EUR/USD Price Forecast: Holds near 1.1800 after pulling back from three-month highs

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/USD hit a three-month high of 1.1808 on Wednesday.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index sits at 71, signaling overbought conditions that may cap near-term upside.
  • The initial support lies at the nine-day EMA of 1.1745.

EUR/USD holds gains for the third successive session, trading around 1.1790 during the Asian hours on Wednesday. On the daily chart, technical analysis indicates a persistent bullish bias, as the pair moves upward within the ascending channel pattern. Additionally, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 71 (overbought), which could temper immediate upside as momentum stretches. An RSI overbought status would favor consolidation phases before trend resumption.

The nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) rises above the 50-day EMA, and spot holds north of both, reinforcing a bullish bias. The longer average is turning higher, underscoring improving trend conditions. Short-term momentum remains firm while the positive EMA alignment persists.

The EUR/USD pair tests the psychological level of 1.1800, followed by the three-month high of 1.1808, which was recorded on December 24. A break above this confluence resistance area would open the doors toward the upper boundary of the ascending channel around 1.1880, followed by 1.1918, the highest level since June 2021.

On the downside, the EUR/USD pair could find its immediate support at the nine-day EMA of 1.1745, aligned with the lower ascending channel boundary around 1.1740. A break below the channel would undermine short-term momentum, exposing the pair to a test of the 50-day EMA near 1.1660. Further downside could see prices retest the three-week low at 1.1589, set on December 1.

EUR/USD: Daily Chart

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.01% -0.12% -0.22% -0.09% -0.08% -0.05% -0.05%
EUR -0.01% -0.14% -0.22% -0.10% -0.09% -0.06% -0.06%
GBP 0.12% 0.14% -0.08% 0.04% 0.05% 0.08% 0.08%
JPY 0.22% 0.22% 0.08% 0.14% 0.14% 0.16% 0.17%
CAD 0.09% 0.10% -0.04% -0.14% -0.00% 0.02% 0.04%
AUD 0.08% 0.09% -0.05% -0.14% 0.00% 0.03% -0.01%
NZD 0.05% 0.06% -0.08% -0.16% -0.02% -0.03% 0.00%
CHF 0.05% 0.06% -0.08% -0.17% -0.04% 0.00% -0.00%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US Dollar's Decline Predicted in 2026: Morgan Stanley's Outlook on Currency VolatilityMorgan Stanley forecasts a 5% drop in the dollar by mid-2026, attributed to continued Fed rate cuts. A recovery may follow as growth improves and funding currency dynamics shift favorably toward the euro and Swiss franc.
Author  Mitrade
Nov 25, Tue
Morgan Stanley forecasts a 5% drop in the dollar by mid-2026, attributed to continued Fed rate cuts. A recovery may follow as growth improves and funding currency dynamics shift favorably toward the euro and Swiss franc.
placeholder
Gold's Historic 2025 Rally: Can the Momentum Last Through 2026?Following a historic surge in 2025 that saw prices climb over 60% and break records more than 50 times, gold investors are now looking ahead to assess whether the precious metal can sustain its momentum into 2026. Despite outperforming most major asset classes and heading for its best annual performance since 1979, analysts are divided on the outlook—with some seeing further room for gains and others cautioning that risks are rising.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 09, Tue
Following a historic surge in 2025 that saw prices climb over 60% and break records more than 50 times, gold investors are now looking ahead to assess whether the precious metal can sustain its momentum into 2026. Despite outperforming most major asset classes and heading for its best annual performance since 1979, analysts are divided on the outlook—with some seeing further room for gains and others cautioning that risks are rising.
placeholder
Oil Prices Surge Amid U.S. Crackdown on Venezuelan Tankers and Middle East Tensions Oil prices rose in early Asian trading as the U.S. targets Venezuelan oil tankers amid geopolitical worries over Iran. Supply disruption fears contribute to rising Brent and WTI crude prices.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 22, Mon
Oil prices rose in early Asian trading as the U.S. targets Venezuelan oil tankers amid geopolitical worries over Iran. Supply disruption fears contribute to rising Brent and WTI crude prices.
placeholder
Gold Prices Hit Record High Amid U.S.-Venezuela Tensions and Rising Geopolitical RisksGold surged to an all-time high as safe-haven demand increased due to escalating tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, with significant gains seen in other precious metals like silver and platinum.
Author  Mitrade
Yesterday 01: 31
Gold surged to an all-time high as safe-haven demand increased due to escalating tensions between the U.S. and Venezuela, with significant gains seen in other precious metals like silver and platinum.
placeholder
Bitcoin Faces Worst Fourth Quarter Since 2018 as Market Fatigue PersistsBitcoin's recent push back toward the $90,000 mark has provided the cryptocurrency market with a short-term lift, but few analysts view the move as a meaningful turning point following one of the weakest second halves in recent years.
Author  Mitrade
23 hours ago
Bitcoin's recent push back toward the $90,000 mark has provided the cryptocurrency market with a short-term lift, but few analysts view the move as a meaningful turning point following one of the weakest second halves in recent years.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote