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Thursday, April 30, 2026 at 12 p.m. ET
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UDR (NYSE:UDR) reported in-line first quarter results anchored by consistent operational execution, realizing record resident retention and disciplined capital recycling into share repurchases and targeted acquisitions. The company executed $362 million in asset sales, repurchased $150 million of stock, accessed new Portland assets with above-average yield potential through its debt and preferred equity program, and initiated a sector-first monthly dividend format designed to broaden its investor base. Management retained its full-year earnings and same store guidance, citing favorable coastal market outperformance, high liquidity, and measured exposure in key supply-constrained markets.
Tom Toomey: Thank you, Trent, and welcome to UDR, Inc.'s first quarter 2026 conference call. Presenting on the call with me today are Chief Operating Officer, Mike Lacey; Chief Financial Officer, Dave Bragg; and Senior Officer, Christopher Van ens will also be available during the Q&A portion of the call. To begin, 2026 is off to a solid start. Our first quarter results were in line with the expectations we provided at the beginning of the year, made possible by strong execution across operations and capital allocation. As it relates to operations, our revenue drivers all played out as anticipated and resident retention stands at an all-time high. Mike will elaborate on the strategies and tactics employed to generate these results.
As it relates to capital allocation, we remain focused on taking advantage of the rare and likely fleeting opportunity to arbitrage a sizable gap in public and private market valuations. A data driven and collaborative process led us to the decision to sell four assets. Proceeds were utilized to repurchase our shares and acquire an asset we gained access to through our debt and preferred equity program. Dave will further discuss our capital allocation activities in his remarks. Staying on the topic, we continually evaluate opportunities to diversify our sources of capital.
Our thoughtful and thorough research focused on investors of the future pointed to an opportunity to expand our reach to grow a segment of capital, namely high net worth investors, family office, and institutional products who collectively value frequent cash distributions. As a result, yesterday, we announced the transition to a monthly dividend. UDR, Inc. is the first residential REIT to do so. The stability and growth of the apartment industry coupled with UDR, Inc.'s operating and capital allocation acumen has led to 53 straight years of dividends totaling nearly $9 billion. We expect the relatability and transparency of the apartment industry and our robust track record to appeal to these investors who value frequent cash distributions.
Stepping back, we feel good about 2026 thus far, but we have only completed the first four months of the year. Accordingly, we are maintaining our full year 2026 same store and earnings guidance, which we will reassess next quarter. From a big picture perspective, I remain optimistic about the long-term growth prospects of UDR, Inc. The fundamental outlook for the apartment industry is encouraging, with resilient demand, a shrinking future multifamily supply pipeline, and attractive relative affordability of apartments versus other forms of housing. Our culture, strategy, and proven team position UDR, Inc. well to take advantage of these fundamental strengths.
Finally, I would like to take a moment to recognize Katie Katna and Diane Warfield who have decided not to seek reelection to our board. Katie and Diane have been respected voices in our boardroom and we are thankful for their stewardship and contribution to UDR, Inc. With that, I will turn the call over to Mike.
Mike Lacey: Thanks, Tom. Today, I will cover our first quarter same store results and recent operating trends as well as strategic positioning. 2026 is unfolding as we anticipated and first quarter results were in line with our expectations. We leveraged real-time data to focus on total revenue and cash flow growth. In particular, we strategically started the year in a position of operating strength with occupancy of 97%, which enabled us to tactically adjust our revenue drivers to deliver year-over-year same store revenue growth of positive 90 basis points. Specific to the quarter, blended lease rate growth of 1.6%, occupancy in the mid-96% range, and mid-single-digit innovation income growth all came in as expected.
Results were bolstered by resident retention that was 300 basis points higher than the prior year. This enabled us to achieve renewal rate growth of 5.2%, which was 70 basis points higher than a year ago and nearly twice as high as 2025. This strength is representative of our focus on attracting high quality residents who value the UDR, Inc. living experience. Rent-to-income levels of our new residents are stronger than the long-term average, which suggests an encouraging outlook for renewal growth going forward. Shifting to expenses, same store expense growth of 4.4% was elevated due to the impact of winter storms across our portfolio.
If normalizing for the approximately $1.4 million of incremental expenses from items such as snow removal and higher utility costs, our same store expense growth would have been approximately 100 basis points better or just below the midpoint of our full year expense guidance range. As we start the second quarter, our revenue drivers are trending as anticipated. We continue to expect blended lease rate growth for the second quarter will be between 1.5%–2% with occupancy in the mid-96% range. Our regional leaders in the first quarter continue to perform well thus far in the second quarter.
On the West Coast, San Francisco is a standout market with the strongest revenue growth across our portfolio, driven by blended lease rate growth of approximately 10% and occupancy in the high 97% range. The East Coast market of New York is also delivering strong revenue growth, with blended lease rate growth of approximately 7% and occupancy above 98%. Dallas continues to show the best momentum among our Sunbelt markets. Occupancy is approaching 97% and blended lease rate growth is now positive after improving by 570 basis points since the fourth quarter.
In all cases, we have enhanced revenue growth due to our innovation income which includes services and amenities desired by our residents such as community-wide Wi-Fi and package lockers. A glimpse at our dashboards’ forward indicators reveal continued strength in San Francisco and New York as well as positive momentum in Philadelphia and Southern California, particularly Orange County. Our overweight exposure to these markets uniquely positions us to capture upside should these trends continue. The operations team continues to impress me with a data driven approach to set strategies while remaining agile to adjust as market conditions warrant. Two current examples are top of mind.
First, having managed our lease cadence to place a higher percentage of expirations in 2026, we are well positioned for the spring and summer. Second, our customer experience project continues to result in sector-high resident retention, which is tracking ahead of plan thus far in 2026. This allows for operating expense savings due to lower turnover and higher revenue growth thanks to a blended lease rate growth more heavily weighted towards renewals, which combined results in better cash flow. We will continue to leverage real-time data as we focus on total revenue and cash flow growth.
As a reminder, our full year 2026 guidance assumes first half blended lease rate growth will be the same as the second half at 1.5% to 2%. Said differently, we do not need blended lease rate growth to accelerate throughout the year in order to achieve our revenue growth guidance. To conclude, we delivered first quarter results that were largely in line with expectations and the second quarter is progressing according to plan. We continue to innovate, improve resident satisfaction, and therefore retention, which collectively improves our operating margin. I thank our teams across the country for your hard work, acting with purpose, and creating a highly valuable UDR, Inc. living experience for our residents.
I will now turn over the call to Dave.
Dave Bragg: Thank you, Mike. The topics I will cover today include our first quarter results and second quarter guidance, recent transactions and capital markets activity, and the balance sheet and liquidity update. To begin, first quarter FFO as adjusted per share of $0.62 achieved the midpoint of our guidance range. The $0.02 sequential FFOA per share decline versus 2025 was driven by the following items: a 3 p decrease in NOI, primarily due to higher sequential expenses attributable to both normal seasonal trends as well as the impact of unusual weather that Mike discussed. This was partially offset by a 1 p benefit from lower corporate expenses and G&A.
And due to timing, capital markets and transaction activity was neutral to earnings in the quarter as the benefit from share repurchases was offset by a lower debt and preferred equity investment balance. Looking ahead, our second quarter FFOA per share guidance range is $0.62 to $0.64. The $0.63 midpoint represents an approximately 2% sequential increase that is driven by higher sequential NOI and accretion from share repurchases funded by dispositions. Next on transactions. Our capital allocation heat map continues to guide our strategy. We then apply a data driven and collaborative process to drive our execution. The key theme lately is the public versus private market, presented by an unusually wide disconnect in apartment asset pricing.
This allows us to sell lower growth assets for 100¢ on the dollar on Main Street and buy back our shares which represent a superior growth portfolio for 75¢ to 80¢ on the dollar on Wall Street. Thus far in 2026, we have executed the following transactional and capital markets activity. First, we completed the sales of four apartment communities located in Baltimore, Denver, Seattle, and Tampa for gross proceeds of $362 million. Our approach to selecting assets for disposition is not centered around trimming exposure to specific markets or urban and suburban locales. Rather, we study asset level characteristics such as the outlook for rent growth per our proprietary analytical tools, CapEx requirements, and potential operational upside.
This group of disposition assets screens inferior on these metrics relative to our retained portfolio. Therefore, utilizing proceeds from these asset sales is accretive on day one, but increasingly so in the future due to the expected differential in forward cash flow growth between the sold properties and our in-place portfolio. Second, we received proceeds of approximately $139 million from the successful and full repayment of two debt and preferred equity investments. Third, we repurchased $150 million of shares bringing total repurchase activity since September to $268 million. Fourth, our debt and preferred equity program allowed us to gain access to two communities in Portland, Oregon through the same partner.
The first is a 232 apartment home community acquired in April. The second acquisition will follow in the coming months. The assessment of these opportunities is similar to the disposition process described earlier. Our proprietary analytics tool suggests outsized rent growth for the market and these assets in the coming years. Their CapEx needs are low, and the operating upside potential on the UDR, Inc. platform is high. Another benefit is that our exposure to the Portland market is scaled to a more efficient level. We anticipate a high-5% stabilized yield on these communities.
Consistent with the expectations that we laid out on our last earnings call, the size of our debt and preferred equity portfolio has declined due to successful repayments, the opportunity to gain control of the Portland assets, and our view that share repurchases offer superior risk-adjusted returns versus new debt and preferred equity deployment. As a final note on investment activity, thanks to the excellent work of our development team, I am pleased to share that our ground-up development community in Riverside, California known as 3099 Iowa is progressing ahead of schedule. We now expect initial occupancy to occur in 2026 which is earlier than our initial expectation of 2027. The project is also coming in under original budget.
Overall, our updated full year 2026 capital sources and uses guidance reflects the activity we have completed year to date. We have additional disposition assets in the market and we remain disciplined sellers. We will update you on incremental dispositions and uses of that capital as the year progresses. Finally, our investment grade balance sheet remains highly liquid and fully capable of funding our capital needs. We have more than $1 billion of liquidity. In all, it has been a highly productive start to 2026. We continue to execute on our strategic priorities with an emphasis on data driven decisions that drive long-term cash flow per share accretion. We will now open the call for questions.
Operator: We will now be conducting a question and answer session. We ask that you please limit yourself to one question. If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. You may press star 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. It may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. Our first question is from Eric Wolf with Citibank. Please proceed with your question.
Eric Wolf: Hey, thanks for taking my question. In terms of occupancy, I think you said that you expect mid-96% range in the second quarter. I guess, would you expect to drive that higher in the back half of the year? Or have you adjusted your full year occupancy targets a bit based on market conditions? Just curious what the strategy looks like for the next three to six months.
Mike Lacey: Hey, Eric. It is Mike. Yes. The way we typically do it is we let occupancy come down in the second and third quarter when we have more demand, more traffic coming through the door. And so we get a bit more aggressive on our rents at that period of time. And typically, what you can expect from us, especially what you are seeing with the fourth quarter, is we drive it up a little bit higher. So if we are running, call it, 96.5% right now, we expect to continue to do that through about the July, August timeframe, and then we may inch it up just a little bit, maybe 10 or 20 bps. Nothing necessarily significant.
Operator: Our next question is from Jamie Feldman with Wells Fargo. Please proceed with your question.
Jamie Feldman: Great. Thank you for taking the question. I am sorry if I missed it. Did you talk about April trends so far? And if not, can you talk about your new, renewal, and blended rate growth and any markets that stand out in terms of acceleration, deceleration, or versus your expectations?
Mike Lacey: Yes, Jamie, great question. There are a few of them there. So let me back up a little bit because I do think it is important to give kind of the whole picture here. As it relates to blended growth, what I would tell you is we are incredibly happy with the start to the year. We were able to push our blends about 370 basis points up from the fourth quarter to 1.6%. A very positive trend there and I am happy to report that it is the highest growth across the peer group on both a relative and an absolute basis. I will also point out, given our diversified portfolio, this is notable.
Specific to April, I would tell you more importantly, the second quarter, the strength experienced during the first quarter has continued in that 1.6% range, and we are still on track with that 1.5% to 2% blend that we expect in the first half of this year. A few observations on data: I would say, number one, our coastal regions, which make up about 75% of our NOI, continue to experience the highest growth, about 3.1% blends in April, which is an acceleration from 2.8% during the first quarter.
Specific to the Sunbelt, those markets experienced the greatest positive momentum from 4Q to January, but we have seen some of those markets retreat slightly over the past 30 days, going from about negative 1.5% in the first quarter to negative 2.5% in April. All in all, what I would say is we feel good about how we started the year. Our strategy and focus on total revenue and cash flow is playing out as expected. And we are really diving into the lifetime value of our resident, continuing to drive low turnover and higher renewal growth.
Specific to the question that you had regarding what we are sending out and what renewals look like, I would tell you again, just to reiterate, our first quarter was almost double what we achieved in the fourth quarter at 5.2%, a very healthy number. Through July at this point, we are still sending out between 5% to 6.5% on renewals. And my expectation is we are going to sign within 100 bps of that. So all in all, we are going to continue to lean into our customer experience project, drive down turnover even further, as well as try to test the market on both new lease growth and renewal growth.
Operator: Our next question is from Steve Sakwa with Evercore ISI. Please proceed with your question.
Steve Sakwa: Yes, thanks. Good morning. Could you maybe just talk about the debt and preferred book and what maybe future payoffs look like? I think maybe some of these happened a little bit sooner. Just trying to think through the cadence of that and what could or may not happen over the course of 2026, 2027, 2028? Thanks.
Dave Bragg: Hey, Steve. Thanks for the question. So on the DPE book, as you know, this is a business that we have been in more than a decade. It is one of several ways that we deploy capital and it was established to allow us to utilize our expertise to earn income and/or gain access to assets that we like. This quarter, we are pleased to report, including today, that there are two assets in Portland that we are excited about gaining access to. That is a market that has moved up on the leaderboard internally from a predictive analytics tool perspective.
And with the loans coming due with one operator relationship in that market, we looked at these and we considered the following criteria: operational upside—and Mike and team are excited about the meat on the bone there—the rent growth outlook through our proprietary tool, and relatively low CapEx given the fact that they are new assets. This allows us to scale up in that market. As it relates to the book going forward, that is one of the ways that it is on the decline this year, which is what we expressed last quarter.
We have the Portland opportunity, we have successful paybacks that we reported for the first quarter, and then lastly, the other consideration is that the market is frankly just more competitive. And we have remained disciplined in our underwriting. And when we think about the heat map and the uses of capital, we gravitate towards the stock given the fact that it is temporarily and unusually attractively valued. So, directionally, for you, if I was going to help you out with your modeling here, looking at the DPE balance in the high $300 million range at the end of the first quarter, I would point you towards $300 million or so at the end of the year.
Operator: Our next question is from Jana Galan with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.
Jana Galan: Thank you, and congrats on the strong start to the year. Mike, I was wondering if you could share any trends you are seeing this spring between A versus B properties or urban versus suburban? And then maybe bigger picture, is this not the right way we should think about the portfolio given this micro-market focus and analytics that your team has developed?
Mike Lacey: It is a great question. Definitely one way that we look at it. It is sometimes hard to explain just given the footprint we have. I think it is easier to talk about some of the regions and then dive into some of the markets and what we are experiencing there. So maybe to back up just a little bit, what we are seeing today—and it is not going to surprise you—is the West Coast continuing to do better than, say, the East Coast, followed by the Sunbelt.
I would tell you all of them are on track, maybe a few markets doing a little bit better than we expected, as I mentioned in the prepared remarks—specifically San Francisco and New York, and Dallas for us. But as it relates to just kind of A/B, urban/suburban, it does vary by market. I would tell you for us, San Francisco is a good example where urban A is doing better because you have more supply that is impacting as you move down the peninsula. But all in all, that entire MSA is doing well.
And then you have a place like Boston as an example, where we are seeing a little bit more of an impact downtown, urban A, and less of an impact at our suburban B assets. It is a little bit market-by-market specific on the A/B, urban/suburban piece of the equation. But again, we do have winners in each of our regions today, and we are off to a pretty good start.
Operator: Our next question is from Adam Kramer with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.
Adam Kramer: Thanks for the time, guys. I am just wondering here, recognizing the dispositions that were done so far this year, I think, assets. Just wondering—some of your peers refer to risk of shrinking the enterprise too much from dispositions. Wondering how you think about that, if that is the right framework, if it is more market specific, if there are other drivers of how you think about how many assets you can sell and in what period of time, presumably to generate proceeds to use for the buybacks that you have talked about.
Dave Bragg: Adam, I will go ahead and start off with the answer here. First of all, our disposition effort is centered around the playbook that has been in place since September. This is a point in time where there is an unusually wide disconnect between public and private market valuations. I have had the opportunity to follow the space over many years and have seen this a few times before, and my experience is that they prove to be fleeting. And so we are excited about the opportunity to recognize that, sell assets, and then buy back stock in a manner that is accretive while also improving the quality of the portfolio.
We can speak more about the dispositions that occurred in the quarter, but your question is more so around the go-forward. What I would tell you is that the playbook will remain the same as long as the stock is as attractively valued as it is. We have more assets on the market and we will remain disciplined sellers, and utilize proceeds where we can to continue to buy back the stock.
Operator: Our next question is from Michael Goldsmith with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
Analyst: Hi, thanks. This is Amy, I am with Michael. Could you quantify approximately how much impact the portfolio lease realignment strategy may have on same store revenue as we move forward? And I assume we would not see any impact on blends, but let me know if you would expect any impact there as well.
Mike Lacey: Yes. I think for us, what you could see, where I would point to—and I mentioned it when I covered the April answer—the fact that we had blends of 1.6% with a diversified portfolio, which was the highest amongst the peer group, I think that points to the strength. And so when we came out of 4Q, just to back up a little bit and talk strategy, our intention was to drive occupancy in that 97% to 97.2% range with the intention of driving our rent higher.
For us, I cannot speak specifically for everybody else, but every 1% of blends that we are able to achieve, that is about $7 million to the bottom line over the course of 12 months. And so we think that we have a good start on the peers in the first quarter. And our intention is to continue to find those opportunities. It is a property-by-property and sometimes unit-by-unit level basis to find those opportunities to drive our blends going forward. And so our expectations right now—we are on track, but more to come. And I think we will know a lot more when we get together at NAREIT.
Operator: Our next question is from Julien Blouin with Goldman Sachs. Please proceed with your question.
Julien Blouin: Thank you for taking my question. I am just wondering, is there any competitive disadvantage to you if consolidation among large peers occurs in some of your markets and, you know, just suddenly there being a player with greater scale? Does that give them a data advantage in terms of informing their decisions in those markets? Is that piece meaningful at all? And I guess separately, do you worry at all about a transaction potentially attracting, you know, regulatory or political scrutiny right now?
Tom Toomey: You know, Julien, this is Toomey. I will take a couple of parts of that question and ask the group to weigh in as needed. With respect to the regulatory environment and potential transactions or M&A, I will not comment—I cannot speculate where the government is or where the government is going. And, frankly, if you can get that crystal ball, bud, we can do really well in life, but I do not have that one. With respect to the industry, I would say this: it is a very fragmented industry. There have been dominant players.
