EUR/GBP edges lower as BoE tightening expectations outweigh Eurozone PMI strength

Source Fxstreet
  • EUR/GBP edges lower on Wednesday as the Pound Sterling remains supported by expectations of tighter monetary policy.
  • Eurozone manufacturing activity reaches its highest level in nearly four years, according to March PMI data.
  • Markets remain focused on inflation trends and central bank policy paths amid ongoing geopolitical tensions.

EUR/GBP trades around 0.8725 on Wednesday at the time of writing, down 0.10% on the day. The pair is edging lower as the Pound Sterling (GBP) remains supported by expectations of tighter monetary policy in the United Kingdom (UK), limiting the Euro’s (EUR) gains despite relatively solid economic data from the Eurozone.

Latest figures show that the Eurozone’s HCOB Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) was revised to 51.6 in March, up from the preliminary estimate of 51.4 and from 50.8 recorded in February. The final reading marks the strongest performance for the sector in 44 months, pointing to a gradual improvement in industrial activity across the region.

Upward revisions were mainly driven by stronger activity in Germany and Italy, while France’s manufacturing sector was revised down to stagnation. Spain, meanwhile, unexpectedly recorded a contraction in manufacturing activity, highlighting the uneven nature of the recovery across the Eurozone’s major economies.

Meanwhile, the Eurozone's preliminary yearly inflation data, released on Tuesday, showed that price growth in March came in below expectations, despite the geopolitical tensions linked to the conflict with Iran. This softer-than-expected inflation reading has provided additional support to the Euro, as investors anticipate that the economic impact of the conflict could remain limited and potentially short-lived.

On the UK side, the Pound Sterling continues to find support after the Bank of England (BoE) signaled the possibility of a rate hike as early as April amid inflation risks linked to Middle East tensions. These expectations are helping cap further upside in EUR/GBP.

However, recent UK macroeconomic data have been somewhat mixed. The S&P Global Manufacturing PMI for the United Kingdom fell to 51 in March, from 51.4 previously, missing market expectations of 51.2 and indicating a modest slowdown in manufacturing sector growth.

Euro Price Today

The table below shows the percentage change of Euro (EUR) against listed major currencies today. Euro was the strongest against the US Dollar.

USD EUR GBP JPY CAD AUD NZD CHF
USD -0.24% -0.38% -0.03% -0.15% -0.53% -0.29% -0.66%
EUR 0.24% -0.14% 0.22% 0.09% -0.28% -0.04% -0.42%
GBP 0.38% 0.14% 0.36% 0.24% -0.14% 0.12% -0.26%
JPY 0.03% -0.22% -0.36% -0.11% -0.46% -0.25% -0.59%
CAD 0.15% -0.09% -0.24% 0.11% -0.36% -0.13% -0.50%
AUD 0.53% 0.28% 0.14% 0.46% 0.36% 0.26% -0.12%
NZD 0.29% 0.04% -0.12% 0.25% 0.13% -0.26% -0.37%
CHF 0.66% 0.42% 0.26% 0.59% 0.50% 0.12% 0.37%

The heat map shows percentage changes of major currencies against each other. The base currency is picked from the left column, while the quote currency is picked from the top row. For example, if you pick the Euro from the left column and move along the horizontal line to the US Dollar, the percentage change displayed in the box will represent EUR (base)/USD (quote).

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Bitcoin Price Annual Forecast: BTC readies for home run in 2024 with two bullish fundamentals on tapBitcoin prices could return to 2021 highs around $69,000 in 2024 on expectations of the next bull cycle.
Author  FXStreet
Dec 22, 2023
Bitcoin prices could return to 2021 highs around $69,000 in 2024 on expectations of the next bull cycle.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, 2024
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
The dollar weakened, equities dipped, and gold hit record highsThe dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
Author  Cryptopolitan
Sep 17, 2025
The dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Gold Price Forecast: XAU/USD opens lower around $4,450 on fears of widening Iran conflictsGold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
Author  FXStreet
Mar 30, Mon
Gold price (XAU/USD) opens over 1% lower to near $4,445.00 on Monday, as oil prices have rallied further on fears of further widening of conflicts in the Middle East. WTI Oil price is up almost 3% above $102.50 in the opening trade, increasing fears of higher inflation expectations globally.
Related Instrument
goTop
quote