Want to Invest in Anthropic Before Its IPO? Here's How.

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • The KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF includes a position in Anthropic.

  • Anthropic's second-quarter revenue topped $11.5 billion, up from $4.73 billion in Q1 and $787 million a year earlier.

  • 10 stocks we like better than KraneShares Trust - KraneShares Artificial Intelligence And Technology Public And Private ETF ›

Anthropic submitted its confidential filing for an initial public offering (IPO) on June 1, and it could finally release its S-1 -- the official document that details its audited financials -- in just a few weeks.

If you're hoping to find a way to get portfolio exposure to the AI giant ahead of its IPO, you're in luck -- just don't get too excited. You can gain exposure to Anthropic today through the KraneShares Public-Private AI & Technology ETF (NASDAQ: AGIX), but you're only getting a tiny piece.

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AGIX holds $12.9 million of Anthropic, about 1.19% of its portfolio

As of Sept. 3, AGIX held 17,829 Anthropic shares valued at $12.9 million. That was just 1.19% of the fund's assets, so if you put $1,000 into the exchange-traded fund, only $11.90 would be tied directly to Anthropic. Most of your money would go into dozens of other AI stocks. The top five positions in its portfolio by weight are:

  • Meta Platforms: 4.6%
  • Nvidia: 3.8%
  • Alphabet: 3.7%
  • Microsoft: 3.5%
  • Amazon: 2.9%

The fund carries a 1% annual expense ratio. Also, until Anthropic goes public, KraneShares is only making an estimate about what those Anthropic shares are worth.

There are some other exchange-traded funds that offer Anthropic exposure, but the same basic issue applies: They have fairly tiny amounts of Anthropic stock tucked inside more diversified portfolios. You could conceivably get direct exposure by purchasing shares on private-share secondary markets, but I would avoid them. Those platforms often involve high fees, and the SEC warns that unregistered pre-IPO share sales are sometimes scams.

For most investors, the sensible route would be simply to wait for the IPO.

Anthropic's Q2 revenue topped $11.5 billion, but costs are still unclear

How to gain access to the shares is an interesting question, but whether Anthropic will make a good long-term investment is a much more important one.

The pace of the company's reported growth is hard to overstate. Bloomberg reports that its second-quarter revenue was above $11.5 billion, up from $4.73 billion in the first quarter and just $787 million a year earlier.

But the costs required to produce that growth are just as important -- and they are much harder to assess before we see a public filing. Anthropic reportedly generated positive adjusted operating income in the quarter, but that assertion is based on figures from preliminary, unaudited financials, and "adjusted" can mean a lot of things.

A data center from above.

Image source: Getty Images.

Anthropic's incredible top-line growth shows that customers clearly see value in its products, and it's certainly possible that it can walk a financial tightrope and come out ahead. But don't mistake rapid growth for a healthy business. It's also possible that Anthropic will never be able to manage its costs effectively and deliver a satisfactory return in the long run.

Wait for the IPO or buy a small stake now?

So, if you want to buy into Anthropic, you have a few less-than-satisfactory options today, and a better option when the company makes its public debut. But ask yourself if you believe in the company's long-term prospects, or if you just don't want to miss out.

I, for one, will be watching Anthropic IPO from the sidelines -- and OpenAI's, too, when it comes.

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Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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