on investor sentiment. The level of interest rates, set by the Federal Reserve (Fed), also influences the DJIA as it affects the cost of credit, on which many corporations are heavily reliant. Therefore, inflation can be a major driver as well as other metrics which impact the Fed decisions.
Dow Theory is a method for identifying the primary trend of the stock market developed by Charles Dow. A key step is to compare the direction of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and the Dow Jones Transportation Average (DJTA) and only follow trends where both are moving in the same direction. Volume is a confirmatory criteria. The theory uses elements of peak and trough analysis. Dow’s theory posits three trend phases: accumulation, when smart money starts buying or selling; public participation, when the wider public joins in; and distribution, when the smart money exits.
There are a number of ways to trade the DJIA. One is to use ETFs which allow investors to trade the DJIA as a single security, rather than having to buy shares in all 30 constituent companies. A leading example is the SPDR Dow Jones Industrial Average ETF (DIA). DJIA futures contracts enable traders to speculate on the future value of the index and Options provide the right, but not the obligation, to buy or sell the index at a predetermined price in the future. Mutual funds enable investors to buy a share of a diversified portfolio of DJIA stocks thus providing exposure to the overall index.
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