Why Las Vegas Sands Stock Dived by Almost 14% Today

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • A double beat on analyst fourth-quarter estimates wasn't enough for a discerning market.

  • Profitability in its favorite enclave left something to be desired.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Las Vegas Sands ›

Investors rolling the dice on Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS) stock came up snake eyes on Thursday after the company published its latest set of quarterly and annual earnings. Although the veteran casino resort operator beat analyst estimates for both revenue and profitability, other factors raised significant investor concerns. These were enough to push the share price down by nearly 14% that trading session.

Twin beats insufficient

Sands unveiled those figures just after market close on Wednesday. They showed the company earned net revenue of $3.65 billion, up 26% on a year-over-year basis.

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Hands of a dealer shuffling cards at a gambling table.

Image source: Getty Images.

Despite its name, Las Vegas Sands no longer operates casinos in its namesake American city. It has entirely decamped for Asia, with five properties in Macao and a single resort (Marina Bay Sands) in Singapore. All, save for its Sands Macao, recorded revenue gains across the one-year stretch.

On the bottom line, net income under generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) also headed north, rising 14% to $395 million. On a non-GAAP (adjusted), per-share basis, profitability rose to $0.85 from $0.54.

Both headline figures topped the average analyst estimates, which were $3.33 billion in revenue and adjusted net profit of $0.77 per share.

Since Las Vegas Sands is nearly all in on Macao, investors were troubled by the $608 million collective adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) posted by its resorts in the enclave. This was 6% higher year-over-year, well below the company's other growth figures. That total was also notably south of $806 million reaped by Marina Bay Sands alone.

Seismic shift

There's a major reason for Macao's drag in profitability -- over the past few years Chinese authorities have put significant restrictions on high-roller gamblers. This puts the skids on a juicy revenue source for casino operators, who are forced to concentrate on the lower-margin, mass market instead.

Unfortunately, this isn't a quirk or a trend that will fade quickly; it's a long-term change in Macao's gambling culture. Given that, I'd also be bearish on Las Vegas Sands' future these days.

Should you buy stock in Las Vegas Sands right now?

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Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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