Warren Buffett's Top Strategy for Navigating a Market Crash

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Thanks to stubborn inflation and towering U.S. debt, investors may be growing worried about the markets.

  • Bear markets typically last around 9.6 months, and stocks average a 35% decline during that time.

  • Surprisingly, stocks can actually have some of their best-performing days during a bear market.

  • 10 stocks we like better than S&P 500 Index ›

Despite the S&P 500's (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) 13.3% gain thus far in 2026, there's still plenty bubbling beneath the surface that could trigger a sharp and sudden market crash. Stubborn inflation, the U.S. national debt sitting above $40 trillion, and fears of an artificial intelligence bubble are just a few concerns.

As one of the most successful investors of all time, Warren Buffett has some sage advice. It's found in the 1996 Berkshire Hathaway shareholder letter, which offered one of the top strategies for handling a market crash. The good news is that it can be followed before a crash even starts.

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Warren Buffett, former CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.

Image source: Getty Images.

A top tip from the Oracle of Omaha

It's easy to feel panicked when the market starts tumbling, and making any kind of move, even if it's a knee-jerk reaction, can initially feel better than making no move at all. While that small voice whispering to "sell" may never go away during the initial waves of a market crash, it can be countered by being prepared in advance.

Buffett shared exactly how to counter it. In Berkshire's 1996 shareholder letter, he said, "If you aren't willing to own a stock for ten years, don't even think about owning it for ten minutes."

This allows someone to consider before even buying a stock how comfortable they would feel holding it if the market were to crash. That can help build a portfolio of high-conviction positions that an investor can hold for the long haul.

Bear markets can still mean big profits

It seems paradoxical that some of the best days for the S&P 500 occur during bear markets. These are declines of 20% or more from recent highs, which are more prolonged than a sudden market crash and can cause people to panic even more. However, according to research by the asset management firm Hartford Funds, 48% of the best days for the S&P 500 between 1996 and 2025 occurred during bear markets. For the remaining periods, 28% of the best days were during the first two months of a bull market, while 24% were during the rest of a bull market.

Hartford Funds' data shows that missing any of those best days can be destructive to building wealth. A hypothetical $10,000 investment in the S&P 500 in 1996 would have grown to $192,167 by the end of 2025. Missing the 10 best days, however, would have shrunk that return by 56%, to $85,490. It gets worse from there. Missing the 20 best days would have resulted in a return of $49,551, and missing the 30 best days would have returned just $31,123.

For investors who can stay strong during downturns, the good news is that, even if a quick crash turns into a bear market, they typically last less than 10 months and average a 35% loss. In comparison, bull markets last around 2.7 years, and during bull markets, stocks gain an average of 112%.

Having those high-conviction positions doesn't just mean that it will be easier to stand firm during a market crash. It may also make it even easier to add to a position to build long-term wealth.

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Jack Delaney has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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