I have been at it over 35 years, and there have been dominant players, and yet everyone finds their space and their way to create value. I tend to think that we have uncovered ours over the years, and it is not requiring size to grow or accrete, if you will. We have tried to look at it and say excellence is the important thing to all successful companies, and size is sometimes an advantage, sometimes not. Excellence, particularly in operations, in capital allocation, and innovation. And so I think we are focused on that path. Having large dominating companies in some other spaces has worked, but they generally ultimately relate to whether they control the customer.
In the case of, if you look at Simon mall company, they have a very good stranglehold on malls across the globe and are able to influence the customer. Or Prologis, where they have been able to influence logistics across the globe. The apartment industry is awfully fragmented for that. And I do not see that as being an achievable element where any of us are going to be able to control the customer segmentation/traffic, etcetera. So I would always welcome input on how we can get better. We will keep focusing on that. But I think you have a sense of where our head is.
Operator: Next question is from John Kim with BMO Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
John Kim: I was going to ask that last question, but maybe I will tie that into something else. If you were a bigger company, would that attract a different shareholder base? And I wanted to tie it into the monthly dividend. From our perspective, it looks like a way to attract retail shareholders, maybe a bit of a gimmick. I am sure that is not the way that you look at it. So maybe if you could just comment on your decision to go the monthly dividend route.
Tom Toomey: Yes, John, this is Toomey again. I will ask the team to weigh in. I am really excited about the monthly dividend. Why? Because this is a topic that came up on our radar almost two years ago when we were looking at diversifying our capital sources. And that includes diversifying our shareholder base that would end up being drawn to our stock. What it really kicked into was how much is tied up in high net worth families and family office business. And also as we started talking more and more with Wall Street and large capital allocators, they were coming together with products to bring to the market and a monthly dividend became a selling point.
And so for us, we see that as kind of shareholder-of-the-future expansion opportunity. People are looking at what is the stream durability and record of your delivery of that cash flow, and monthly is winning out over quarterly, over annually. So that was an important element in the decision. And then as we got farther into the research, looking at the depth of it, what was striking to me was our track record of 53 years and nearly $9 billion in dividends paid out. So we have the record. We have the business model that furnishes that cash flow. I think everybody knows what the apartment industry is like across America and can relate to it.
So it seems, heck, let us give it a try. And I am looking forward to the receptiveness of it. We think it will be very positive, and that is why we have done it. I think it is a net-net positive for us.
Dave Bragg: I would just add—this is Dave. I want to add one angle here. The monthly dividend switch is part of a broader push on our behalf to appeal to retail shareholders. And what they will see from us over time is a multifaceted game plan around that with a lot of outreach, adjustments to our marketing, etcetera. And we are committed to sticking to that. So this is one maneuver that gets their attention, but you and especially those retail investors will see more from us over time. And we are optimistic. The apartment business is very relatable to that cohort.
It is something that resonates with them in terms of the cash flow of the residents, through us and then out to shareholders. So we look forward to seeing this play out.
John Kim: I mean, if you have a large multifamily company that is doubling in size, does that attract a different shareholder base? There are other large companies that may attract more general equity investors, and I am wondering if that is something that has entered your mindset at all.
Tom Toomey: My guess is looking at it over time, certainly you get reindexed, and you get a larger aspect of that. I think that is a net positive. Do you get other investors? I think active money is still trying to beat the index, and so they are going to move their money around to where they think the greatest growth and opportunities are. It is hard to grow a battleship as much as it is a light cruiser. So I think it just plays out where there is enough capital out there. If you are doing a good job, you will find it, match it up, and you will grow your company accretively.
And I think that is the critical element that we all have to continue to focus on—growing accretively is critical, not size.
Operator: Our next question is from Rich Anderson with Cantor Fitzgerald. Please proceed with your question.
Rich Anderson: Thanks. Good morning. By the way, the Anderson family office is thrilled with the monthly dividend. The question I have is on turnover. When I started covering the space, annual turnover was 65%–70%. You guys are at 29% as of the first quarter. Is there an efficient frontier to the point where you could just have too low of turnover and maybe people are just not moving, and that might help explain, not just for UDR, Inc., but generally, why you are having such a tough time digging out of the hole of negative new lease rate growth?
I am curious if you think there is any logic behind this idea that maybe turnover has just gotten too low and you are not at the frontier from a rent growth perspective.
Tom Toomey: Yes, Rich. And I am glad to hear the Rich Anderson family office is eager about UDR, Inc. Here are a couple things to think about. You are right—turnover used to be a high number, and you were looking at your business from the number of days occupied, who was paying rent, etcetera. I think with the new datasets that we are seeing, and when we start looking at our rent roll, what it turns out to be is high-quality residents over longer periods of time generate more cash flow than a high-turn, resetting-the-market approach. So if you are in the cash flow business, you actually want low turnover taking rent increases.
