Asian FX: Differentiation theme with Oil and AI – OCBC

Source Fxstreet

OCBC strategists Sim Moh Siong and Christopher Wong expect a mixed performance across Asian FX as a fragile US‑Iran ceasefire cools Oil from recent highs but does not deliver a clean de-escalation. They see Oil-sensitive currencies like Indonesian Rupiah (IDR), Indian Rupee (INR), Philippine Peso (PHP) and Thai Baht (THB) under pressure, while AI (Artificial intelligence) and tech proxies such as Taiwan Dollar (TWD), South Korean Won (KRW) and, to some extent, Malaysian Ringgit (MYR) may trade on a firmer footing.

Oil importers lag, tech proxies firmer

"US-Iran ceasefire appears to be holding for now, despite the earlier exchange of fire and fresh tensions around UAE and Strait of Hormuz."

"Nevertheless, that was enough to calm sentiment at the margin, with oil easing from recent highs. This underscores a fragile rather than a clean de-escalation."

"On relative terms with USD out of the equation, oil-sensitive currencies such as IDR, INR, PHP and THB should stay under pressure while AI/ tech proxy, TWD, KRW, and to some extent, MYR may continue to trade on a firmer footing. "

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor.)

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin CME gaps at $35,000, $27,000 and $21,000, which one gets filled first?Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 22, 2023
Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
placeholder
Elon Musk’s xAI and Neuralink Launch New Funding Rounds​Billionaire Elon Musk recently raised funds for his two high-profile tech companies, xAI and Neuralink.
Author  Insights
Jun 03, 2025
​Billionaire Elon Musk recently raised funds for his two high-profile tech companies, xAI and Neuralink.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
WTI Oil pulls back as Hormuz supply worries ease, Iran-US tensions keep volatility highWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $101.10 on Tuesday, down 1.26% at the time of writing, after posting strong gains the previous day amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 10: 32
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $101.10 on Tuesday, down 1.26% at the time of writing, after posting strong gains the previous day amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
goTop
quote