Oracle Stock Forecast: Retreats After Post-Earnings Surge, Breaches $150 and May Drop to $115

TradingKey - Oracle (ORCL) stock price has weakened noticeably recently. Following the latest earnings release, ORCL surged after-hours driven by rapid OCI growth and strong AI orders, but quickly pulled back after opening higher above $164 on September 11. On September 14, it fell a further 3.65%, losing the $150 level to close at $144.79, touching an intraday low of $141.01. Compared to its interim high of $170.70 on September 8, short-term gains have been largely erased.

Oracle daily stock price chart, Source: TradingView

Looking at the daily chart of Oracle's stock price, the overall price action since September 2025 exhibits a clear pattern of lower highs and lower lows, indicating that the overall stock price trend remains in a downward trajectory.

In terms of recent price action, although the stock rallied to $166 last Friday, it reversed gains on the same day to close down 1.74%, driving market sentiment back to bearish.

Currently, the stock has consecutively broken below its 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 60-day moving averages, further strengthening bearish momentum and suggesting that short-term price weakness may persist.

To the downside, the primary support level to watch is near $137. If this level fails to hold, the stock may further test the July low near $115. If broken, it could open up deeper downside room, potentially falling toward the $100 mark.

To the upside, the primary resistance level to monitor is near Monday's gap down at $150. If the stock can hold above $150, it will open up room for a rebound toward $170. A breakthrough above $170 could potentially set the stage to test the $200 level.