BNB Price Forecast: Correction extends as bearish signals point to deeper losses

Source Fxstreet
  • BNB continues its correction, trading below $573 on Friday and extending losses by over 7% so far this week.
  • Muted ETF flows, rising short bets and falling open interest in the derivatives market support a bearish outlook.
  • The technical outlook suggests a daily close below the $570 support level could trigger a deeper correction toward $488.

BNB (BNB), formerly known as Binance Coin, continues to extend its losses, trading below $573 at the time of writing on Friday, losing over 7% so far this week. Muted institutional demand, rising short bets and falling Open Interest (OI) signal growing downside bias. The technical outlook shows BNB is approaching a critical support zone at $570, and a decisive close below this could pave the way for deeper losses.

Muted institutional demand

SoSoValue data shows that BNB’s spot Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs) have remained largely silent since their launch on May 28, indicating a lack of meaningful institutional demand for the token. This muted demand fails to provide a cushion against falling BNB prices.

Total BNB spot ETF net inflow daily chart. Source: SoSoValue

Derivatives metrics hint at further losses

BNB’s derivatives metrics support a negative outlook. BNB’s futures OI dropped to $867 million on Friday after a mild rise in early June but has been continuously falling since mid-January. This drop in OI reflects waning investor participation and projects a bearish outlook.

BNB open interest chart. Source: Coinglass

In addition, CoinGlass’ long-to-short ratio for BNB reads 0.88 on Friday, nearing its lowest level in over a month. This ratio, being below one, reflects bearish sentiment in the market, as more traders are betting on the asset’s price to fall.

BNB long-to-short ratio chart. Source: Coinglass

BNB Price Forecast: Deeper losses if BNB closes below $570

BNB price trades at $572.95 on Friday, extending a bearish phase after facing rejection from the 50-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at $625.24 at the start of this week.

BNB is sliding within a parallel channel, hovering just above the lower boundary near $570, while the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovers in the mid-30s, and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) stays below zero with negative values, hinting that sellers still retain control despite nearing oversold conditions.

On the downside, initial support aligns with the channel bottom at roughly $570, where a daily close below would suggest a correction toward the technical target at $488.21 (based on the distance between the channel extrapolated from the breakdown point).

On the topside, any bounce faces immediate resistance from the 50-day EMA at $625.24, followed by the 100-day EMA at $645.88 and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement at $662.04; a stronger recovery would need to challenge the channel top near $687.30 and the 200-day EMA at $691.91 before the higher retracement barriers at $718.89, $764.84, $810.78, $876.20 and $959.52 come back into play.

(The technical analysis of this story was written with the help of an AI tool.)

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
US dollar clings to nine-week lows near 98.4 as Brent nears $100 and the yen hits a seven-month high — five events to watch todayThe dollar is pinned near nine-week lows even after a blockbuster jobs report, as an oil spike toward $100, a surging yen and China's reflation data crowd the driver's seat. Five key events to watch today: Brent at $99.46, USD/JPY at 154, China CPI/PPI, PBOC gold buying, and Thursday's PPI / Friday's CPI ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC.
Author  Eric Nkando
Sep 09, Wed
The dollar is pinned near nine-week lows even after a blockbuster jobs report, as an oil spike toward $100, a surging yen and China's reflation data crowd the driver's seat. Five key events to watch today: Brent at $99.46, USD/JPY at 154, China CPI/PPI, PBOC gold buying, and Thursday's PPI / Friday's CPI ahead of the September 15-16 FOMC.
placeholder
US August CPI lands tonight: after a 5.4% PPI shock, will the Fed hike on September 16?US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
Author  Irene Q.
Sep 11, Fri
US August PPI came in at 5.4% year-on-year, above the 5.3% consensus, with core PPI at 4.6%. Traders have pushed the odds of a 25bp Fed hike on September 15-16 to around 70%. Tonight's CPI is the last major inflation print before the decision — here is the full calendar, the consensus numbers, and what a hot versus cool reading would mean for the dollar, yields, gold and stocks.
placeholder
Brent tests $108 as a key export pipeline stays shut — can the rally clear $110?Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
Author  Irene Q.
18 hours ago
Brent crude rose 2.55% to $106.97 and WTI 2.32% to $102.30 as a major regional export pipeline remained offline with no restart timeline. Front-month backwardation has widened to $5.53 from $3.84 a week ago, European gas is at its highest since December 2022, and one analyst sees $119.48 if talks stall.
placeholder
Fed hike odds near 90% into Wednesday's decision — how to trade the dollar, gold and the S&P 500A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
Author  Suzie
18 hours ago
A 0.3% monthly core CPI print has lifted the market-implied probability of a 25bp Fed hike on 16 September to roughly 86.5% ~ 90%, which would be the first increase since July 2023. Here is the decision timeline, the pricing versus the forecasts, both scenarios, and the key levels for the dollar, gold and the S&P 500.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD falls to near $63.50 amid Fed hike bets, higher oil pricesSilver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Author  FXStreet
15 hours ago
Silver price (XAG/USD) loses its gains from the previous day, trading around $63.50 per troy ounce during Asian hours on Monday. Non-yielding Silver is currently facing significant headwinds driven by rising Federal Reserve (Fed) rate-hike expectations for the upcoming September decision.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote