Following its latest price plunge, PayPal now trades at a deeply discounted valuation.
SoFi trades at a valuation premium, as the fintech's growth story continues to unfold.
While upside potential for PayPal may be greater, the bull case with PayPal comes with greater risk and uncertainty.
PayPal Holdings (NASDAQ: PYPL), once the king of digital finance stocks, now struggles amid rising competition. After its own multiyear slump, SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) has now become a Wall Street darling among fintech stocks.
However, despite its problems, PayPal is undervalued while SoFi trades at a premium compared to its fintech peers. So, among the two, which should you buy?
Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »
Image source: Getty Images.
PayPal Holdings trades for less than 8 times forward earnings. That not only makes it cheaper than most fintech stocks, but also puts PayPal at a discount to most major bank stocks at this valuation.
However, the low valuation comes with major caveats. For one, the company just released horrendous quarterly results, with revenue and adjusted earnings fell short of expectations. Even PayPal's branded checkout business, a key growth focus for the company, is experiencing a flatlining of growth. In the prior year's quarter, this segment reported 6% revenue growth, but this quarter, growth came in at just 1%. In response to earnings, shares fell by over 20%.
Also, don't expect any sort of rapid recovery. With PayPal's 2026 guidance calling for either a "low-single digit decline" or "slightly positive" earnings growth, the market isn't exactly going to be rushing in to rerate this stock at a higher multiple.
And PayPal is replacing its CEO. Alex Chriss is out, and former HP CEO Enrique Lores is taking over the helm. Among other things, this C-suite change signals that PayPal's turnaround efforts are back to the drawing board.
In contrast to fading PayPal, SoFi is a rising star. Its shares are up 41% over the past year, thanks to a spate of strong quarterly results. SoFi has pulled back since last month's earnings release, but still trades at a rich 32 times forward earnings.
While not the priciest fintech out there, it does trade at a premium to many other major fintech stocks, including Upstart and Block, both of which trade for under 20 times forward earnings.
Although SoFi has pulled back after earnings failed to meet market expectations, don't assume the growth story behind SoFi has completely disappeared. SoFi ad impressive 40% year-over-year revenue growth and 160% earnings growth in the fourth quarter -- it just didn't do as well as analysts predicted.
In the years ahead, management expects revenue growth of over 30% and earnings growth of around 38% to 42%. If SoFi lives up to this, shares could sustain their rich valuation, rising in line with increased earnings.
Recent developments suggest investors should sell PayPal and buy SoFi. However, don't rule out the opposite proving true down the road. Given PayPal's low valuation, new catalysts, such as a potential sale of all or part of the company, could emerge.
Conversely, SoFi could always hit a growth slump down the road. If this occurs sooner than expected, it may lead to severe multiple compression for shares.
Nevertheless, I'd wait for positive news or a new turnaround plan to emerge before buying PayPal. And while SoFi is a buy today, keep an eye out for anything that could threaten the growth story.
Before you buy stock in PayPal, consider this:
The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and PayPal wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.
Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $414,554!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,120,663!*
Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 884% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 193% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.
See the 10 stocks »
*Stock Advisor returns as of February 17, 2026.
Thomas Niel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Block, HP, PayPal, and Upstart. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2027 $42.50 calls on PayPal and short March 2026 $65 calls on PayPal. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.