According to estimates, the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund will be depleted in 2033.
If this happens, benefit cuts of 23% across the board are expected.
Think tanks have spent years coming up with potential solutions, but it's Congress that would have to take action.
Members of the U.S. House of Representatives serve two-year terms, while those in the U.S. Senate serve six-year terms. The longer you're in office, the more time you have to face challenges -- and solve problems. Senators elected this November in the midterm elections will likely not have a chance to sidestep the issue of Social Security shortfalls, as their six-year terms will run them right up to a dreaded date.
They won't be able to kick the can down the road like previous members of Congress have done.
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The 2025 Social Security Board of Trustees Report indicated that the Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) Trust Fund -- the part of the Social Security Administration (SSA) that pays retirement benefits -- will run out of money in 2033 unless legislators step in. Money would still be coming in to cover a portion of payments, but cuts would have to happen.
A senator elected in 2026 who serves their full term will be in office as we near that date and the time for implementing a fix runs out. Those hoping to run for another term would practically hand their opponent a weapon to use against them if they failed to fix the system.
Politicians would face consequences for failing to fix the system, but so would everyday folks. According to the Urban Institute, these include:
For some seniors, a cut in benefits would mean having to go back to work.
If Congress can work together, think tanks have designed a menu of ideas to keep Social Security solvent in the future. Here are some of the ideas proposed by the Brookings Institution and the Committee for a Responsible Federal Budget:
After years of planning for retirement, today's seniors believed they could count on Social Security. However, it's up to legislators -- including the incoming class of senators -- to ensure the money is available.
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