Prediction market giant Polymarket has partnered with Nasdaq Private Market (NPM) to launch real-time markets on private companies.
Users can now trade outcomes tied to valuations, IPO timings, and secondary share prices, bringing Wall Street-level data to everyday traders.
The exclusive data deal gives Polymarket access to NPM’s authoritative transaction and pricing information for accurate resolutions.
This opens exposure to roughly 1,600 global unicorns collectively valued at over $5 trillion, assets previously reserved for institutions and accredited investors.
“For the first time, anyone can engage with the outcomes driving value at the world’s most consequential private companies,” read an excerpt in the announcement, citing Shayne Coplan, Polymarket Founder and CEO.
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Traders buy Yes/No contracts on specific milestones, such as “Will Company X reach $10B valuation by Q3?” or “IPO before year-end?”
Prices between $0.01 and $0.99 reflect crowd-sourced probabilities. Winning contracts settle at $1, powered by NPM’s institutional-grade data.
This launch arrives amid surging interest in prediction markets. Polymarket has seen billions in weekly volume during major events and secured major partnerships, including with ICE (NYSE parent) valuing the platform near $8-9 billion.
Retail participants gain new tools for hedging or speculating on pre-IPO dynamics, while institutions can tap crowd wisdom as a complementary signal to traditional data flows.
More private company markets will roll out in the coming weeks. The partnership signals growing mainstream adoption of prediction markets as credible financial instruments.
This could influence how investors assess and access illiquid opportunities in the months ahead.