AUD/USD Price Forecast: Retains bullish bias near 0.7250, multi-year top on softer USD

Source Fxstreet
  • AUD/USD trades with a positive bias for the third straight day amid a weaker USD.
  • Hopes for a US-Iran peace deal and fading Fed rate hike bets undermine the buck.
  • The RBA’s hawkish outlook counters mixed trade data and supports the Aussie.

The AUD/USD pair attracts some dip-buyers during the Asian session on Thursday and stalls the previous day's late pullback from the 0.7275-0.7280 region, or its highest level since June 2022. Spot prices currently trade around mid-0.7200s, up for the third straight day.

The Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) hawkish outlook counters Australia's mixed trade data for March and continues to act as a tailwind for the Australian Dollar (AUD). Furthermore, the optimism over a potential US-Iran peace deal, along with receding bets for a rater hike by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in 2026, keeps the US Dollar (USD) bulls on the defensive and further lends support to the AUD/USD pair.

From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair holds a constructive bullish bias as it trades clearly above the 100-period Exponential Moving Average (EMA) on the 4-hour chart, which keeps the recent advance underpinned. Moreover, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is at about 64 points to firm upside momentum without yet signaling overbought conditions. Adding to this, the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) histogram holds slightly in positive territory, which suggests buyers retain near-term control.

Hence, any corrective pullback might still be seen as a buying opportunity near the 100-period EMA on H4, at 0.7158, which protects the latest higher low zone and would need to give way to signal a deeper corrective phase. On the flip side, a further move beyond the June 2022 swing high, just ahead of the 0.7300 mark, will be seen as a fresh trigger for bullish traders and could see the AUD/USD pair probe further move higher, as long as it continues to hold above the 0.7158 support area, or the 100-EMA on the 4-hour chart.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

AUD/USD 4-hour chart

Chart Analysis AUD/USD

Australian Dollar Price This week

The table below shows the percentage change of Australian Dollar (AUD) against listed major currencies this week. Australian Dollar was the strongest against the Canadian Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.03% -0.00% -0.23% 0.34% -0.47% -1.06% -0.17%
EUR 0.03% 0.02% -0.22% 0.37% -0.38% -1.02% -0.11%
GBP 0.00% -0.02% -0.23% 0.36% -0.40% -1.04% -0.14%
JPY 0.23% 0.22% 0.23% 0.63% -0.18% -0.74% 0.05%
CAD -0.34% -0.37% -0.36% -0.63% -0.77% -1.36% -0.49%
AUD 0.47% 0.38% 0.40% 0.18% 0.77% -0.64% 0.26%
NZD 1.06% 1.02% 1.04% 0.74% 1.36% 0.64% 0.91%
CHF 0.17% 0.11% 0.14% -0.05% 0.49% -0.26% -0.91%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Australian Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent AUD (base)/USD (quote).

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin CME gaps at $35,000, $27,000 and $21,000, which one gets filled first?Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
Author  FXStreet
Aug 22, 2023
Prioritize filling the $27,000 gap and even try higher.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
My Top 5 Stock Market Predictions for 2026Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
Author  Mitrade
Jan 06, Tue
Five 2026 market predictions written in a native, news-style voice: AI’s winners and losers, broader sector leadership, dividend demand, valuation cooling as the Shiller CAPE sits at 39 (Dec. 31, 2025), and quantum-computing bursts—while keeping all original facts and numbers unchanged.
placeholder
WTI Oil pulls back as Hormuz supply worries ease, Iran-US tensions keep volatility highWest Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $101.10 on Tuesday, down 1.26% at the time of writing, after posting strong gains the previous day amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Author  FXStreet
May 05, Tue
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) trades around $101.10 on Tuesday, down 1.26% at the time of writing, after posting strong gains the previous day amid escalating geopolitical tensions in the Middle East.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote