After a 95% Crash, This China Education Stock Has Drawn a $35 Million Bet From One Institutional Investor

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Singapore-based Serenity Capital Management added 411,380 shares in EDU during the third quarter.

  • The value of the position increased by approximately $21.6 million from the previous period.

  • As of September 30, the fund reported holding 656,878 EDU shares valued at $34.9 million, making it the fund's fifth-largest holding.

  • These 10 stocks could mint the next wave of millionaires ›

New Oriental Education & Technology Group (NYSE:EDU) saw a significant purchase from Singapore-based Serenity Capital Management, which increased its position by approximately $21.6 million, according to a November 13 SEC filing.

What Happened

According to a Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing dated November 13, Singapore-based Serenity Capital Management increased its stake in New Oriental Education & Technology Group (NYSE:EDU) by 411,380 shares during the third quarter. The updated position totals 656,878 shares valued at $34.9 million as of September 30. The trade lifted New Oriental Education & Technology Group as the fund's fifth-largest holding out of eight reported positions.

What Else to Know

The fund's buy brought New Oriental Education & Technology Group to 8.8% of its 13F reportable assets under management.

Top holdings after the filing:

  • NASDAQ: BZ: $117.6 million (29.9% of AUM)
  • NYSE: ZTO: $97.1 million (24.6% of AUM)
  • NYSE: TAL: $53 million (13.4% of AUM)
  • NASDAQ: HTHT: $49.8 million (12.6% of AUM)
  • NYSE: EDU: $34.9 million (8.8% of AUM)

As of Friday, EDU shares were priced at $55.67, down 5.3% over the past year and well underperforming the S&P 500, which is up 16.5% in the same period.

Company Overview

MetricValue
Price (as of Friday)$55.67
Market Capitalization$9.3 billion
Revenue (TTM)$5 billion
Net Income (TTM)$367 million

Company Snapshot

  • New Oriental Education & Technology Group offers private educational services, including test preparation, after-school tutoring, language training, and online education programs across China.
  • The company generates revenue primarily through tuition fees for in-person and online courses, as well as educational materials and consulting services.
  • It serves students from pre-school to college age, with a focus on K-12 and test preparation markets in China, and students preparing for overseas studies.

New Oriental Education & Technology Group is a leading provider of private education services in China, operating an extensive network of schools and learning centers. The company leverages a diversified portfolio of offerings, from language training to test preparation and online education, to address evolving educational needs. Its scale and breadth of services provide a strong competitive position in the Chinese education sector.

Foolish Take

In a tightly concentrated portfolio with just eight positions, increasing exposure to a stock that once lost more than 95% of its value signals a willingness to underwrite regulatory risk in exchange for durability and cash flow. This is not a momentum trade. It is a bet on survival and adaptation.

The business today looks nothing like it did at its 2021 peak. Following China’s crackdown on for-profit tutoring, the company rebuilt around adult education, overseas test prep, consulting, and newer education-adjacent initiatives. The latest earnings back that up. First-quarter fiscal 2026 revenue rose 6.1% year over year to $1.52 billion, while operating income climbed 6% to $311 million. Non-GAAP operating margin improved to 22%, reflecting tighter cost control and a more disciplined operating model.

Just as important is the balance sheet. The company ended the quarter with over $1.2 billion in cash, and management has also committed to returning at least 50% of annual net income to shareholders through dividends and buybacks starting this fiscal year.

In a portfolio dominated by Chinese internet and education names, this position sits alongside peers facing similar policy risk. For long-term investors, the takeaway is simple: This is a bet that a scaled, profitable survivor can still compound from a far smaller but sturdier base.

Glossary

13F reportable assets under management: The portion of a fund’s assets disclosed in quarterly SEC Form 13F filings.
AUM (Assets Under Management): The total market value of investments managed by a fund or investment firm.
Stake: The ownership interest or number of shares held in a particular company by an investor or fund.
Compound annual growth rate (CAGR): The average yearly growth rate of a value over a specified time period, accounting for compounding.
Forward P/E: Price-to-earnings ratio using forecasted future earnings, indicating how much investors are paying for expected profits.
EV/EBITDA: Enterprise value divided by earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization; a measure of company valuation.
Buy (in fund context): An investment action where a fund increases its holdings in a specific security.
Top holdings: The largest investments in a fund’s portfolio, usually ranked by value or percentage of assets.
TTM: The 12-month period ending with the most recent quarterly report.
Test preparation: Educational services focused on helping students prepare for standardized exams or entrance tests.
Educational materials: Products such as textbooks, workbooks, or digital resources sold to support learning and instruction.
Learning centers: Physical locations where educational services, tutoring, or classes are provided to students.

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Jonathan Ponciano has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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