USD/CAD Price Forecast: Approaches mid-1.3600s as USD edges higher ahead of US CPI

Source Fxstreet
  • USD/CAD attracts buyers for the third straight day amid a combination of supporting factors.
  • Weaker Oil prices undermine the Loonie and support spot prices amid a modest USD strength.
  • The technical setup favors bulls as the focus remains glued to the US consumer inflation figures.

The USD/CAD pair is seen building on this week's goodish rebound from the 1.3500 psychological mark and gaining positive traction for the third consecutive day on Friday. The momentum lifts spot prices to a four-day high, around the 1.3630 region, during the early European session, and is sponsored by a combination of factors.

The US Dollar (USD) sticks to a mild positive bias as Wednesday's upbeat US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report tempered hopes for an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in March. Apart from this, weaker Crude Oil prices undermine the commodity-linked Loonie and support the USD/CAD pair as traders await US consumer inflation figures.

From a technical perspective, the 100-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) slopes lower at 1.3576, yet the spot prices hold above it, preserving a modestly bid tone. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) stands at 68, near overbought, signaling firm bullish momentum that could cool if the USD/CAD stays beneath the 1.3641 initial resistance, or the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level of the fall from last week's swing high.

Meanwhile, the 78.6% Fibo. The retracement level at 1.3678 might keep the upside contained as the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) hovers around the zero line with a flat histogram, reinforcing a consolidative momentum profile. A break higher could extend the positive momentum towards reclaiming the 1.3700 mark. On the flip side, the 100-period SMA at 1.3576 offers initial support, and weakness below this level would temper the upside bias.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

USD/CAD 1-hour chart

Chart Analysis USD/CAD

US Dollar Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of US Dollar (USD) against listed major currencies today. US Dollar was the strongest against the Japanese Yen.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD 0.15% 0.15% 0.49% 0.13% 0.46% 0.17% 0.16%
EUR -0.15% 0.00% 0.36% -0.02% 0.31% 0.02% 0.02%
GBP -0.15% -0.01% 0.35% -0.03% 0.31% 0.01% 0.01%
JPY -0.49% -0.36% -0.35% -0.35% -0.04% -0.33% -0.34%
CAD -0.13% 0.02% 0.03% 0.35% 0.32% 0.02% 0.04%
AUD -0.46% -0.31% -0.31% 0.04% -0.32% -0.30% -0.29%
NZD -0.17% -0.02% -0.01% 0.33% -0.02% 0.30% -0.01%
CHF -0.16% -0.02% -0.01% 0.34% -0.04% 0.29% 0.00%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the US Dollar from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the Japanese Yen, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent USD (base)/JPY (quote).

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Ethereum (ETH) Price Closes Above $3,900 — Is a New All-Time High Possible Before 2024 Ends?Once again, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has risen above $3,900. This bounce has hinted at a further price increase for the altcoin before the end of the year.
Author  Beincrypto
Dec 17, 2024
Once again, the price of Ethereum (ETH) has risen above $3,900. This bounce has hinted at a further price increase for the altcoin before the end of the year.
placeholder
Markets in 2026: Will gold, Bitcoin, and the U.S. dollar make history again? — These are how leading institutions thinkAfter a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
Author  Insights
Dec 25, 2025
After a turbulent 2025, what lies ahead for commodities, forex, and cryptocurrency markets in 2026?
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD falls below $5,050 as traders await US jobs data Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers near $5,035 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower amid improved risk sentiment and some profit-taking. Traders brace for key US economic data later this week, including delayed employment and inflation reports. 
Author  FXStreet
Feb 10, Tue
Gold price (XAU/USD) attracts some sellers near $5,035 during the early Asian session on Tuesday. The precious metal edges lower amid improved risk sentiment and some profit-taking. Traders brace for key US economic data later this week, including delayed employment and inflation reports. 
placeholder
Gold climbs to $5,050 as Fed-driven USD weakness offsets positive risk tone ahead of US NFPGold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
Author  FXStreet
Feb 11, Wed
Gold (XAU/USD) attracts some dip-buyers following the previous day's modest slide and climbs back above the $5,050 level during the Asian session on Wednesday.
placeholder
Financial Markets 2026: Volatility Catalysts in Gold, Silver, Oil, and Blue-Chip Stocks—A CFD Trader's OutlookThe financial world is perpetually in motion, but the landscape for 2026 seems to be shaping up to be particularly dynamic. For CFD traders navigating global markets, this heightened volatility could present a distinctive set of challenges and opportunities.
Author  Rachel Weiss
Yesterday 05: 31
The financial world is perpetually in motion, but the landscape for 2026 seems to be shaping up to be particularly dynamic. For CFD traders navigating global markets, this heightened volatility could present a distinctive set of challenges and opportunities.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote