Frontdoor (FTDR) Q3 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

Source Motley_fool

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Date

Wednesday, Nov. 5, 2025 at 8:30 a.m. ET

Call participants

  • Chairman and Chief Executive Officer — William C. Cobb
  • Chief Financial Officer — Jessica P. Ross
  • Incoming Chief Financial Officer — Jason Bailey
  • Vice President of Finance — Matthew S. Davis

Need a quote from a Motley Fool analyst? Email pr@fool.com

Takeaways

  • Revenue -- $618 million in the third quarter, up 14% year over year and 3% from higher price realization.
  • Gross profit margin -- 57%, up 60 basis points from the prior-year period, reflecting continued margin expansion.
  • Net income -- Net income was $106 million in fiscal Q3 2025 (period ended October 31, 2025), representing 5% growth versus the prior-year period.
  • Adjusted EBITDA -- Adjusted EBITDA reached $195 million in fiscal Q3 2025, growing 18% year over year, with margin rising approximately 100 basis points to 32%.
  • Earnings per share (fully diluted) -- $1.42 per share in fiscal Q3 2025, rising 9% year over year; adjusted earnings per share reached $1.58, growing 15% year over year.
  • Free cash flow -- Year-to-date free cash flow reached $296 million, up 64% compared to the prior-year period.
  • Cash position -- Total cash rose to $563 million at quarter end.
  • Share repurchases -- $215 million in shares repurchased through October 31, 2025.
  • Member count growth (DTC) -- Organic direct-to-consumer member count expanded 8%, marking five straight quarters of organic growth.
  • Member count growth (real estate channel) -- Increased sequentially, marking the first quarterly gain in five years.
  • Customer retention rate -- 79.4% for the quarter.
  • Preferred contractor utilization -- 84% for the quarter, with a 200 basis point improvement over the last three years noted by management.
  • Non-warranty revenue -- ‘Other revenue’ increased 73% year over year; new HVAC revenue outlook increased to $125 million for the full year, a 44% increase over 2024.
  • Acquisition impact -- The 02/10 acquisition contributed approximately 10% to 2025 revenue guidance and drove improvements in renewal and real estate channels.
  • Full-year 2025 guidance (revenue) -- Raised to a range of $2.075 billion-$2.085 billion for 2025, including $15 million higher at the midpoint than prior guidance.
  • Full-year 2025 guidance (adjusted EBITDA) -- Increased to $545 million-$550 million; forecast for 2025 assumes $20 million of interest income and excludes $8 million in integration costs and $33 million in stock-based compensation.
  • Full-year 2025 gross profit margin guidance -- Gross profit margin guidance narrowed to approximately 55.5% for the year.
  • Free cash flow conversion -- Year-to-date cash conversion rate improved to 60%, up from 46% in the prior-year period.
  • SG&A (full year) -- Expected to be $670 million-$675 million for 2025, reflecting increased sales and marketing investments.
  • Capital expenditures -- Full-year expectation lowered to $30 million.
  • Technology adoption -- Nearly 20% of members have downloaded the AHS app as of quarter end; 200,000 service requests submitted through it in the past twelve months.
  • CFO transition -- Jessica P. Ross will be succeeded by Jason Bailey, effective November 10.

Summary

Frontdoor (NASDAQ:FTDR) reported double-digit growth in revenue, gross profit, and adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter, supported by volume gains and higher price realization across both legacy and acquired channels. The company raised its 2025 guidance for revenue and adjusted EBITDA, attributing the increase to outperformance in non-warranty HVAC and sustained momentum in both renewal and real estate channels. Capital deployment included $215 million in share repurchases through October 2025, and year-to-date cash conversion reached 60%, up from 46% in the prior-year period, while the organization advanced strategic priorities including digital engagement and expanding into appliance replacement pilots.

Management announced a CFO transition, with Jessica P. Ross resigning and Jason Bailey assuming the role, effective November 10.

  • Chairman and CEO Cobb said, "we have improved our gross profit margin by over 1,000 basis points since I started in 2022," signaling a fundamental change in margin structure.
  • Cobb indicated a potential "reevaluating the long-term margin targets" to be addressed further on the next earnings call, suggesting future revisions to prior Investor Day targets.
  • Management explicitly linked free cash flow generation to business model strength, calling year-to-date cash conversion "a defining feature" of the company.
  • The appliance replacement pilot is slated for nationwide rollout in 2026, pending ongoing platform and supply-chain work.
  • CFO Ross stated, "Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 32% in the third quarter," marking another period of margin expansion.