And then you ask yourself, what is the impact on your long-term business? Well, you are going to have greater cash flow. In our business right now, 60,000 apartment homes. The truth is annually, we only need to find 20,000 residents that are new. And I know everyone is focused on new rates. The question really is what is the capture rate of your renewals and what is the durability of that cash flow? And so now we are starting to endeavor into how do we move the quality of our rent roll up because, ultimately, real estate is valued by virtue of what is the underlying quality cash flow and the lessee of that.
And can we make it a better quality rental available? So I covered a lot of different points there. Maybe Mike can clean me up a little bit.
Mike Lacey: Yes, a few points I would add. First and foremost, the way we think about it is 2012–2019 turnover averaged about 51%. And so we have reduced that by about 1,200 basis points. Since we started getting into the customer experience project back in 2023, we have been able to improve turnover by about 800 basis points, which turns out to be about 400 basis points better than the peer average. We have made a lot of strides. I can tell you we are still learning a ton every day. What is interesting—when we went into the year, our expectation around turnover was it was probably going to be roughly flat on a year-over-year basis.
Turns out we are about 300 basis points better on a year-over-year basis. Where we have been leaning into as of late, and you can see it in our renewal growth, is where can we start pivoting and trying to drive that number as well. Happy to report that 5.2% in the first quarter is very strong. Overall, we have come a long way. We are still learning. We still think there is opportunity on this front. And to Tom’s point, there is a whole other iteration that is to come, and that is around how we think about pricing, how we think about marketing, and how we truly drive that cash flow even higher.
Tom Toomey: Mike, thanks for helping me.
Operator: Our next question is from Alexander Goldfarb with Piper Sandler. Please proceed with your question.
Alexander Goldfarb: Hey, good morning out there. Tom, certainly appreciate the focus and emphasis on the dividend—it is a big part of total return. But if you think about going after the retail crowd or the high net worth crowd, a few things come to mind. One is it seems like a lot of these private REITs or other similar products have higher dividend yields; they go after maybe, I do not want to say lower quality, but, you know, more generic assets that have higher current income. The other is sales load commissions that private REITs pay. Clearly, you are not doing that. So how do you think about getting your dividend competitive—and also competing when you are not paying commission?
How do you think about breaking into that high net worth and that whole distribution channel that the private REITs and those other structured products seem to enjoy for themselves?
Dave Bragg: Alex, great topic, something that we have discussed internally extensively as we worked on this project, and Tom did say it is something that the team has been working on for some time and put a lot of thought into. Really, it is an opportunity for us and the broader REIT space to educate the marketplace on the virtues of REIT investing. And I thought that you covered it well, Alex. It is about the total return. The dividend yield is a part of that. Unfortunately, in some of these other products, sizable fees can eat into that.
So it is an opportunity in front of us, and we already have a nice schedule of appearances and conversations set up that will put us well on our way towards executing on that. We know that there are other products out there that are marketed in certain ways, but we believe that the numbers speak for themselves, and we look forward to educating that cohort on it.
Tom Toomey: Alex, this is Toomey. I would just add: you are right with respect to the fee and yield trade-off, but one aspect that REITs have is liquidity and transparency, which a lot of these other products lack. When we have talked with investors in those products, they are waiting on the appraisal, they do not know when their window can open or close. Here, you have a security that underlies it—every day you understand what it is worth. It has liquidity and size and scope, and you have transparency.
Operator: Our next question is from Austin Wurschmidt with KeyBanc Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
Austin Wurschmidt: Mike, wanted to revisit your commentary around the Sunbelt lease rate growth moderating in April and was hoping you could provide some additional details to what is driving that softening and if you think it is something temporary or you are seeing it persist into May and June. And was it also specific to any one or two markets or broad based? Thanks.
Mike Lacey: Great question, Austin. What we are experiencing right now I think is more of a blip, if you will, because we do still expect that we could see more of an inflection in the Sunbelt this year at some point. That is built into how we looked at our guidance for the year. Right now, I would tell you it is a little bit more specific to, say, Florida than it is in Texas, as well as even Nashville saw a little bit of a downtick, if you will. I think some of it has to do with market rents just not moving up as much as we would have expected over the last, call it, 30 to 45 days.
And with that, you do have to negotiate a little bit more on your renewals. And so we were pretty aggressive with our renewals as you could see with what we signed. I think we had to retreat a little bit in some of those Sunbelt markets. But my expectation is we are going to continue to work through the supply down there, and we could see market rents start to move back up throughout the summer, and that could help us continue to try to drive those markets as we go forward.
Operator: Our next question is from Haendel St. Juste with Mizuho Securities. Please proceed with your question.
