US Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 197K last week
- Initial Jobless Claims went down to 197K vs. the previous week.
- Continuing Jobless Claims went up to 1.716M.
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance decreased to 197K for the week ending October 3. The latest print came in below initial estimates (200K) and was lower than the previous week’s 199K (revised from 197K).
Additionally, the 4-week moving average went down by 2.5K to 180K vs. the previous week’s revised prints (200.5K).
The report also indicated that Continuing Jobless Claims rose by 17K to 1.716M for the week ending September 26.
Market reaction
The Greenback builds on Wednesday’s advance, motivating the US Dollar Index (DXY) to trade with modest gains in the 102.30 zone, close to recent 18-month highs, as investors continue to assess the latest data releases.
Employment FAQs
Labor market conditions are a key element to assess the health of an economy and thus a key driver for currency valuation. High employment, or low unemployment, has positive implications for consumer spending and thus economic growth, boosting the value of the local currency. Moreover, a very tight labor market – a situation in which there is a shortage of workers to fill open positions – can also have implications on inflation levels and thus monetary policy as low labor supply and high demand leads to higher wages.
The pace at which salaries are growing in an economy is key for policymakers. High wage growth means that households have more money to spend, usually leading to price increases in consumer goods. In contrast to more volatile sources of inflation such as energy prices, wage growth is seen as a key component of underlying and persisting inflation as salary increases are unlikely to be undone. Central banks around the world pay close attention to wage growth data when deciding on monetary policy.
The weight that each central bank assigns to labor market conditions depends on its objectives. Some central banks explicitly have mandates related to the labor market beyond controlling inflation levels. The US Federal Reserve (Fed), for example, has the dual mandate of promoting maximum employment and stable prices. Meanwhile, the European Central Bank’s (ECB) sole mandate is to keep inflation under control. Still, and despite whatever mandates they have, labor market conditions are an important factor for policymakers given its significance as a gauge of the health of the economy and their direct relationship to inflation.
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