Industry glossary

  • DTC: Direct-to-consumer channel for selling home service plans directly to homeowners, bypassing intermediaries.
  • 02/10: Recent strategic acquisition by Frontdoor, adding builder relationships and product channels, referenced extensively in revenue breakdowns.
  • HVAC: Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems—principal products in both warranty and non-warranty revenue streams.
  • Preferred contractor utilization: Internal metric tracking the percentage of service events handled by vetted, top-tier contractor partners.
  • AHS app: American Home Shield application for member service requests and contractor communications.
  • Warrantina campaign: Frontdoor's marketing campaign targeted at younger homebuyers, aiming to drive DTC member growth and brand engagement.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Matthew S. Davis: Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining Frontdoor's third-quarter 2025 earnings conference call. William C. Cobb, Chairman and CEO, Jessica P. Ross, CFO, and Jason Bailey, VP of Finance, will be joining me on today's call. The press release and slide presentation that will be used during today's call can be found on the Investor Relations section of Frontdoor's website, located at www.investors.frontdoorhome.com. As stated on slide three of the presentation, I'd like to remind you that this call and webcast may contain forward-looking statements. These statements are subject to various risks and uncertainties, which could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed here today.

These risk factors are explained in detail in the company's filings with the SEC. Please refer to the Risk Factors section in our filings for a more detailed discussion of our forward-looking statements and the risks and uncertainties related to such statements. All forward-looking statements are made as of today, November 5, and except as required by law, the company undertakes no obligation to update any forward-looking statements whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. We will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures throughout today's call.

We have included definitions of these terms, and reconciliations of these non-GAAP financial measures to their most comparable GAAP financial measures in our press release and the appendix to the presentation in order to better assist you in understanding our financial performance. I will now turn the call over to William C. Cobb for opening comments. Bill?

William C. Cobb: Thanks, Matthew S. Davis. Good morning, everyone. What a year Frontdoor is having. Our results reflect the continuation of superior and operational performance, and we are on track for financial results in 2025. Let's get into the third quarter highlights on Page four. Starting with revenue, which increased 14% period over period to $18 million. Gross profit margin increased 60 basis points to 57%. Net income grew 5% to $106 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 18% to $195 million. Additionally, first-year organic DTC ending member count grew 8%. Real estate member count grew sequentially in Q3, a milestone that we have not seen for the past five years. New HVAC revenue continues to crush it.

Synergies from the 02/10 acquisition remain ahead of schedule, and we have used our strong cash flows to repurchase shares totaling $215 million through October 31. Our results speak for themselves, and they show the power of our strategy and the momentum we've built. Now flip to slide five. We are firing on all cylinders, and this strong momentum has positioned us to deliver across our business. First, operational excellence is at our core. Three years of disciplined execution have built a strong foundation to accelerate growth. Second, DTC continues to perform. Five straight quarters of organic member growth. Third, we see the real estate channel turning the corner, supported by the return of a buyer's market.

Fourth, retention rates are strong and remain near all-time highs. We're committed to delivering an outstanding experience for our 2 million-plus members through continuous innovation and technology. And finally, our non-warranty growth continues to be a game changer. Leveraging the success of the new HVAC program, we are well-positioned to replicate that model by expanding into other replacement categories. Let's double-click on each point beginning on slide six. We've talked a lot over the past few quarters about building a foundation of operational excellence. And for good reason. These efforts have translated directly into stronger financial results. Over the past three years, we have focused our margin improvement efforts in two key areas. One, pricing actions, and two, operational efficiencies.

Let me start with pricing. In 2022, we faced the highest inflation in a generation, and we responded decisively with double-digit price increases. Not only to catch up to those inflationary pressures but also to address where inflation was heading. We did this using our dynamic pricing capabilities, which deliver smart and strategic price adjustments, particularly for higher usage members. We also raised our trade service fee, which is actually an offset to claims cost, providing us another lever to respond to inflation. Now turning to operations. We've made meaningful strides in improving execution and cost discipline. We have enhanced and accelerated our contractor management process. This has driven better alignment, better execution, better member experiences, and better costs.

One key proof point is that our preferred contractor utilization has improved 200 basis points on average over the last three years. Our supply chain team has done an outstanding job of leveraging our purchasing volume and extensive supplier network to negotiate better terms and allocate purchases to maximize cost savings. When you combine these pricing actions and operational efficiencies, we have improved our gross profit margin over 1,000 basis points since I started in 2022. In fact, we have had so much success improving our margins that we are reevaluating the long-term margin targets we provided at Investor Day earlier this year. We will provide more information about that on our next earnings call.

Moving to the direct-to-consumer channel on Slide seven. The DTC channel is performing very well, and our efforts to drive member count growth are paying off. In the third quarter, we grew organic DTC member count by 8% versus the prior-year period. This is now five consecutive quarters of organic growth. Our success in DTC is due to several factors. First, the Warrantina campaign is working. I'll show you supporting data on the next slide, but we developed this campaign with younger audiences in mind, specifically millennials, since the average first-time homebuyer is now 38 years old.

From a targeting perspective, we have sharpened our media strategy to focus on the middle of the media funnel, where consumers go from being aware of us to considering us. This strategy has improved our marketing effectiveness and media efficiency. Next, simply speaking, our promotional pricing strategy is bringing in more members. This strategy works because we can quickly return these cohorts to traditional pricing within the first two years without compromising renewal rates. Further, we are directly targeting new homebuyers who did not purchase a warranty with their new home transaction. Our multichannel approach includes paid search, social media, commercial partnerships, and word-of-mouth campaigns. And we are getting more sophisticated in our digital marketing approach.

AI is coming into play and enhancing our search strategy by moving beyond traditional keyword targeting. We are using more intelligent, context-driven approaches, which have improved discoverability and relevance with large language models or LLMs, such as ChatGPT. Let's turn to slide eight to talk about the effectiveness of the Warrantina campaign. The campaign is resonating, and we are leaning into education to balance the entertainment factor. Our research shows that key metrics such as likability, relevance, and purchase interest are up significantly in just six months' time. And as you can see in red, our value proposition of budget protection and convenience is landing even more with those under the age of 45.

The team's work over the past five quarters has been excellent. But we are not stopping here. We are allocating more marketing spend in the fourth quarter to position us for another strong year in 2026. Excuse me. Now turning to slide nine and the real estate channel. The story here is finally one of optimism. Despite ongoing macro challenges, our ending member count in the real estate channel has increased sequentially in the third quarter, the first improvement since 2020. While the macro environment in the real estate sector is showing some signs of improvement, challenges still remain. According to the National Association of Realtors, September existing home sales increased 4.1% to a seasonally annual rate of 4.06 million.

However, this is still among the lowest level of home sales in thirty years. Moreover, affordability remains a concern, with home prices climbing another 2% on average in September, to $415,000. The bright spot is that total housing inventory increased 14% year over year, and we are now at 4.6 months of supply. While inventory remains below pre-COVID levels, it is now at a five-year high. This shift signals that a transition to a buyer's market is underway, where homes stay on the market longer, and sellers are more likely to add a home warranty to help close the deal. Here are some of our aggressive actions to improve sales. Increasing engagement with real estate agents.

We are delivering a differentiated product, and agent interest has picked up significantly around our video chat with an expert feature. We are also continuing to provide education on the benefits of a home warranty and have a compelling value proposition that keeps our brands top of mind. Additionally, we have implemented targeted promotions to drive renewed interest and excitement with both agents and new homebuyers. Our actions combined with these market dynamics are resulting in us outpacing the market. Moving on to retention rates on slide 10. In the third quarter, our customer retention rate was at 79.4%. Retention remains strong because we are delivering a better member experience through technology and process improvements.

On the technology side, we have had two big wins. First, AHS app adoption is growing. Launched only a year ago, almost 20% of our members have already downloaded our app. An outstanding result. This enables easier service request submission and real-time contractor updates. In the past twelve months, members have submitted 200,000 service requests through the app, and usage continues to ramp. Second, and to quote one of our members, video chat with an expert is dope. Since the launch in February, our visual experts have completed about 35,000 video chats, and members love it, giving us nearly perfect thumbs-up ratings. It is a true differentiator in the home services industry, and it is free for our members.

Behind the scenes, we're also driving continuous improvements to deepen member engagement and strengthen retention, such as early engagement with new members through onboarding and tailored app offers, improving the number of members on autopay, usage of preferred contractors, which was 84% in the third quarter, and we are also leveraging technology to improve the member experience, including system improvements to support smarter job routing to our contractors and using AI to accelerate authorizations and assist in coverage decisions, enabling a 10x increase in the speed of coverage reviews. The impact is clear. Stronger relationships, higher satisfaction, and a service experience that sets us apart. Retention isn't just a metric. It's proof that our strategy is working.

On slide 11, let's talk about another bright spot at Frontdoor, non-warranty revenue. This is a major success story and an even bigger opportunity. As a reminder, non-warranty is comprised of a number of programs, but is currently fueled by our new HVAC sales. The program is scaling fast, and we are raising our full-year outlook for new HVAC revenue again, now to $125 million, a 44% increase over 2024. The opportunity ahead is enormous. In three years' time, we have sold around 50,000 HVAC units to our base of more than 2 million members. The runway for expansion is clear. We are now applying these learnings to other trades.

We recently expanded our appliance replacement pilot, offering great deals on a full range of new appliances, and we are looking to launch this great offering nationwide next year. We are also exploring opportunities in roof and water heater replacement. Together, these categories represent an opportunity of $2 billion with our members, opening the front door to significant long-term growth. We especially love this program because every sale is a relatively CAC-free opportunity across our member base. And looking into the future, we see additional potential through our 02/10 acquisition, which provides us access to 19,000 builder partners. This positions us to expand beyond HVAC and create new revenue streams across multiple trades and in new customer channels.

We will share more about this on our next earnings call. On that high note, I'll now turn the call over to Jessica.

Jessica P. Ross: Thanks, Bill, and good morning, everyone. I will now cover the financial results for the third quarter, beginning with revenue on Slide 13. We delivered strong top-line growth of 14% in the third quarter, with revenues reaching $618 million. This performance was driven by 12% from higher volume and 3% from higher price. From a channel perspective, renewal revenue was up 9%, benefiting from 02/10 volumes and higher price realization from leveraging our dynamic pricing capability. Real estate revenue grew 21%, driven primarily by contributions from 02/10. Direct-to-consumer revenue increased 11%, supported by volume gains from our promotional pricing strategy and targeted marketing efforts, as well as contributions from 02/10. This was partially offset by lower pricing.

And finally, our non-warranty business continues to be a key growth engine, with other revenues up 73% year over year. This growth was propelled by our new HVAC and loan programs, along with contributions from 02/10's new home structural offering. Now moving down the P&L to gross profit on slide 14. Gross profit grew 16% to $353 million in the third quarter, with gross profit margin expanding by 60 basis points versus the prior-year period. During the quarter, inflation was in the low to mid-single digits across contractors, parts, and equipment.

Favorable weather trends reduced the number of service requests in the HVAC trade, providing a $6 million benefit, and claims cost development was a $5 million benefit, compared to a $3 million benefit in the prior-year period. Turning to Slide 15, where we will review net income and adjusted EBITDA. For the third quarter, net income grew 5% to $106 million, and adjusted EBITDA grew 18% to $195 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 32% in the third quarter, up about 100 basis points from the prior-year period. Let me quickly walk you through the drivers. We had $47 million as favorable revenue conversion, primarily from the 02/10 acquisition and higher price.

Contract claims costs were flat versus the prior-year period, which includes the already discussed inflation impacts and favorable incidents in claims development. We also had $20 million of higher SG&A due to the addition of 02/10 and personnel costs. Now moving to earnings per share on Slide 16. On a fully diluted basis, earnings per share grew 9% to $1.42 per share, and adjusted earnings per share grew 15% to $1.58 per share. Now turning to Slide 17 and our free cash flow and financial position. Our year-to-date free cash flow increased 64% to $296 million, and our total cash position increased to $563 million. Through October, we purchased $215 million worth of shares.

Now let me take a step back and really highlight our cash flow conversion. Our year-to-date cash conversion was 60% compared to 46% in the prior-year period. This sustained cash generation and conversion is a defining feature of our business model and a cornerstone of our financial strength. With that, I will now turn it over to Jason to walk through the outlook.

