Chipotle's CEO Just Admitted the Company Is Staring at a $28 Billion Opportunity
Key Points
Weak foot traffic pressured the company’s sales in 2025.
Chipotle's long-term growth profile looks compelling, with huge potential to increase revenue.
With the valuation multiple coming down sharply in recent years, this opportunity is interesting.
- 10 stocks we like better than Chipotle Mexican Grill ›
Shares of Chipotle Mexican Grill (NYSE: CMG) have been on a volatile run. As of Feb. 10, they trade 42% off their peak. But they have climbed 29% in the past three months.
The business exceeded analyst estimates for revenue and earnings per share in last year's fourth quarter (ended Dec. 31). However, foot traffic declined in every single quarter of 2025 -- not an encouraging sign.
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
Investors must maintain a long-term focus. That's because the consumer discretionary stock's CEO just admitted that the company is staring at a $28 billion opportunity.
Image source: Getty Images.
Looking at the big picture
Scott Boatwright, who has been in Chipotle's top job since late 2024, after Brian Niccol left to go to Starbucks, provided upbeat commentary about the company's future. "We still have confidence in the long-term algorithm of getting to $4 million annual unit volumes (AUVs) and approaching 30% margins," he said on the Q4 2025 earnings call.
In Q4, Chipotle generated AUVs of $3.1 million. This figure represents yearly sales at each company-owned location.
The business currently has 4,042 company-owned stores. But Boatwright also reiterated a target of 7,000 restaurants open in North America one day. By doing some simple math, we can figure out that this outlook implies $28 billion in revenue potential for the leader in Tex-Mex dining. Not including stores in other markets, that's 135% higher than what the company collected in 2025.
It's understandable if investors aren't so high on Chipotle these days. It just wrapped up a disappointing year. Lower-income and younger consumers are pulling back their spending, which is clearly having a negative impact.
But Chipotle's leadership team is optimistic. They opened 334 new locations in 2025. The goal is to open 350 to 370 in 2026. Many are being built with Chipotlane drive-through setups, which boost sales, margins, and returns. Throw in ongoing investments in supply chain and tech initiatives, and higher AUVs with improving restaurant-level margins are in play.
Hungry for winning returns
Since the COVID-19 pandemic hit almost six years ago, Chipotle has been able to continue growing its store base, revenue, and profits. This impressive trajectory happened during a period of multiple macrorelated developments. Besides the health crisis, there was inflation, rising interest rates, tariff announcements, and weaker consumer confidence last year. Chipotle's ability to navigate the headwinds should give investors confidence in its long-term prospects.
Shares aren't as expensive as they used to be. The current price-to-earnings ratio of 34.4 is 72% cheaper than what it was exactly five years ago. I believe this is an interesting opportunity for investors to add an industry-leading company to their portfolios while it's on the dip.
Should you buy stock in Chipotle Mexican Grill right now?
Before you buy stock in Chipotle Mexican Grill, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Chipotle Mexican Grill wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $429,385!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,165,045!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 913% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 196% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of February 12, 2026.
Neil Patel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chipotle Mexican Grill and Starbucks. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short March 2026 $42.50 calls on Chipotle Mexican Grill. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.
Recommended Articles
