What Every ConocoPhillips Investor Should Know Before Buying

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • ConocoPhillips has a different business model compared to many of its peers.

  • It has a higher risk profile, yet with higher upside potential compared to its large integrated rivals.

  • It has several long-cycle capital projects under construction, which could double its free cash flow by 2029.

  • 10 stocks we like better than ConocoPhillips ›

ConocoPhillips (NYSE: COP) is a leading producer of oil and gas. It has built one of the industry's deepest, most durable, and diverse portfolios. The company controls a treasure trove of low-cost oil and gas supplies around the world.

These features have made the oil stock a very desirable investment. Here are two crucial factors investors need to know before buying shares.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now, when you join Stock Advisor. See the stocks »

An offshore oil production platform.

Image source: Getty Images.

It declared its independence a long time ago

ConocoPhillips is one of the largest oil and gas producers in the industry, with production approaching 2.4 million barrels of oil equivalent (BOE) per day. However, the company's business model differs significantly from those of fellow industry leaders ExxonMobil and Chevron. ConocoPhillips is an independent exploration and production company (E&P), while Exxon and Chevron are integrated energy companies.

An independent E&P company focuses on exploring for and producing oil and gas, which it sells on the open market. On the other hand, integrated energy companies have integrated upstream and downstream operations. They produce oil and gas that flows through midstream assets (many of which they own) to downstream refining and chemical facilities they operate. Both business models have their benefits and drawbacks.

ConocoPhillips was an integrated energy company until 2012, when it spun off its midstream and downstream operations into Phillips 66. That move created the industry's largest independent E&P company, enabling ConocoPhillips to focus exclusively on growing its production business to grow shareholder value. This strategic focus allows it to capitalize on the upside potential from rising oil and gas demand and pricing. In exchange, the company assumes more downside price risk compared to its integrated peers.

The coming free cash flow gusher

Many of ConocoPhillips' E&P peers focus exclusively on tapping the vast oil and gas resources in the lower 48 states, primarily utilizing unconventional production techniques (horizontal drilling with hydraulic fracturing). E&P companies can drill these wells quickly, enabling them to ramp their growth rates up or down based on market conditions.

ConocoPhillips, on the other hand, takes a much broader approach both geographically and operationally. While the company has one of the best unconventional U.S. onshore resource positions, it also invests in liquefied natural gas (both domestically and internationally), the Canadian oil sands, and conventional production in Alaska and elsewhere.

Building new LNG export terminals and production hubs in Alaska requires a significant amount of time and money. However, these investments can be worthwhile. ConocoPhillips is currently investing in three LNG projects and building its Willow oil project in Alaska. These projects should come online through 2029. The company estimates that these long-cycle projects will add a cumulative $7 billion to its annual free cash flow over the next four years as they come online. That has the company on track to double its free cash flow by 2029 compared to its current level.

A different kind of oil stock

ConocoPhillips is different from most other oil and gas companies. Its business model makes it riskier than integrated oil companies, but with more upside potential. It also has greater diversification and growth visibility compared to other independent E&Ps. In many ways, it's right in that sweet spot, making it a compelling oil stock to consider buying.

Should you invest $1,000 in ConocoPhillips right now?

Before you buy stock in ConocoPhillips, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and ConocoPhillips wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $562,536!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,096,510!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 981% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 187% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of November 24, 2025

Matt DiLallo has positions in Chevron, ConocoPhillips, and Phillips 66. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chevron. The Motley Fool recommends Phillips 66. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
U.S. Q3 Earnings Season Nears Close as Investors Eye Dell, HP Results.U.S. October PCE Price Index Released【The week ahead】TradingKey - Last week, concerns over an AI bubble, coupled with fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, triggered a broad sell-off in U.S. equities. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC.
Author  TradingKey
7 hours ago
TradingKey - Last week, concerns over an AI bubble, coupled with fading expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts, triggered a broad sell-off in U.S. equities. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC.
placeholder
Top 3 Price Prediction: Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple – BTC, ETH and XRP Attempt Recovery Post-SelloffBitcoin trades back above $87,700 after a 20% drop, while Ethereum rebounds from support around $2,749 and XRP recovers above $2.08 off its $1.96 floor, as BTC, ETH and XRP all try to turn last week’s steep correction into the start of a broader recovery.
Author  Mitrade
11 hours ago
Bitcoin trades back above $87,700 after a 20% drop, while Ethereum rebounds from support around $2,749 and XRP recovers above $2.08 off its $1.96 floor, as BTC, ETH and XRP all try to turn last week’s steep correction into the start of a broader recovery.
placeholder
2025 Black Friday is coming! Which stocks may see volatility?Coming on the day right after Thanksgiving in the United States, Back Friday marks the start of the holiday shopping season. Sales data from this shopping frenzy day reflects investor confidence and consumer trends. The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts that holiday season (Nov and Dec) retail sales in 2025 will likely exceed $1 trillion for the very first time, which represents a year-over-year increase of 3.7 to 4.2 percent. Historic data from the past decade show that the retail sector has generally outperformed the S&P 500 during the weeks before and after Black Friday. The following retailing companies are expected to be big winners:
Author  Insights
11 hours ago
Coming on the day right after Thanksgiving in the United States, Back Friday marks the start of the holiday shopping season. Sales data from this shopping frenzy day reflects investor confidence and consumer trends. The National Retail Federation (NRF) predicts that holiday season (Nov and Dec) retail sales in 2025 will likely exceed $1 trillion for the very first time, which represents a year-over-year increase of 3.7 to 4.2 percent. Historic data from the past decade show that the retail sector has generally outperformed the S&P 500 during the weeks before and after Black Friday. The following retailing companies are expected to be big winners:
placeholder
Bitcoin Volatility Spikes: Is Options-Driven Pricing Making a Comeback?Bitcoin's volatility is surging, suggesting a shift back to options-driven price action seen before Bitcoin ETFs were launched.
Author  Mitrade
13 hours ago
Bitcoin's volatility is surging, suggesting a shift back to options-driven price action seen before Bitcoin ETFs were launched.
placeholder
USD/JPY gathers strength to near 156.50 on mixed Fed signals The USD/JPY pair posts modest gains near 156.50 during the early Asian session on Monday. Less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations could provide some support to the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY).
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
The USD/JPY pair posts modest gains near 156.50 during the early Asian session on Monday. Less dovish Federal Reserve (Fed) expectations could provide some support to the US Dollar (USD) against the Japanese Yen (JPY).
goTop
quote