Jason Bailey: Thanks, Jessica. Now turning to Slide 18 and our fourth quarter outlook. For the fourth quarter, we expect revenue to be in the range of $415 million to $425 million. We expect fourth-quarter adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $50 million to $55 million. This range anticipates higher SG&A spend as we are reinvesting some of our gross profit favorability in marketing to drive growth. Now turning to Slide 19 and how this translates into our full-year outlook for 2025. For the full year, we are increasing our revenue outlook to be in the range of $2.075 to $2.085 billion, driven by better-than-expected performance in the new HVAC program, the renewals channel, and the real estate channel.

This is approximately a $15 million increase from our prior outlook at the midpoint. Based on this, total revenue is expected to be up 13% in 2025, driven by about 10% from the 02/10 acquisition and 3% from organic growth. Our underlying revenue assumptions include a 10% increase in renewal channel revenue, a 12% increase in real estate channel revenue, a 3% increase in D2C channel revenue, and a $75 million increase in other revenue. Turning to operating performance. We are narrowing our gross profit margin expectations to be approximately 55.5%. As previously mentioned, we are increasing our sales and marketing spend during the fourth quarter, which translates to full-year SG&A in the range of $670 to $675 million.

Taking this, combined with the strong third-quarter performance, we are raising our full-year adjusted EBITDA to be in the range of $545 million to $550 million. As a reminder, our full-year adjusted EBITDA outlook also includes $20 million of interest income and excludes $8 million of 02/10 integration costs and stock-based compensation of approximately $33 million. We are lowering our capital expenditure expectations to approximately $30 million, and lastly, our annual effective tax rate is expected to be approximately 25%. And while we're not providing 2026 guidance today, we look forward to sharing more details on our expectations and priorities during our next earnings call. I will now turn the call back over to Bill for a few closing remarks.

William C. Cobb: Thanks, Jason and Jessica. I wanted to close with a few thoughts. Once again, Frontdoor has delivered. Our execution has been outstanding, and we have fundamentally changed how we think and how we operate. This has helped to drive record financial performance and cash flows. We are raising our revenue and adjusted EBITDA outlook again, and with that, we expect to finish 2025 on a high note. At the same time, we have made measurable progress on our strategic initiatives, and we remain hyper-focused on driving member growth. Now one final item. Earlier this morning, we announced that Jessica has resigned as CFO and will be succeeded by Jason Bailey effective November 10.

We regularly challenge ourselves to make sure we are organized to best leverage and deploy our deep bench of talent. As Jessica feels, she has accomplished what she set out to do when she first joined us. That led to her decision to resign from the company. To her credit, Jessica has agreed to stay on as an adviser to me through December to ensure a smooth transition. Jessica has made many contributions to our company over the past three years. During her tenure, our revenue and profits have grown to new heights, and we have delivered on our financial commitments to our shareholders. I would like to thank Jessica Ross for her dedicated service as CFO.

At the same time, the board and I are very excited to name Jason Bailey as our CFO. Jason brings over twenty-five years of progressive leadership experience in finance and public accounting, including over fifteen years of service with Frontdoor and its predecessor. He also has eleven years of public accounting experience at Deloitte and Arthur Andersen. I've had the privilege of working closely with Jason for the past seven years. He knows the home services industry deeply. He is truly an expert in all aspects of our business, and I am very confident in his ability to lead our finance organization. This will be a seamless transition. With that operator, please open the line for Q&A.

Operator: Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, at this time, we will be conducting our question and answer session. One moment please while we poll for questions. Thank you. Our first question is coming from Jeffrey Schmitt with William Blair. Your line is live.

Jeffrey Schmitt: Hi. Good morning. On the cost inflation, it sounds like it increased to maybe 4% or even 5% in the quarter. It had been trending in the low single digits. Could you talk about what drove that? Was it mainly tariff impacts just on parts equipment and it could be temporary? Thanks.

William C. Cobb: So Jeff, it was not 5%. It was closer to four, just about ticking toward four, which means we have to call it low to low to mid. Obviously, for the year, we're still projecting low single-digit inflation, but essentially, you nailed it. It was a tick up in appliance costs. You know, most of our, not our component parts, but our equipment is domestically produced. So we have not been hit anywhere near as much by tariffs as some other areas. But appliance has ticked up. But like we said with our dynamic pricing model, with our trade service fee approaches, with the operational execution we have, we feel strongly that we're able to manage through that.

But, you know, it's something we watch.

