USD/CNH: Set to test 7.1630 near term – UOB Group

Decline in the US Dollar (USD) seems to have stabilised; it is likely to trade in a 7.1350/7.1630 range today. While downward momentum has been boosted, it is unclear at this time if it is sufficiently enough for USD to break below 7.0635, UOB Group FX analysts Quek Ser Leang and Lee Sue Ann note.

Bulls push towards 7.1630

24-HOUR VIEW: “While we expected USD to continue to decline yesterday, we indicated that ‘the support at 7.1300 is likely out of reach.’ During NY trading, USD briefly fell sharply to 7.1317 before rebounding strongly to close nearly unchanged at 7.1475 (-0.02%). The decline seems to have stabilised. Today, USD is likely to trade in a 7.1350/7.1630 range.”

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: “After USD fell two days ago, we indicated yesterday (14 Aug, spot at 7.1500) that ‘while downward momentum has been boosted, it is unclear at this time if it is sufficiently enough for USD to break below 7.0635.’ Our view remains unchanged. Overall, the bias remains on the downside as long as 7.1850 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level) is not breached.”