Analyst: Hi. This is Mike on with Haendel at Mizuho. Our question is, how does UDR, Inc. assess the risk to their Boston portfolio from the Massachusetts proposed statewide rent control measure on the ballot this upcoming November? And can you just remind us, is UDR, Inc. spending additional advocacy costs within the guide and what cap rate/unlevered IRR would a Boston apartment trade at today?
Christopher Van ens: Sure. I can take the initial ones. I do not think we are ready to handicap the risk yet. We are still very early in the process. As you probably know, we are actively engaged with local owners’ groups, including some of our large public peers, and larger trade group partners to oppose the measure in Boston right now. With regards to how that is proceeding, we will provide updates as appropriate moving forward. There is just not really a great update to provide right now. Fundraising is happening.
We have contributed—I can let Dave talk to that or I am happy to talk to the contribution part as well—that is probably in the neighborhood right now of around half a million dollars that we have given to the initiative. Most likely, we will go higher over the next couple of quarters. I will stress though that this is nothing compared to what was spent in California on the ballot initiatives. Massachusetts is obviously a much smaller market. So we feel that from a cost perspective, from a funding perspective, it will be a relatively smaller fraction than what we saw in California. As far as pricing, I can touch on that.
It is hard to generalize across the market, but what I would tell you is this uncertainty has had an impact. We have seen less transaction volume, that makes it harder to decipher exactly where cap rates are, but our experience is directionally this uncertainty at this point in time has had an adverse impact on price.
Tom Toomey: This is Toomey. I might add: one thing interesting because we have talked and said, is it a buying opportunity given the market is frozen? I think you have to be careful about that, but I think with our team and our insight with respect to how this is progressing, I would not take it off the map. It screens well—some of the markets in our analytics on a long-term basis—and it might be a good arbitrage window. But we will keep looking at it.
Operator: If you would like to ask a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. Our next question is from Alex Kim with Zelman and Associates. Please proceed with your question.
Alex Kim: Hey, guys. Thanks for taking my question. Wanted to focus a little bit on San Francisco, which you have highlighted as a standout market. Given some of the growing debate around AI CapEx sustainability, tech headcount plateauing, and some federal deregulatory risk to tech market dynamics, just curious if there is a kind of read-through that you see in terms of the recent macro noise in your leasing velocity or traffic? And what is your stress case look like for the market?
Mike Lacey: Sure. I will start if anybody else wants to jump in. Right now, what we are seeing is continued strength. And I think when you talk about AI and the jobs and everything that could happen there, I think you have to think of a few other points. For us in San Francisco, I am looking at—and how I think about the market—is very low supply, not only today but also into the future. So we have that backdrop. We do see the return to office that is in effect right now. We are seeing more migration, people coming closer to the work. And so places like SoMa and Downtown are definitely seeing their fair share of traffic today.
And that AI growth is more specific in that Downtown/SoMa area as well. We continue to see a lot of momentum, not only on the traffic side, but on our market rents, which leads to renewal growth as well. In addition, the city is vibrant. We are seeing bars and restaurants start to open back up. We are seeing more retail return to that city. And at the end of the day, we have low rent-to-income ratios. So there are a multitude of things that are playing as a positive in San Francisco. Our expectation is we are going to continue to see strength in that market for the foreseeable future.
Operator: Our next question is from Mason Gale with Baird. Please proceed with your question.
Mason Gale: Thanks for taking my question. Could you talk about how you are viewing potential development opportunities today? If you would look to start development on some of your land parcels in the near term?
Dave Bragg: Hey, Mason. Thanks for the question. As we noted in the opening, we are really pleased with the progress on the asset that we do have under development. As it relates to the go-forward, when we look at our land bank, we have a couple of existing sites that do fit comfortably in our strike zone, and I will describe that. First, they are adjacent to existing operating assets, so they are essentially expansions in submarkets that we know well. Second, they are stick build or podium. And third, the returns on incremental cash deployed through our land would be above 6% if activated.
So, there is an opportunity to activate these and deliver into a less competitive supply environment in 2027 and 2028. If you were to see movement from us on that front, that is what would describe it.
Operator: Our next question is from John Pawlowski with Green Street. Please proceed with your question.
John Pawlowski: Hey. Thanks for the time. I apologize if this has been asked. I joined the call late. Dave, could you share the range of cap rates on the four dispositions in the quarter as well as the, I guess, the effective cap rate on the Portland, Oregon asset you consolidated?
Dave Bragg: Hey, John. Thank you for the question. As it relates to the assets that we sold—four assets—I want to tell you a little bit about them because it puts it in perspective. Average age, 38 years. Rents below the portfolio average, but that is not highly important. What is more important is that through our lens, the outlook for rent growth is inferior to the retained portfolio, and certainly the CapEx needs are above average. So when we talk about these criteria for acquisitions and dispositions, this group of assets checks those boxes. We saw pretty deep and competitive bidding pools for these assets. Pricing came in within a few percentage points of our expectations.