Jeffrey Schmitt: Okay. And then could you talk about the promotional strategy that you implemented in the real estate channel? What all is going on there? And did that drive an increase in attachment rate in the quarter?

William C. Cobb: Yes. I think good news for us is as I talked about the macro environment is improving for us, which enables the initiatives we've undertaken to gain more fuel. Now specific to promotions, we ran a, you know, generally, we've never run price-off promotions. We did do $100 off for the months of July and August, and we also did a couple of partner-specific promotions that we ran that helped us, from our analysis, to outpace the real estate market overall. So we're very pleased with certainly the direction and the trajectory of where real estate is going. And as I've said in the call, finally.

Jeffrey Schmitt: Great. Thank you.

Operator: Our next question is coming from Macwell Fritzsche with Truist. Your line is live.

Macwell Fritzsche: Hi. Good morning. I'm calling in for Mark Hughes. In the non-warranty section or segment, the pilot program, what are your early observations there? Sort of timing and pace are you anticipating for that expansion?

William C. Cobb: Yeah. We're shooting. We're not giving a specific, well, we'll talk more about this in February. But we're shooting for it to expand nationwide in 2026. It's a little more complicated than HVAC in the sense of the number of appliances. We have to work through that in our platform and the like. But that's also part of the excitement of it is that we have many opportunities to interact with our members across a variety of appliances. So the plan is to go nationwide at some point in 2026. We're still working through that. And we're still working through the specifics of appliance ordering and the like.

But we think it's a real opportunity, our initial impression is this is being well received by our members.

Macwell Fritzsche: Got it. Thank you. And then a small piece of the overall revenue number here, but the DTC guide of up 3% for the full year, if my math's correct, then implies around a mid-single-digit decline there. So what's driving your thoughts around that segment? And in 4Q?

William C. Cobb: So pricing is, you know, with our unit strength, which is what we feel is the number one priority. Because, obviously, that feeds over time into our renewal book, which is the backbone of the company. So the price reductions that we've done, the promotional pricing strategy has taken that revenue down. But we're able to offset it and maintain healthy margins and healthy pricing because of the strength of our retention rates. So we do give up some revenue upfront with our first-year customers, but we made the strategic decision that's worth it in order to get our renewal, you know, get that into the renewal book over time.

Jason Bailey: Bill, I'd probably also add that Q4 is impacted by our seasonal adjustment. It's our lowest quarter as we know of clients.

Macwell Fritzsche: Understood. Thank you very much.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question is coming from Sergio Roberto Segura with KeyBanc Capital. Your line is live.

Sergio Roberto Segura: Hey, Bill. Good morning, and good morning, Jessica. Just wanted to say it was a pleasure working with you, and, you know, best of luck with what the future holds for you. I had two questions. Maybe first on the member growth in the real estate channel. How much of that success there would you attribute to the market shifting to a buyer's market versus your strategic initiatives and the promotional strategy and increased agent engagement that you called out in the presentation? And then on the second question, just for the SG&A for the year, the increase in the outlook. Just provide any more color on where you're investing those incremental dollars. Thank you.

William C. Cobb: Okay. So on the first one on real estate, I think to your question, which is an insightful one. I think the macro environment improving helps our actions. So it's not that we suddenly discovered some of these actions of meeting with agents, but the new thing is a promotional program that we talked about earlier. So I think that this has enabled us to, the macro environment has enabled us to fuel some of these actions. So I'm not sure I can differentiate exactly what's macro and what's our promotional pricing, but it is all working together, you know, to help us, you know, start to turn the corner in real estate.

Now as far as SG&A, where are we spending money? You know, we're, as we said in the call, we're pretty pleased with the Warrantina campaign, especially how it's doing relative to, you know, potential home buyers under the age of forty-five, which is where our marketing team is targeting their efforts. So where we're looking to deploy the extra money is around not only the Warrantina campaign but what we call the middle of the funnel, which is where consideration is higher. So you go from the top of the funnel, which is trying to build awareness and the like, to the middle of the funnel where you're building consideration.

And then we're pretty excited about some of the things we're doing in digital marketing as I talked about. We're enhancing our traditional search engine marketing with the work we're doing with large language models, the ChatGPTs of the world. And then we think we're getting more sophisticated in that and getting higher demand and eventually higher conversion.

Jessica P. Ross: And thank you, Sergio. It's been great working with you as well.

