Is Solana's Pain a Game Changer for Ethereum?

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • A few organizations associated with Solana are facing a lawsuit.

  • That lawsuit could make the chain look worse to financial institutions.

  • Ethereum doesn't have that problem right now.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Solana ›

Solana (CRYPTO: SOL) built its brand as a blockchain on its best attributes, which is to say its speed and low costs. Those traits make it among the most seamless places to run many kinds of crypto projects -- including sketchy schemes -- and one ongoing class action lawsuit against a few of the most important organizations related to the chain could be showcasing that pain point, thereby deterring a critical group of investors with a lot of capital on hand.

Ethereum (CRYPTO: ETH), on the other hand, has its own messes, but right now it could benefit substantially from the lawsuit against Solana. Here's what's going on and why it has a good shot at shifting the competitive landscape in crypto as it pertains to these two coins.

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Lawsuits can alter investment behavior even if they're inconclusive

A class action lawsuit is a legal process where plaintiffs try to represent a larger group of similarly affected people, and bringing such a lawsuit often pressures the defendants to take a specific action long before any judge rules on the facts. In the Solana case, plaintiffs filed a complaint against the Pump.fun meme coin launch platform as well as entities tied to Solana, including both the Solana Foundation and Solana Labs, as well as others.

In case it wasn't obvious, those entities are critical in supporting the Solana decentralized application (dApp) ecosystem and advancing the chain's platform technology, though they aren't necessarily the only groups pursuing those objectives. The plaintiffs are alleging that individuals in those organizations collaborated with the individuals operating Pump.fun in a way that financially disadvantaged the investors participating in meme coin launches.

The outcome of the lawsuit is not something that's knowable in advance, and jumping to conclusions is inadvisable. One defendant connected to the Solana ecosystem recently won a dismissal in the same broader dispute. Furthermore, the legal process is likely to take a long time regardless of what the outcome is.

Nonetheless, at the same time, astute investors will immediately realize that key organizations being pulled into allegations about potentially defrauding investors is not a good look for Solana. What's more, at this point in time, when the chain is angling to become a hub for tokenized real-world asset (RWA) management, specifically tokenized stocks, the mere existence of a serious class action suit could discourage financial institutions and other asset managers from considering the chain for their use cases.

And therein lies the opportunity for Ethereum to look squeaky clean and pick up the capital that's wary of Solana's chain.

Ethereum's reputation now looks a bit better

Ethereum, like Solana, is positioning itself to be the ultimate destination for managing tokenized assets.

It currently has more than $12 billion in tokenized RWAs on its chain, making it a more popular destination in comparison to Solana's $940 million in tokenized assets. But an important difference is that despite its market cap being about four times larger than Solana's, in terms of tokenized equities, Ethereum only has $368 million in on its chain whereas Solana has $199 million.

Therefore Solana is proportionally a more appealing place to manage a subset of tokenized assets, which makes sense because it prioritizes features you would usually want for handling stocks as an institutional investor, like fast and cheap transactions, both of which are (again, in comparison) lacking with Ethereum. And it's that proportional advantage in attracting capital inflows that is now in jeopardy.

So, is the lawsuit actually a game changer for Ethereum's investment thesis, at least the portion of it that pertains to it being an emerging hub for managing tokenized real-world assets like stocks? In the near term, the answer to that question is probably yes, because it weakens the previously strong argument that Solana would easily outcompete Ethereum as the default platform for tokenized equity capital.

In the long run, Solana can likely absorb the reputational hit it just took without lasting ecosystem damage, and it can still win meaningful market share in the tokenized asset management segment. But the bar for its success just got a bit higher, and even if that isn't a permanent state of affairs, it will take some time to change and investors might not get the returns they want in the meantime.

The flip side, of course, is that Ethereum looks more appealing now, and if it can capitalize on this moment, it might be able to actually lead in an important area where pretty much everyone thought it would be a laggard over the long term.

Should you buy stock in Solana right now?

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Alex Carchidi has positions in Ethereum and Solana. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Ethereum and Solana. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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