Fed’s Williams sees one final 2026 rate hike, none in 2027

Source Fxstreet

On Tuesday, the New York Fed President John Williams, a voter at the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) in 2026, said that he believes that “disinflationary forces are at play,” and added that “one more interest-rate hike is appropriate this year.”

Williams commented that there are no signs the jobs market is contributing to inflation and instead said, “AI is the inflation driver I am watching most closely.” He added that he doesn’t see a rate hike in 2027.

Key highlights:

I still believe disinflationary forces are at play

No sign the labor market is contributing to inflation

I am not seeing broad price pressure outside AI and energy

AI is the inflation driver I am watching most closely

The reason for a September hike ‘starts from risk management’

The rate path will be about maintaining a balanced economy

Currently sees no need for rate hike in 2027

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.40% -0.36% -0.21% -0.50% -0.36% -0.48% -0.26%
EUR 0.40% 0.04% 0.20% -0.10% 0.02% -0.08% 0.14%
GBP 0.36% -0.04% 0.15% -0.17% -0.02% -0.17% 0.11%
JPY 0.21% -0.20% -0.15% -0.30% -0.16% -0.28% -0.04%
CAD 0.50% 0.10% 0.17% 0.30% 0.14% 0.02% 0.26%
AUD 0.36% -0.02% 0.02% 0.16% -0.14% -0.13% 0.11%
NZD 0.48% 0.08% 0.17% 0.28% -0.02% 0.13% 0.24%
CHF 0.26% -0.14% -0.11% 0.04% -0.26% -0.11% -0.24%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Fed FAQs

Monetary policy in the US is shaped by the Federal Reserve (Fed). The Fed has two mandates: to achieve price stability and foster full employment. Its primary tool to achieve these goals is by adjusting interest rates. When prices are rising too quickly and inflation is above the Fed’s 2% target, it raises interest rates, increasing borrowing costs throughout the economy. This results in a stronger US Dollar (USD) as it makes the US a more attractive place for international investors to park their money. When inflation falls below 2% or the Unemployment Rate is too high, the Fed may lower interest rates to encourage borrowing, which weighs on the Greenback.

The Federal Reserve (Fed) holds eight policy meetings a year, where the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) assesses economic conditions and makes monetary policy decisions. The FOMC is attended by twelve Fed officials – the seven members of the Board of Governors, the president of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, and four of the remaining eleven regional Reserve Bank presidents, who serve one-year terms on a rotating basis.

In extreme situations, the Federal Reserve may resort to a policy named Quantitative Easing (QE). QE is the process by which the Fed substantially increases the flow of credit in a stuck financial system. It is a non-standard policy measure used during crises or when inflation is extremely low. It was the Fed’s weapon of choice during the Great Financial Crisis in 2008. It involves the Fed printing more Dollars and using them to buy high grade bonds from financial institutions. QE usually weakens the US Dollar.

Quantitative tightening (QT) is the reverse process of QE, whereby the Federal Reserve stops buying bonds from financial institutions and does not reinvest the principal from the bonds it holds maturing, to purchase new bonds. It is usually positive for the value of the US Dollar.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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