JPY: BoJ to hold, but hike chances underpriced – ING

Source Fxstreet

G10 central bank activity this week starts with the Bank of Japan, which is widely expected to keep rates at 0.5% overnight, ING's FX analyst Francesco Pesole notes.

Yen remains a rather attractive hedge at the moment

"But the primary focus, alongside any forward guidance, will be on the interim review of Japanese government bond purchase operations. Despite speculation that the BoJ might reduce its quarterly purchases from 400 billion yen to 200 billion yen, it is expected to maintain the current pace."

"While the BoJ may not give much away in terms of rates guidance at tomorrow’s meeting, we think the risks are definitely skewed to the hawkish side. In our view, markets continue to underestimate the risks of a rate hike as early as July or September, which are 10% and 25% priced in at the moment."

"We think the yen remains a rather attractive hedge at the moment, especially if US equities face more hits from geopolitics. Excessive rallies in oil prices may dent the attractiveness of the yen as a safe-haven, but a hawkish repricing in BoJ expectations should make up for it in our view."

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Moving With Stocks, But Ethereum’s Correlation Is FadingBitcoin has been showing notable correlation to the stock equities recently, but data shows Ethereum is charting a more independent path. Bitcoin & Ethereum Showing Different Degrees Of
Author  NewsBTC
Jul 10, Thu
Bitcoin has been showing notable correlation to the stock equities recently, but data shows Ethereum is charting a more independent path. Bitcoin & Ethereum Showing Different Degrees Of
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD climbs above $3,350 as Trump rekindles trade tensionsThe Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its upside to around $3,365 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal edges higher as traders rushed toward the traditional safe-haven assets after US President Donald Trump widened the global trade war with a fresh wave of tariffs.
Author  FXStreet
Jul 14, Mon
The Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its upside to around $3,365 during the early Asian session on Monday. The precious metal edges higher as traders rushed toward the traditional safe-haven assets after US President Donald Trump widened the global trade war with a fresh wave of tariffs.
placeholder
OpenAI Introduces Lowest-Cost ChatGPT Subscription in India with UPI Payment OptionOn Tuesday, OpenAI introduced ChatGPT Go, its most affordable AI subscription tier, targeting the price-sensitive Indian market. Nick Turley, OpenAI’s Vice President and Head of ChatGPT, announced the launch via an X post, highlighting that users can pay through India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI).
Author  Mitrade
Aug 19, Tue
On Tuesday, OpenAI introduced ChatGPT Go, its most affordable AI subscription tier, targeting the price-sensitive Indian market. Nick Turley, OpenAI’s Vice President and Head of ChatGPT, announced the launch via an X post, highlighting that users can pay through India’s Unified Payments Interface (UPI).
placeholder
ANZ Raises Gold Price Forecast to $3,800/Oz, Predicts Rally to Continue Through 2026Gold is expected to continue its upward momentum throughout 2025 and into early 2026, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic challenges, and market anticipation of U.S. monetary easing, according to analysts from ANZ in a research note released Wednesday.
Author  Mitrade
Sept 10, Wed
Gold is expected to continue its upward momentum throughout 2025 and into early 2026, driven by ongoing geopolitical tensions, macroeconomic challenges, and market anticipation of U.S. monetary easing, according to analysts from ANZ in a research note released Wednesday.
placeholder
Samsung Electronics Forecasts Stronger-Than-Expected Q3 Profit on AI Demand Samsung forecasts Q3 profit of 12.1 trillion won, boosted by strong AI chip demand.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 14, Tue
Samsung forecasts Q3 profit of 12.1 trillion won, boosted by strong AI chip demand.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote