Dogecoin Warning: Double Top Formation Hints At Decline – Analyst

Dogecoin fell to $0.238 after a sharp sell-off that erased gains and pushed volatility higher. According to market feeds, the coin lost 9.5% in the past 24 hours and about 8% over the week, with a sudden spike in activity that traders say caught many off guard.

Double Top Triggers: Cause For Concern?

According to analyst Merlijn The Trader, price action showed two failed attempts to push higher before sliding beneath a neckline near $0.27. That setup produced a measured move target around $0.238 — a level the market reached.

Resistance sits at $0.27, and a daily close above $0.28 would weaken the bearish case. For now, traders watching the pattern see the chart as favoring downside while the price stays under the neckline.

$DOGE IS FLASHING A TEXTBOOK DOUBLE TOP.

Bearish retest locked. Target sits at $0.238.

Don’t confuse noise with signal.

The chart is already telling the truth. pic.twitter.com/GJ32G2kniw

— Merlijn The Trader (@MerlijnTrader) September 21, 2025

Retest Keeps Bull Case Alive

Other analysts have a different read, pointing out a completed retest of a long running descending trendline that had capped rallies for months. The breakout above that line was followed by a pullback into a $0.24–$0.25 zone where support showed up.

If the memecoin holds above that base, momentum could push toward $0.30, with further upside possible to $0.32–$0.35 — levels the token traded at earlier this year.

Reports have disclosed on-chain measures that add context to the price swings. Market Value to Realized Value, or MVRV, has climbed but is still below the highs seen in prior tops, a point raised by some analysts. DOGE has traded mostly between $0.20 and $0.25 since 2023, which some see as a steady base rather than a blow-off top.

Trading numbers underline the heat. Market cap sits near $36 billion while 24-hour volume surged to about $4.7 billion — up 180%. Circulating supply is steady at 151.04 billion DOGE, and the volume-to-market-cap ratio sits at 13.04%, a sign of unusually aggressive activity from both large holders and retail traders.

ETF chatter remains part of the mix. Based on market commentary from Ali Martinez, regaining the $0.27–$0.28 band could spark a quick push toward $0.45, with interim targets at $0.39.

Martinez points to the brief breakout above $0.27 as a bullish signal, even if it did not hold for long. For many traders, ETF expectations are the catalyst that would turn near-term weakness into renewed rallies.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from TradingView