Mitrade Insights is dedicated to providing investors with rich, timely and most valuable financial information to help investors grasp the market situation and find timely trading opportunities.

2021

Best News & Analysis Provider

FxDailyInfo

2022

Best Forex Educational Resources Global

International Business Magazine

Insights

News

Forex

British Pound: BoE repricing risk keeps Pound vulnerable – BBH

Source Fxstreet

According to Elias Haddad at Brown Brothers Harriman, GBP/USD is lower on broad Dollar strength and EUR/GBP is slightly firmer after weaker United Kingdom (UK) September Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI). The swaps curve implies about 100 bps of Bank of England (BoE) hikes to 4.75%, but Haddad argues the BoE may not need to tighten that much, leaving the Pound exposed to a dovish repricing.

Weak UK PMI and BoE expectations weigh

"GBP/USD is down on broad USD strength while EUR/GBP is a little firmer. UK September PMI undershot expectations. The composite PMI fell to a three-month low at 51.7 (consensus: 52.0) vs. 52.5 in August."

"The details showed services sector growth slowed, manufacturing activity gained traction, and inflationary pressures intensified."

"The swaps curve continues to imply about 100bps of BoE rate hikes in the next twelve months to 4.75%. In our view, the BoE may not need to tighten as much as markets expect. The UK economy is already operating below capacity, the Bank Rate at 3.75% is near the top of the BoE’s estimated 2% to 4% neutral range, and fiscal policy will likely turn more restrictive."

(This article was created with the help of an Artificial Intelligence tool and reviewed by an editor. Know more.)

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.

Recommended Articles

Gold ends three-week slide at the $4,400 line — eight straight days of ETF inflows vs a 5% 10-year and a 100 dollar Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.

Author Suzie

Sep 20, Sun

Spot gold closed Friday at $4,378.39, up 0.84% on the day and about 0.8% for the week — its first weekly gain in four weeks — with the intraday high of $4,399.67 leaving it 33 cents shy of the $4,400 line. Gold ETFs have now logged eight straight sessions of inflows, but with the 10-year back above 5% and the dollar index near 100, here is what decides whether this is a reversal or a bounce.

WTI (USOIL) Is down 2.13% on Sep 22: What Is Driving the Move?WTI (USOIL) is down 2.13% at Sep 22 05:55(ET), now at $89.999, with a 7-day down of 12.84%.What is driving WTI (USOIL)’s stock price down today?The retreat in US crude oil benchmark prices was primari

Author TradingKey

Sep 22, Tue

WTI (USOIL) is down 2.13% at Sep 22 05:55(ET), now at $89.999, with a 7-day down of 12.84%.What is driving WTI (USOIL)’s stock price down today?The retreat in US crude oil benchmark prices was primari

October hike odds climb toward 60% as Goldman and BofA both flip — what Warsh's "dose of accommodation" really changed Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.

Author Irene Q.

20 hours ago

Rate futures now price roughly 55% to 62% for a 25bp hike at the October 27-28 FOMC, up from about 30% before Chair Warsh's post-meeting framing that the Fed is merely "removing some accommodation." Goldman Sachs has added an October hike to its forecast and Bank of America now sees moves in both October and December. Here is the repricing, the language behind it, and the two data points that decide it.

Memory chips surge, Nasdaq notches a second straight record close — why the Dow fell 185 points anyway Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.

Author Irene Q.

19 hours ago

Micron gained 5%, SanDisk 6.8%, Seagate 4% and Western Digital 3% as the memory complex led the Nasdaq Composite to a second consecutive record close of 27,244.28. But the Dow fell 185 points as JPMorgan, Wells Fargo and Schwab slid more than 3% each — a split tape that says more about positioning than about the economy.

Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD drifts toward $4.300 with bears gaining traction Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.

Author FXStreet

16 hours ago

Gold (XAU/USD) retraces Tuesday’s gains on Wednesday and drifts lower, approaching the $4,300 area as the US Dollar Index (DXY) rallies further amid high US Treasury yields.

Related Instrument