Can Occidental Petroleum (OXY) Stock Beat The Market?

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • Occidental Petroleum's returns have followed oil prices in recent years.

  • Its debt reduction strategy has paid off over the longer term.

  • The oil company has several growth catalysts that could fuel its returns in the future.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Occidental Petroleum ›

Occidental Petroleum (NYSE: OXY) is a leading diversified energy company. It has global oil and gas operations, marketing and midstream operations, a chemicals business, and a lower-carbon energy segment. The company's high-quality operations and management team have made it a top holding of Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway.

Here's a look at whether the oil stock has beaten the market over the past five years and if it could do so in the future.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

A person holding a wrench near an oil pump.

Image source: Getty Images.

Drilling down into Occidental Petroleum's returns

Here's a look at its returns compared to the S&P 500 over the last five years:

One-year

Three-year

Five-year

Occidental Petroleum

-14.3%

-34.1%

109.7%

Occidental Petroleum (total return with reinvested dividends)

-15.6%

-26.9%

121.2%

S&P 500

12.7%

70.7%

86.9%

Data source: Ycharts.

As the table below shows, while Occidental's stock and total return have badly trailed the market in more recent years, it has crushed the S&P 500 over the past five years.

Crude oil prices have influenced the company's returns during this period. WTI, the primary U.S. oil benchmark, has fallen 17.5% this year and is down over 22% during the past three years, which correlates with the decline in the company's stock price during that period. Meanwhile, WTI is up almost 25% over the past five years, which has helped fuel its rally during that time frame.

However, oil prices haven't been the only factor influencing Occidental's performance in recent years. Occidental has gotten a boost from Berkshire Hathaway's purchases, which started in early 2022. Additionally, the oil company has benefited from its strategy of paying down debt following its 2019 acquisition of rival Anadarko Petroleum. That debt reduction has taken the pressure off its balance sheet.

Can Occidental beat the market in the future?

Occidental Petroleum has been narrowing its focus in recent years. It has sold off several non-core assets to repay debt, including the recent agreement to sell its chemicals subsidiary, OxyChem, to Berkshire Hathaway in a $9.7 billion deal. That sale will enable the company to get its debt principal below the $15 billion target it set upon agreeing to buy CrownRock in late 2023.

The CrownRock purchase significantly enhanced the company's upstream oil and gas portfolio, which now boasts over 20 years of low-cost resources. With its balance sheet finally back on a firmer foundation, Occidental can focus on tapping into this resource to grow shareholder value.

The company is also investing in building a lower-carbon energy platform focused on carbon capture and storage. Occidental is in the process of starting up its first direct air capture unit, which could be the first of many such facilities. It's also working to develop several sequestration hubs.

These growth catalysts could give Occidental the fuel to continue delivering market-beating returns in the future.

A market-beating oil stock

Occidental Petroleum's stock has underperformed the market in more recent years due to lower oil prices. However, it has trounced the market over the longer term. While higher oil prices have contributed to its outperformance, the company has also benefited from its strategy to improve its operations and balance sheet, which caught the attention of Warren Buffett's company. With more growth ahead, Occidental could continue to beat the market in the future if oil prices cooperate.

Should you buy stock in Occidental Petroleum right now?

Before you buy stock in Occidental Petroleum, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Occidental Petroleum wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $505,695!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,080,694!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 962% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 193% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of December 17, 2025.

Matt DiLallo has positions in Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool recommends Occidental Petroleum. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US Dollar's Decline Predicted in 2026: Morgan Stanley's Outlook on Currency VolatilityMorgan Stanley forecasts a 5% drop in the dollar by mid-2026, attributed to continued Fed rate cuts. A recovery may follow as growth improves and funding currency dynamics shift favorably toward the euro and Swiss franc.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 25, Tue
Morgan Stanley forecasts a 5% drop in the dollar by mid-2026, attributed to continued Fed rate cuts. A recovery may follow as growth improves and funding currency dynamics shift favorably toward the euro and Swiss franc.
placeholder
Gold's Historic 2025 Rally: Can the Momentum Last Through 2026?Following a historic surge in 2025 that saw prices climb over 60% and break records more than 50 times, gold investors are now looking ahead to assess whether the precious metal can sustain its momentum into 2026. Despite outperforming most major asset classes and heading for its best annual performance since 1979, analysts are divided on the outlook—with some seeing further room for gains and others cautioning that risks are rising.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 09, Tue
Following a historic surge in 2025 that saw prices climb over 60% and break records more than 50 times, gold investors are now looking ahead to assess whether the precious metal can sustain its momentum into 2026. Despite outperforming most major asset classes and heading for its best annual performance since 1979, analysts are divided on the outlook—with some seeing further room for gains and others cautioning that risks are rising.
placeholder
Global Markets on Edge Ahead of Key Economic Data and Central Bank Decisions As investors remain cautious, focus turns to upcoming UK wage data and European manufacturing insights ahead of crucial interest rate discussions. Market sentiment reflects heightened risk aversion amid U.S. jobs report anticipation.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 06: 04
As investors remain cautious, focus turns to upcoming UK wage data and European manufacturing insights ahead of crucial interest rate discussions. Market sentiment reflects heightened risk aversion amid U.S. jobs report anticipation.
placeholder
Cryptocurrencies Extend Losses as Year-End Caution and Thinning Liquidity Weigh on MarketThe cryptocurrency market declined on Monday, mirroring a pullback in global risk assets as investors turned cautious ahead of key U.S. economic data. The broad-based retreat highlighted thinning liquidity and growing risk aversion across financial markets as the year draws to a close.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 08: 11
The cryptocurrency market declined on Monday, mirroring a pullback in global risk assets as investors turned cautious ahead of key U.S. economic data. The broad-based retreat highlighted thinning liquidity and growing risk aversion across financial markets as the year draws to a close.
placeholder
Australian Interest Rate Cuts Postponed to 2027 Amid Rising Inflation Pressures, Westpac PredictsWestpac analysts forecast the Reserve Bank of Australia will hold interest rates steady through 2026, with potential cuts now expected in early to mid-2027 due to resurging inflation and labor market concerns.
Author  Mitrade
4 hours ago
Westpac analysts forecast the Reserve Bank of Australia will hold interest rates steady through 2026, with potential cuts now expected in early to mid-2027 due to resurging inflation and labor market concerns.
goTop
quote