Brown Brothers Harriman's (BBH) analysis shows that the NAB December business survey supporting expectations for a rate hike by the RBA. If the upcoming trimmed mean CPI inflation exceeds the RBA's projection, it could lead to a February rate increase and bolster the AUD.
"The NAB December business survey backs RBA cash rate futures’ hike expectations. Both business confidence and business conditions recovered to a two-month high."
"If the December trimmed mean CPI inflation (due tomorrow) tracks above the RBA’s 3.2% y/y December projection, that could seal the deal for a February rate increase and support a firmer AUD."
(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)