A Christmas Bounce for XRP? 3 Clues Hang in the Stocking

XRP has been flat for most of the last 24 hours and remains down about 16.8% over the past 30 days. The chart still feels bearish, but this 2025 Christmas season brings three tailwinds that look like they are trying to pull the sleigh in a new direction.

It is not a rally call. It is a setup. If buyers follow through, this could be the start of something.

Momentum and Money Flow Try To Join The Christmas Choir

The XRP price has been trending lower between November 4 and December 24, forming clear lower lows. But the relative strength index (RSI), which measures momentum, has made higher lows in the same period. That is called a bullish divergence. It happens when the price goes down, but momentum quietly turns up, and it often appears before a reversal attempt.

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The money flow index (MFI), which tracks volume and inflows, is also showing a divergence.

Between November 21 and December 18, the price trended lower, but the MFI trended higher. That hints at dip-buying pressure and money rotating back in even while the price hesitated. In response, the XRP price began to rebound after December 18.

Currently, the MFI still maintains the higher low setup relative to November 21, despite the recent dip against the rising price. Plus, it has now moved out of deeply oversold territory, hinting at a resumption of dip-buying narrative, near the reversal zone.

Both signals suggest sellers could be losing authority. They are not confirmations, but they are Christmas carols humming under the surface.

Whales Return Like Cautious Reindeer

Two whale cohorts have resumed adding, but not dramatically. The second-largest cohort, holding between 100 million and 1 billion XRP, increased its holdings from 8.11 billion XRP to 8.23 billion XRP starting on December 22. At the current price, that is roughly a $150 million change.

The next cohort holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP increased from 10.88 billion XRP to 10.9 billion XRP, a tad late on December 23. At current prices, that is roughly a $50 million increase.

This is not aggressive accumulation like the mid-December spikes. It is cautious, like reindeer testing the snow before charging forward. Still, whales adding while momentum improves gives the reversal attempt a spine. It shows the market’s deepest pockets are not abandoning ship at current levels.

XRP Price Levels That Can Light Up The Christmas Tree

If the XRP price wants to turn these signals into real results, it needs to work with them. The first hurdle sits near $1.98. That level has capped every upside move since December 15. If XRP buyers can help clear it, a move into the $2.12 zone becomes possible. Above that, $2.23 is where buyers would prove they are more than holiday visitors.

On the downside, the key level is $1.77. That has acted as structural support since October 10. A daily close below $1.77 would signal the sleigh might not get off the ground and that sellers still own the season.

For now, XRP is holding above $1.77 with momentum slowly improving, money flow no longer bleeding out, and whales stepping back in. None of these turns the chart bullish on its own. Together, they set the stage for a potential trend change if the price cooperates.

If XRP climbs above $1.98 with strength, the Christmas tailwinds pushing from underneath might get loud enough to matter. Until then, the sleigh is pulling forward, but it has not taken flight.