Silver Price Forecast: XAG/USD shines near $37.00 as breakout fuels bulls
- Silver climbs 0.86%, eyes YTD high at $37.31 after clearing key $36.83 level.
- Breakout above neckline of double-bottom hints at bullish continuation.
- Next resistance lies at $37.49 (2012 high), then $38.00.
Silver price trades above two-week highs on Thursday, near the $37.00 figure, up by 0.86% at the time of writing. Upbeat economic data in the United States (US) boosted the Greenback, mostly against Gold. The grey metal capitalized on the current market structure, as a double-bottom formation looms.
XAG/USD Price Forecast: Technical outlook
As previously mentioned, Silver crossed above the June 26 high of $36.83, which sponsored a leg-up towards $37.00. However, a daily close above the former is needed for traders to clear the path to challenge the year-to-date (YTD) high of $37.31.
The next key resistance would be $37.49 the February 29, 2012, ahead of $38.00. On the other hand, Silver could take a negative turn if the spot price drops below $36.00, paving the way for a test of $35.82. Once hurdled, the next stop would be $35.00, before challenging the 50-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $34.32.
XAG/USD Price Chart – Daily
Silver FAQs
Silver is a precious metal highly traded among investors. It has been historically used as a store of value and a medium of exchange. Although less popular than Gold, traders may turn to Silver to diversify their investment portfolio, for its intrinsic value or as a potential hedge during high-inflation periods. Investors can buy physical Silver, in coins or in bars, or trade it through vehicles such as Exchange Traded Funds, which track its price on international markets.
Silver prices can move due to a wide range of factors. Geopolitical instability or fears of a deep recession can make Silver price escalate due to its safe-haven status, although to a lesser extent than Gold's. As a yieldless asset, Silver tends to rise with lower interest rates. Its moves also depend on how the US Dollar (USD) behaves as the asset is priced in dollars (XAG/USD). A strong Dollar tends to keep the price of Silver at bay, whereas a weaker Dollar is likely to propel prices up. Other factors such as investment demand, mining supply – Silver is much more abundant than Gold – and recycling rates can also affect prices.
Silver is widely used in industry, particularly in sectors such as electronics or solar energy, as it has one of the highest electric conductivity of all metals – more than Copper and Gold. A surge in demand can increase prices, while a decline tends to lower them. Dynamics in the US, Chinese and Indian economies can also contribute to price swings: for the US and particularly China, their big industrial sectors use Silver in various processes; in India, consumers’ demand for the precious metal for jewellery also plays a key role in setting prices.
Silver prices tend to follow Gold's moves. When Gold prices rise, Silver typically follows suit, as their status as safe-haven assets is similar. The Gold/Silver ratio, which shows the number of ounces of Silver needed to equal the value of one ounce of Gold, may help to determine the relative valuation between both metals. Some investors may consider a high ratio as an indicator that Silver is undervalued, or Gold is overvalued. On the contrary, a low ratio might suggest that Gold is undervalued relative to Silver.
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