William C. Cobb: This will not be the last of Jessica Ross. We will.

Sergio Roberto Segura: Happy to hear that. Thank you, guys.

Operator: Our next question is coming from Cory Carpenter with JPMorgan. Your line is live.

Cory Carpenter: Hey. Good morning. Bill, I thought it was notable that you mentioned in your prepared remarks the potential reevaluation of your long-term margin targets. It's certainly been a big topic of debate given you're punching above what you said earlier this year. Maybe could you just help us with what's changed since the Investor Day that's giving you the confidence to potentially do this when you're doing the exercise this year? And, Jason, just a very quick question for you. Thank you. You told us organic revenue, I think, is expected to be 3% for the full year. Are you able to comment on what organic revenue growth was in the quarter? Thank you.

William C. Cobb: So I'll take the first one. So, Cory, I think what's giving us conviction, and as I said, we'll talk about this more in February. But, you know, with the strength of our margins, all of the things I talked about in the call, our ability to price and, you know, use trade service fees to, you know, potentially combat inflation. All those things together have given us pause to say, look. I think that we have moved to a new level. We're going to work through what that level is.

But I think that the targets we gave you, which were, you know, during a time frame when there was a lot of uncertainty, not that, well, as we go into the year, there's always uncertainty. But we feel pretty confident in our model. And, so we'll be looking to come forward with, you know, a reassessment of what we said at Investor Day. So I won't comment specifically on what that will be, but that's what we're working through. We're working through, you know, getting our final plans approved by the board, etcetera. But we'll have lots to tell you in February. Jason, as far as the organic revenue question?

Jason Bailey: Yeah, Cory. For Q3, we'd say it was mid-single digits. Probably three key drivers there. One, to think about our non-warranty pricing, and then there's still some seasonal adjustment. So when you're comparing that, that's why I'd probably pull you back to the full year at 3%.

Cory Carpenter: Okay. Great. Thank you both.

Jessica P. Ross: Thanks, Cory.

Operator: Thank you, ladies and gentlemen. We have no further questions in the queue. This will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and we thank you for your participation.

Where to invest $1,000 right now

When our analyst team has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,054%* — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 193% for the S&P 500.

They just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy right now, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of November 3, 2025

This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. Parts of this article were created using Large Language Models (LLMs) based on The Motley Fool's insights and investing approach. It has been reviewed by our AI quality control systems. Since LLMs cannot (currently) own stocks, it has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Samsung Electronics Forecasts Stronger-Than-Expected Q3 Profit on AI Demand Samsung forecasts Q3 profit of 12.1 trillion won, boosted by strong AI chip demand.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 14, Tue
Samsung forecasts Q3 profit of 12.1 trillion won, boosted by strong AI chip demand.
placeholder
Dollar Gains as US-China Trade Tensions Ease The U.S. dollar remained steady on Tuesday following a shift in President Donald Trump’s harsh stance on tariffs against China.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 14, Tue
The U.S. dollar remained steady on Tuesday following a shift in President Donald Trump’s harsh stance on tariffs against China.
placeholder
Asian Stocks Mixed as Commodities Pause and Yen Draws AttentionAsian equity markets struggled to close the week on a weak note Friday, influenced by ongoing losses on Wall Street that extended into early Asian trading.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 10, Fri
Asian equity markets struggled to close the week on a weak note Friday, influenced by ongoing losses on Wall Street that extended into early Asian trading.
placeholder
Oil Prices Hold Steady Amid Gaza Ceasefire and US Sanctions Oil prices held steady in early Asian trading on Friday following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.
Author  Mitrade
Oct 10, Fri
Oil prices held steady in early Asian trading on Friday following the announcement of a ceasefire between Israel and Hamas.
placeholder
Bitcoin drops below $110K ahead of $22B options expiry; altcoins tumbleBitcoin fell below the $110,000 mark on Friday, heading for a steep weekly loss as nearly $22 billion in cryptocurrency options were set to expire. The drop also comes as traders await key U.S. inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
Author  Mitrade
Sept 26, Fri
Bitcoin fell below the $110,000 mark on Friday, heading for a steep weekly loss as nearly $22 billion in cryptocurrency options were set to expire. The drop also comes as traders await key U.S. inflation data that could influence the Federal Reserve’s policy outlook.
goTop
quote