Gold holds steady below $4,700 as traders eye US jobs report, potential US-Iran peace deal
- Gold price flat lines around $4,685 in Friday’s early Asian session.
- Growing optimism regarding a potential US-Iran peace deal supports the gold price.
- Trump is waiting for Iran to respond to its proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war.
Gold price (XAU/USD) holds steady near $4,685 during the early Asian session on Friday. Traders prefer to wait on the sidelines ahead of the key US employment data for April, which is due later in the day.
Economists expect a gain of 62,000 jobs for April, while the Unemployment Rate is projected to remain steady at 4.3%. This report might dictate the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) next move regarding interest rates. Any signs of improvement in the US labor market could lift the US Dollar (USD) and weigh on the USD-denominated commodity price in the near term.
On the other hand, optimism over a US-Iran peace deal has led to a sharp drop in oil prices and eased concerns over inflation. The US President Donald Trump administration has been waiting for Iran to respond to its proposal to reopen the Strait of Hormuz and end the war.
Iran’s leaders haven't indicated whether they’ll accept the terms of the deal, though they’ve previously shown little sign of yielding on their nuclear program and accepting a moratorium on enriching uranium.
Gold FAQs
Gold has played a key role in human’s history as it has been widely used as a store of value and medium of exchange. Currently, apart from its shine and usage for jewelry, the precious metal is widely seen as a safe-haven asset, meaning that it is considered a good investment during turbulent times. Gold is also widely seen as a hedge against inflation and against depreciating currencies as it doesn’t rely on any specific issuer or government.
Central banks are the biggest Gold holders. In their aim to support their currencies in turbulent times, central banks tend to diversify their reserves and buy Gold to improve the perceived strength of the economy and the currency. High Gold reserves can be a source of trust for a country’s solvency. Central banks added 1,136 tonnes of Gold worth around $70 billion to their reserves in 2022, according to data from the World Gold Council. This is the highest yearly purchase since records began. Central banks from emerging economies such as China, India and Turkey are quickly increasing their Gold reserves.
Gold has an inverse correlation with the US Dollar and US Treasuries, which are both major reserve and safe-haven assets. When the Dollar depreciates, Gold tends to rise, enabling investors and central banks to diversify their assets in turbulent times. Gold is also inversely correlated with risk assets. A rally in the stock market tends to weaken Gold price, while sell-offs in riskier markets tend to favor the precious metal.
The price can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can quickly make Gold price escalate due to its safe-haven status. As a yield-less asset, Gold tends to rise with lower interest rates, while higher cost of money usually weighs down on the yellow metal. Still, most moves depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAU/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Gold controlled, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to push Gold prices up.
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