Market cap rate in the mid-5% range. Then as we think about Portland and the opportunity that we are excited about there, I would characterize that yield today as around a 5%. A lot of work for Mike and team to do to get in and stabilize it and work his magic from an operational perspective will get us to a stabilized yield in the high-5% range.
Operator: Our next question is from Brad Heffern with RBC. Please proceed with your question.
Brad Heffern: Yes. Hey, everybody. Thanks. Another on Portland. You obviously mentioned it has moved up your ranking list and you are taking on a couple assets there. At the same time, it is kind of a smaller market. It does not have a ton of exposure for the public REITs. I think part of that is just it has been a relatively challenging regulatory environment at times. I am just wondering if you can talk about maybe the positive aspects that you see and how that balances out with the negative?
Christopher Van ens: Sure, Brad. Maybe I will start and then I will throw it over to Lacey if he wants to say anything as well. At a high level, Portland does look right now like one of our better markets from a demand/supply perspective. I would tell you 2026 job forecasts for the market have doubled since the beginning of the year. Wage growth acceleration is actually the best within our market footprint right now. On the supply side, similar to what Mike talked about in San Francisco, deliveries are way down. 2026 deliveries are only supposed to be about 0.7% of stock—similar in 2027. Both of those are well below what we saw in 2024 and 2025.
And importantly, most of those deliveries are concentrated away from these two assets. But as you alluded to, our analytics obviously dig much deeper than the high level. For these assets, our platform likes Portland as a market; it thinks it is on the upswing as we look across our broad set of variables. More importantly for the assets themselves, it generally likes the demographics, it likes the psychographics, it likes the asset-level characteristics, the micro-location, new supply outlooks, all that kind of stuff for both of those assets.
And obviously, when you combine all those things, per our analytics that should translate into outsized rent and cash flow growth moving forward—beyond or instead of what Mike can also put on top of it, and I will let him talk about some of that.
Mike Lacey: Thanks, Chris. How I think about the market as well as the opportunity we see at these sites: first of all, it is a relatively small market for us. The team has always performed well here. As an example, the occupancy today is above 97%, and we are seeing blends in that 2% to 3% range. We view this opportunity as providing more scale. It does effectively double the size of the market for us. And for these properties specifically, we think we can drive that controllable operating margin between, call it, 300 to 400 bps over the next 12 to 18 months, just through staffing efficiencies, vendor consolidation, and other income opportunities.
So we are looking forward to getting our hands on them.
Operator: Our last question comes from Omotayo Okusanya with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.
Omotayo Okusanya: Hi. Yes. Good afternoon. I just wanted to go back to the regulatory front. You did discuss Boston, but just kind of curious in terms of some of the other headlines out there: Senator Warren holding a whole bunch of the residential REITs to divulge more information about their business operation; some of the stuff President Trump is trying to do to improve housing affordability; the news from Washington, DC the other day about, you know, MA being sued to provide more insight into their rent structures and junk fees.
When you think collectively from a regulatory perspective, are there any real concerns that some of that could impact how the business is run going forward, or does it feel like a lot of noise, and it should be business as usual at the end of the day?
Christopher Van ens: Yes. It is honestly too early to talk about how some of those bigger picture pushes at the federal level might affect operations. I can tell you once again, the things that we are focused on right now are really tenant-friendly initiatives or policy changes. We already spoke about Massachusetts. But for us in particular, we are also looking at Salinas, California; we are looking at New York City; we are looking at, more recently, DC proper. Obviously, if any of those measures go through, they would have a tangible direct impact potentially to our assets in those areas.
Once again, we formed ownership groups, we have contributed funds along with our peer partners, and we are working with larger trade groups to defeat those measures. The positive for UDR, Inc. is that we have a very in-depth governmental affairs team that monitors the federal level, the state level, and the local level, and they keep all of our capital and operations teams apprised of any changes that should occur, whether positive or negative. That is what we go off of and we are able to handicap what we think is going to happen going forward. So that is what we are looking at right now.
Tom Toomey: Taylor, this is Toomey. I would just add this. I am proud of the industry pulling itself together and educating politicians on what good housing policy looks like. I think we want a thriving America, a thriving housing marketplace, and there are ways to get there without just pandering and stopping development or stopping rent growth. Capital makes better homes. And capital is not going to arrive at the space if it feels threatened. I think politicians get that, and as we have educated them more and more, we see more of how do we work together to create thriving communities. It is not being ignored. It just takes a long time to bend the curve, if you will.
Operator: This now concludes our question and answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Tom Toomey for closing comments.
Tom Toomey: First, let me thank all of you for your time, interest, and support of UDR, Inc. I thought it was a very productive call today and always welcome your insight, follow-up questions, and the team is always available for that. We look forward to seeing you at many of the upcoming industry events over the next couple months. Take care.
Operator: This does conclude today’s teleconference. Please disconnect your lines and have a wonderful day.
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