If You'd Invested $1,000 in the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) 10 Years Ago, Here's How Much You'd Have Today

Source Motley_fool

Key Points

  • A $1,000 investment in the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF a decade ago would be worth about $3,870 today.

  • This is slightly less than an investment in the S&P 500 would be worth.

  • The reason for the underperformance is the combination of large and small cap stocks.

  • 10 stocks we like better than Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF ›

If you invested $1,000 in the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: VTI) 10 years ago and had held your shares, you'd have an investment worth $3,870 today. This assumes that you had reinvested all of the dividends you received along the way.

To be sure, this is an excellent result. It is a 14.5% annual total return, which is excellent from a broad, passive investment vehicle like this one.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

Man looking at financial charts on a screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

However, it actually underperformed the S&P 500 over the past decade. A $1,000 investment in the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO) over the same period would have grown to $4,100. This is a 15.1% annualized return.

VOO Total Return Price Chart

VOO Total Return Price data by YCharts

Why did the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF underperform the S&P 500?

The short answer is that over the past decade, large-cap stocks have performed disproportionately well. Megacap technology stocks have driven much of the S&P 500's performance, and this is the primary reason why that benchmark index has done so well.

Now, there's a lot of overlap between the Vanguard Total Stock Market Index and the S&P 500. In fact, the S&P 500 accounts for roughly 80% of the total market capitalization of the U.S. stock market. However, it is the other 20% of the market -- mid-cap and small-cap stocks -- which are included in the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF but are not in the S&P 500, that has caused the broader index to underperform.

In other words, because it includes smaller companies, it makes some of the best-performing large companies account for a smaller portion of the fund's assets. As an example, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) makes up 8.1% of the S&P 500, but accounts for only 6.8% of the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF. This is the main reason why, although the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF has delivered an excellent decade for investors, it wasn't quite as excellent as the returns of the S&P 500.

Should you invest $1,000 in Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF, consider this:

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $654,759!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,046,799!*

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Matt Frankel has positions in Vanguard S&P 500 ETF. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia, Vanguard S&P 500 ETF, and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Disclaimer: For information purposes only. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
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