Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC takes a breather as markets await outcome of US-China trade talks

Source Fxstreet
  • Bitcoin price retreats slightly on Tuesday after a sharp 4.3% increase on Monday.
  • Markets focus on the second day of US-China trade talks after Monday's little breakthroughs promped a pause in global risk appetite.
  • KURL announces plans to raise $300 million to buy BTC, signaling increasing interest from corporates.

Bitcoin (BTC) price declines to around $109,000 on Tuesday, just inches away from its all-time high. Sentiment in the crypto market is mixed sentiment due to the absence of substantive breakthroughs in US-China trade talks, which continue in London.

Bitcoin rally fades as no breakthrough in US-China trade talks

QCP Capital’s report on Tuesday noted that the absence of substantive breakthroughs in US-China trade talks led to a pause in global risk assets. The largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization had soared from a low of $105,300 to a high of $110,530, closing above $110,263 on Monday, just 1.56% shy of its all-time high.

“Markets remain in limbo,” says QCP’s analyst. The analyst added that investors are treading cautiously ahead of the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data to be published on Wednesday. The risk is that continued diplomatic ambiguity morphs into a headwind for broader risk sentiment.

Any positive outcome in US-China trade talks would fuel the risk-on sentiment as trade uncertainty between the two major global economic powers would ease. On the contrary, failure to reach any common ground would likely hurt crypto markets.

Bitcoin institutional demand continues to strengthen 

The demand for BTC from public companies continued to strengthen at the start of this week. On Monday, KULR Technology Group, Inc. announced that it would raise $300 million in capital through an at-the-market (ATM) offering of its common stock to support its Bitcoin treasury reserve, following a similar move followed by Strategy. 

The interest from public companies in Bitcoin indicates a growing acceptance of BTC as a strategic asset, helping to boost its legitimacy and potentially driving long-term adoption. 

Apart from public companies, the institutional demand saw a slight increase on Monday. According to SoSoValue data, Bitcoin spot ETFs experienced a mild inflow of $386.27 million on Monday, breaking a two-day streak of outflows seen last week.

Total Bitcoin Spot ETFs daily chart. Source: SoSoValue

Total Bitcoin Spot ETFs daily chart. Source: SoSoValue

Bitcoin Price Forecast: BTC closes above its key resistance  

Bitcoin price retested and found support around its 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $101,977 on Friday and then recovered sharply over the next three days. BTC closed above its key resistance level of $106,406 on Monday. At the time of writing on Tuesday, it hovers at around $109,000.

If BTC continues its upward trend, it could extend the rally to retest its May 22 all-time high of $111,980. 

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the daily chart reads 61, above its neutral level of 50, indicating strong bullish momentum. Moreover, the MACD indicator on the daily chart is about to flip a bullish crossover . If the MACD generates a this bullish crossover, it would provide a buying signal.

BTC/USDT daily chart 

BTC/USDT daily chart 

If the current retreat intensifies, BTC could extend the decline to retest its daily support level at $106,406.

Bitcoin, altcoins, stablecoins FAQs

Bitcoin is the largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, a virtual currency designed to serve as money. This form of payment cannot be controlled by any one person, group, or entity, which eliminates the need for third-party participation during financial transactions.

Altcoins are any cryptocurrency apart from Bitcoin, but some also regard Ethereum as a non-altcoin because it is from these two cryptocurrencies that forking happens. If this is true, then Litecoin is the first altcoin, forked from the Bitcoin protocol and, therefore, an “improved” version of it.

Stablecoins are cryptocurrencies designed to have a stable price, with their value backed by a reserve of the asset it represents. To achieve this, the value of any one stablecoin is pegged to a commodity or financial instrument, such as the US Dollar (USD), with its supply regulated by an algorithm or demand. The main goal of stablecoins is to provide an on/off-ramp for investors willing to trade and invest in cryptocurrencies. Stablecoins also allow investors to store value since cryptocurrencies, in general, are subject to volatility.

Bitcoin dominance is the ratio of Bitcoin's market capitalization to the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies combined. It provides a clear picture of Bitcoin’s interest among investors. A high BTC dominance typically happens before and during a bull run, in which investors resort to investing in relatively stable and high market capitalization cryptocurrency like Bitcoin. A drop in BTC dominance usually means that investors are moving their capital and/or profits to altcoins in a quest for higher returns, which usually triggers an explosion of altcoin rallies.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Faces Worst Fourth Quarter Since 2018 as Market Fatigue PersistsBitcoin's recent push back toward the $90,000 mark has provided the cryptocurrency market with a short-term lift, but few analysts view the move as a meaningful turning point following one of the weakest second halves in recent years.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 08: 57
Bitcoin's recent push back toward the $90,000 mark has provided the cryptocurrency market with a short-term lift, but few analysts view the move as a meaningful turning point following one of the weakest second halves in recent years.
placeholder
Gold Prices Hit Record High Amid U.S.-Venezuela Tensions and Rising Geopolitical RisksGold surged to an all-time high as safe-haven demand increased due to escalating tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, with significant gains seen in other precious metals like silver and platinum.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 31
Gold surged to an all-time high as safe-haven demand increased due to escalating tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, with significant gains seen in other precious metals like silver and platinum.
placeholder
Asian Stocks Climb, Yen Weakens as AI Rally Extends from Wall StreetAsian equities advanced on Monday, lifted by a rebound in artificial intelligence-related shares that sparked a rally on Wall Street last week. U.S. futures also pointed higher at the start of the new trading week.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 22, Mon
Asian equities advanced on Monday, lifted by a rebound in artificial intelligence-related shares that sparked a rally on Wall Street last week. U.S. futures also pointed higher at the start of the new trading week.
placeholder
Oil Prices Surge Amid U.S. Crackdown on Venezuelan Tankers and Middle East Tensions Oil prices rose in early Asian trading as the U.S. targets Venezuelan oil tankers amid geopolitical worries over Iran. Supply disruption fears contribute to rising Brent and WTI crude prices.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 22, Mon
Oil prices rose in early Asian trading as the U.S. targets Venezuelan oil tankers amid geopolitical worries over Iran. Supply disruption fears contribute to rising Brent and WTI crude prices.
placeholder
Bitcoin Faces Heavy Selling Pressure as Loss-Holders Cap Rally AttemptsBitcoin's near-term upside remains constrained by persistent selling from investors sitting on losses, creating a fragile trading environment as markets enter a typically low-liquidity holiday period.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 18, Thu
Bitcoin's near-term upside remains constrained by persistent selling from investors sitting on losses, creating a fragile trading environment as markets enter a typically low-liquidity holiday period.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote