The “Great Rotation” is driving indiscriminate selling across software stocks.
Fundamentally strong companies like Commvault Systems are seeing stock prices fall sharply despite accelerating revenue.
Commvault’s focus on cyber resilience puts it in a durable, growing market, making the current drawdown an investment opportunity.
The investment prognosticators on social media keep talking about what to do when the current market rotation hits your tech portfolio. Sell the giants, they say. Pile into industrials. Find something "real."
I've been doing something a little different: I've been looking at the tech stock rubble and at the names that got sold indiscriminately because investors stopped caring about fundamentals and just wanted out of anything that smelled like software.
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
That's how I found the powerful growth stock Commvault Systems (NASDAQ: CVLT).
Image source: Getty Images.
Here's the part that genuinely confused me when I dug into Commvault: The company beat estimates. Cleanly. In its fiscal third quarter of 2026 (ended Dec. 31, 2025), it reported total revenue of $314 million, up 19% year over year. This was ahead of its own guidance of $298 million to $300 million. Subscription revenue grew 30% to $206 million. SaaS revenue specifically jumped 44%. It hit $1 billion in annualized recurring revenue ahead of schedule, two full quarters earlier than originally targeted.
And the stock dropped 33% on earnings day.
The sell-off was driven by software and tech-sector contagion, not by Commvault's actual results. When enterprise software broadly cratered in early 2026 amid fears that AI agents would eat into legacy software revenue, the selling became indiscriminate. More than $2 trillion was wiped from the software sector in a matter of weeks, and Commvault got caught in the flood. As of late March, the stock was down more than 52% from its highs -- trading near its 52-week low of $76.79 -- despite four consecutive quarters of beating revenue estimates.
The thing I keep coming back to is that Commvault isn't a software-for-software's-sake company. It protects data. It recovers businesses from ransomware attacks. It secures enterprise identities in hybrid cloud environments. The company estimates its total addressable market at $24 billion today, growing at a 12% compound annual rate to $38 billion by 2028 -- driven by the exact trends that nobody thinks are slowing down: more data, more cloud complexity, more sophisticated cyberattacks.
Its latest moves reflect that positioning. The company recently expanded its Identity Resilience portfolio to support Okta, allowing enterprises to fully recover their Okta environments after a breach or disruption. It also struck a strategic alliance with NetApp to combine Commvault's cyber recovery capabilities with NetApp's storage infrastructure, creating an integrated solution for enterprise ransomware defense and recovery. These are platform extensions that make Commvault harder to rip out and easier to grow with.
I'm not pretending this is a no-brainer growth stock. Commvault is trading at its lowest levels in years, which means someone is still selling. The fear around AI agents displacing legacy software spend is legitimate, even if it doesn't neatly apply to Commvault, and the company still has work to do in converting its remaining maintenance customers to subscription.
But here's where I land: When a company grows 22%, beats estimates, and the stock drops 33%, that's the market mispricing, not punishing. The Great Rotation is real. I'm just not letting it convince me to sell a cyber resilience platform that enterprises genuinely can't afford to live without.
Before you buy stock in Commvault Systems, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Commvault Systems wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $532,066!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,087,496!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 926% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 185% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of April 4, 2026.
Micah Zimmerman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends NetApp and Okta. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.