1 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stock Down 36% to Buy and Hold Forever

Source The Motley Fool

Key Points

  • Like so many other industries, artificial intelligence (AI) seemingly has the potential to disrupt this one.

  • Investors, however, may be ignoring that some complex functions need more than AI can offer.

  • This company still uses AI. It’s just doing so in a tailor-made way that makes sense.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Automatic Data Processing ›

Does your portfolio need to produce more income? If so, here's some good news: There are plenty of fantastic dividend stocks trading at a nice discount right now.

In fact, one "forever" dividend-paying member of the S&P 500 is currently down 36% just since the middle of last year. That stock is Automatic Data Processing (NASDAQ: ADP).

Will AI create the world's first trillionaire? Our team just released a report on the one little-known company, called an "Indispensable Monopoly" providing the critical technology Nvidia and Intel both need. Continue »

Here's a closer look at the dividend stock and why it is a great buy-and-hold-forever candidate.

A person sits at a desk to do paperwork in front of a laptop computer.

Image source: Getty Images.

The market's overestimating ADP's vulnerability

You may be more familiar with the company than you realize. It's better known as just ADP, which is one of the nation's biggest payroll processors. After 75 years in the business, in fact, one out of every six workers in the United States gets their paycheck from Automatic Data Processing.

But why is the stock down by more than one-third of its value in less than a year? It's due to a combination of factors: a weakening jobs market, disappointing revenue growth guidance, and a handful of analyst downgrades.

Mostly though -- as is the case with so many other industries right now -- investors are concerned that artificial intelligence (AI) will eventually negate the need for Automatic Data Processing's service. And to some degree, perhaps it will.

The scope of the damage this presumption has done to ADP shares, however, has been far greater than deserved for a couple of reasons.

First, while AI has the potential to disrupt the payroll-processing business, ADP isn't just a payroll processor. Benefits administration, employee recruiting, compliance and recordkeeping, payroll taxes, and even time and attendance are just some of the HR capabilities in its wheelhouse regularly relied on by over 1 million customers.

These are duties that could be theoretically delegated to an AI-powered solution. These are also functions, however, with little to no room for the error that an artificial intelligence platform will eventually make, which could be incredibly difficult to fix (particularly if it's not clear why the AI made the mistake in the first place).

Said in simpler terms, neither employees nor employers want to risk preventable mistakes being made with paychecks.

As for the second reason, worries that artificial intelligence tech is a threat to this company's business are overblown; ADP isn't trying to outperform AI. It's embracing it. It's just doing so in a way that makes sense for its particular purpose, offering tools that give employers greater insights about how their organization is functioning, offering automated chats to answer workers' job-related questions, or even predicting future personnel needs.

At this price, ADP stock offers far more reward than risk

None of this is to suggest ADP or its shareholders should simply ignore the prospect of new competition in the human resources technological toolkit space; the threat is real, to be sure.

That threat doesn't justify the amount of ground this ticker has lost over the course of just the past several months, however.

Income-seeking investors can certainly capitalize on this unmerited weakness. This stock's big pullback has pumped its forward-looking dividend yield to an above-average yield of just over 3.2%, which is based on a dividend, by the way, that's now been raised annually for 51 consecutive years, making the company a Dividend King, or a company that has raised its payout for at least 50 years. The company is on a strong enough financial footing that this incredibly impressive streak isn't apt to be disrupted anytime soon.

Should you buy stock in Automatic Data Processing right now?

Before you buy stock in Automatic Data Processing, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Automatic Data Processing wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $508,877!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,115,328!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 936% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 189% for the S&P 500. Don't miss the latest top 10 list, available with Stock Advisor, and join an investing community built by individual investors for individual investors.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of March 19, 2026.

James Brumley has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
placeholder
Natural Gas sinks to pivotal level as China’s demand slumpsNatural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
Author  FXStreet
Jul 01, 2024
Natural Gas price (XNG/USD) edges lower and sinks to $2.56 on Monday, extending its losing streak for the fifth day in a row. The move comes on the back of China cutting its Liquified Natural Gas (LNG) imports after prices rose above $3.0 in June. It
placeholder
The dollar weakened, equities dipped, and gold hit record highsThe dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
Author  Cryptopolitan
Sep 17, 2025
The dollar weakened, equities fell, and gold set new records on Wednesday as investors waited for a Fed rate cut later in the day.
placeholder
ECB Policy Outlook for 2026: What It Could Mean for the Euro’s Next MoveWith the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
Author  Mitrade
Dec 26, 2025
With the ECB likely holding rates steady at 2.15% and the Fed potentially extending cuts into 2026, EUR/USD may test 1.20 if Eurozone growth proves resilient, but weaker growth and an ECB pivot could pull the pair back toward 1.13 and potentially 1.10.
placeholder
Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD consolidates above $79.00; bearish bias intact ahead of FedSilver (XAG/USD) lacks a firm intraday direction and oscillates in a narrow range during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the crucial FOMC rate decision.
Author  FXStreet
Yesterday 02: 16
Silver (XAG/USD) lacks a firm intraday direction and oscillates in a narrow range during the Asian session on Wednesday as traders opt to wait on the sidelines ahead of the crucial FOMC rate decision.
placeholder
Gold falls below $4,850 as Fed holds rates steadyGold price (XAU/USD) faces some selling pressure near $4,830 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
Author  FXStreet
12 hours ago
Gold price (XAU/USD) faces some selling pressure near $4,830 during the early Asian session on Thursday.
goTop
quote